Betting Markets Not Showing a Kennedy Bump for Trump…

however, Trump leads by one percentage point on Polymarket (as before the Kennedy endorsement, see below).  Harris was leading by 10 percentage points on August 15, but that lead has more than evaporated.  I will not be posting any more results from PredictIt because the current Harris lead there (56¢ Harris to 48¢ Trump) seems fishy and not adequately supported anywhere.  From more research, Polymarket looks more sound and accurate. 

If Trump makes no more blunders (yes, I know, what a laugh) Harris will definitely fall further.  He should pull out of the ABC debate and propose NBC (moderated by Lester Holt) at an earlier date and Fox (moderated by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum) at a later date, both debates or nothing.  If Harris refuses, move on, saying, “I already debated by all of their rules, they snookered me, now they want to change the rules (candidate mics on throughout the entire debate), I’m done, see you on election night.”

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4:58 pm on August 26, 2024