The Coming Dictatorship

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In my article
Yes to the Party of No
," I commented on how pleased
I’ve been to see Glenn Beck talking about a subject I’ve
been writing about since the late seventies: a government-declared
state of emergency leading to a "temporary" dictatorship.

I have long
believed that the mathematics of an insatiable entitlement society
in the U.S. guarantees a runaway inflation, which likely would be
followed by anarchy and chaos – a perfect excuse for government
to resort to strong-armed totalitarian measures to "restore
order." My model has always been Germany’s Weimar Republic
in the 1920s, where runaway inflation brought Adolf Hitler to power.

I originally
believed that the runaway-inflation scenario in the U.S. would play
out in the early 1980s, but a combination of Ronald Reagan and an
explosion in computers and electronic technology made possible by
the remnants of our capitalist system headed it off.

the threat of a runaway inflation has continued to increase over
the years, even while our false-prosperity economy was booming.
That’s because the underlying causes (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac,
insane union and government-employee wages and benefits, Social
Security, Medicare, etc.) of our sick economy have never been addressed.

is just a symptom; the disease is entitlements. Throughout the false-prosperity
years, Social Security did not go away. It got bigger. Medicare
did not go away. It got bigger. Virtually no other benefits went
away. They only got bigger. So the underlying problem of entitlements
not only has remained, but continued to grow.

The big news
now is that Social Security may "go broke" this year instead
of in 2017, which was originally projected. Really? And here I thought
it’s been broke for decades. Ditto with Medicare. These programs
were long ago Madoffized. Almost from the start, government has
simply taken in new money from "investors" (read, taxpayers)
and handed it over to those on the entitlements side of the fence
– with a large chunk of the largesse being skimmed off the
top for government employees who administer these programs (and
vote for those whom they believe are most likely to safeguard their

All it took
to bring things to a head was a shameful spending spree by a progressive
Republican president and a Republican Congress, followed by the
ascent of a committed Marxist to the presidency (along with a cooperative
majority in Congress).

Now, throw
on top of all that a huge new tax-and-spending bill (euphemistically
referred to as "health-care legislation"), and the end
result seems assured. However, with the government’s power
to tax, print, and borrow, no one knows how long it will be before
the inevitable runaway inflation sets in.

But if BHO
truly has his mind set on establishing a dictatorship – and
it is my personal belief that he does – it’s too risky
for him to wait for a runaway inflation as an excuse to call a state
of emergency. He knows that as long as there is a semblance of a
free market in place, producers will continue to push back against
the economy-killing effects of his policies.

Thus, he needs
another excuse to declare a state of emergency, and over the past
year I've given a lot of thought to what that excuse might be. In
previous articles, I've mentioned a nuke exchange between Iran and
Israel as one possibility. Another is civil unrest due to unemployment
rates that could reach 25 percent or more in the not-too-distant

These and others
still remain possibilities, but last week Glenn Beck came up with
one that may be even more likely. Beck believes that Obama will
continue to keep the accelerator pressed to the floor – amnesty
for illegal immigrants, a cap-and-trade bill that will eliminate
the U.S. as a global business competitor, and more – thus enraging
an already angry public to the point of revolution.

In other words,
purposely foment ”civil unrest” rather than wait for something
like unemployment or runaway inflation to make it happen. As Beck
puts it, just continue to poke people in the eye, then use their
predictable and justifiable backlash as an excuse to establish dictatorial

I thought about
this issue while attending the recent tea party outside the Capitol
Building in Washington. As I crossed Independence Avenue, I noted
a somber-looking guard holding a Rambo-style weapon in his hands.
I have no idea what it was, but there’s no question in my mind
that just one pull of the trigger could have rearranged the body
parts of a large number of tea-party people.

The totally
peaceful gathering – repeat, totally peaceful –
was infested with heavily armed police, but one, in particular,
was especially ominous. As the tea partiers chanted ”Kill the
Bill” on the east side of the Capitol Building, a uniformed,
lone figure stood at the top of the steep flight of stairs on the
House side of the structure, automatic weapon at the ready, gazing
down over the crowd. Sun glasses and all, he reminded me of the
”boss man” of Cool Hand Luke’s chain gang.

It gave me
the eerie feeling that I was in a banana republic. Had anyone dared
to take things beyond mere chanting, there’s no doubt in my
mind that it would have become a scene right out of Caracas. All
that was missing was Sean Penn.

Yep, I believe
Glenn Beck might be on to something. But if the American public
refuses to take the bait and doesn’t resort to violence, BHO
will have to go to Plan B to have an excuse to declare a state of

Having said
all this, don’t despair. No one, including myself, can predict
the future with certainty. In a rapidly changing world, nothing
is certain. Which is why I don’t make predictions; I just lay
odds. And here’s my odds based on what I know and see today:

  • The chances
    of a declared state of emergency and ensuing dictatorship prior
    to the 2010 elections: 25%
  • The chances
    of a declared state of emergency and ensuing dictatorship prior
    to the 2012 elections: 50%
  • The chances
    of the U.S. dollar becoming worthless within three years: 25%
  • The chances
    of the U.S. dollar becoming worthless within ten years: 90%
  • The chances
    of the Republicans cutting back on major entitlements if they
    regain power in the 2010 elections: Zero
  • The chances
    of the Republicans cutting back on major entitlements if they
    win the presidency and an overwhelming majority in Congress in
    2012: 5%
  • The chances
    of the so-called tea-party people (i.e., everyday Americans who
    believe in liberty) winning out over the long haul: Hmm …
    let me procrastinate on that one a bit before I lay odds.

Of course,
I could be wrong about all this … but what if I’m right?

from Robert Ringer’s website.

5, 2010

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