Clearly the Military/Security Complex Does Not Expect Trump To Deliver Peace

October 24, 2025

Gilbert Doctorow and I have pointed out that Putin’s effort to prevent wider war has caused wider war.  The White House’s cancellation of the meeting of Trump with Putin in Hungary is powerful evidence of Putin’s strategic blunder of pretending that the war the West has declared on Russia was merely a limited military operation in Donbas to rescue the Russian populations there from massacre by the US trained and equipped Ukrainian neo-nazi army. Trump cancelled the meeting, because Putin refused a cease fire that left the root cause of the conflict unaddressed.

The root cause of the conflict is the West’s hostility toward Russia,  The Wolfowitz Doctrine says that the principle goal of US foreign policy is to prevent the rise of any country that could serve as a constraint on American unilateralism,  In addition to Russia and China, declared as American enemies, there is on a regional basis Iran. Peak Human: What We Ca... Norberg, Johan Check Amazon for Pricing.

Thus, America’s three enemies.

The root cause of the conflict is America’s hegemonic foreign policy ideology.  This together with NATO and US missile bases on Russia’s border creates enormous Russian insecurity.  The solution is to renounce Washington’s hegemonic doctrine and consent to a mutual security agreement that gets NATO off of Russia’s border.

That is not going to happen.  There is no recognition in Western foreign policy of the threat posed to Russia.  Instead the threat is misrepresented as a Russian threat to invade Europe, which is total nonsense.

As facts play no role, no good decision can be made.  That means war, not peace.

The financial markets see the future to be war:

Clearly the US Military/Security Complex Does Not Expect Trump to Deliver Peace.

John Helmer points out that the S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF has risen by more than 50% since Trump took over in January. 

Neither does the European Military/security complex expect peace.

The STOXX Europe Defence Index for shares of the 10 leading UK, Europe weapons companies has jumped by 121% this year to date.

The Best of Paul Craig Roberts

Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration, associate editor and columnist for the Wall Street Journal, Business Week’s first outside columnist, columnist for the Scripps Howard News Service, contributor to the editorial page of the Los Angeles Times, and columnist for the main French and Italian newspapers, and for Creators Syndicate in Los Angeles. He served in numerous academic appointments in US universities and was  appointed to the William E. Simon Chair for Political Economy at Georgetown University’s Center for Strategic and International Studies where his colleagues were Henry Kissinger, Zbigniew Brzezinski, James R. Schlesinger (one of his former professors), and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Thomas Moorer. His article, “How the Law Was Lost,” was published in the January 1999 Cardozo Law Review.