I asked a friend familiar with the area his view of recent Turkish developments:
If I had to bet money – and I would bet a lot because it is a safe bet – it would be Erdogan all the way. The Turkish military has way too much success at pulling off coups to do such a half-a** job.
I can see why Erdogan would purge the military if this were a real coup, but why purge thousands of judges on the pretext of a coup? Erdogan is benefitting tremendously from this scam.
What did the USG know and when did they know it? On this, anything is possible. Whether or not it was a legitimate coup attempt, there are factions in the US that might benefit from any version of the true story. So on this point, I don’t really have a feel either way.
Anyway….no matter the real story, they are all monsters.