Party, Ethnicity, Immigration and Our Politics

The relation between party affiliation and ethnicity depends upon many factors that can change over time. With that qualification borne in mind, the evidence provided below suggests that party affiliation and ethnicity are strongly related. (This result is not new.) Therefore, if immigration favors people of particular ethnicity, this is likely, other things equal, to tilt voting to a favored political party. Open borders will favor Hispanic, Latino and Asian groups. This will favor Democrats and a more socialist and authoritarian government.

Wiki has a “List of Hispanic and Latino Americans” who have ever been in the House of Representatives. There have been 71 Democrats and 19 Republicans. (This count omits 1 who was in the Know-Nothing Party and counts another as a Democrat who switched to Republican for a brief period.) That’s 79 percent Democrat and 21 percent Republican.

Other things equal, open borders to Mexico and regions further south are likely to result in a higher proportion of Democrats among voters and in Congress.

Wiki has a “List of Asian Americans and Pacific Islands Americans” in the House of Representatives. Of the 36 people who have ever been elected to the House with these ethnicities, 29 have been Democrats and 7 have been Republicans. That’s 81 percent Democrat and 19 percent Republican. This sample includes people whose extractions include the Indian sub-continent (including Bangladesh), Japan, China (including Taiwan), Korea, the Philippines, Samoa and Vietnam. Battlefield America: T... John W. Whitehead Best Price: $10.95 Buy New $18.80 (as of 10:15 UTC - Details)

Other things equal, open borders to Asia are likely to result in a higher proportion of Democrats among voters and in Congress.

Immigration is an issue of political power because of these ethnic tendencies. Open borders will favor the more populous countries in Asia and countries to the south of us. Because of the degree of democracy we already suffer from, this will drive our government further to the left, not that government from the right is any bargain. However, open borders will accelerate the demise of a limited government country.

How does ethnicity influence party affiliation? It’s part of cultural transmission, education and experience. The factors that go into a person’s politics are many and varied, but it’s apparent that ethnicity is a variable that is strongly related to one’s politics, party affiliation and voting. This being the case, one’s views toward immigration cannot ignore the likely effects on a government’s politics and policies.

It should be understood that these effects are statistical. Individuals do not conform perfectly to group predictions.

This blog was motivated by my experience with foreign graduate students from India, Korea and China. As a group, they were high IQ people with excellent math training. Their economic training, however, supported leftist policies. They were hard workers and good people. They’ve gone on to earn high incomes. Nonetheless, they generally leaned left in their politics. To them, I was radical in favoring the least possible government. I came to expect that a student from India would tolerate socialism, and why not? That country’s history had long been predicated on socialist policies. Hence, when I began to hear about Kamala Harris and Pramila Jayapal in Congress, my prior expectation was that they’d support far-left policies. Ocasio-Cortez is another example.