Paying
Insurgents Not to Fight
by
Paul Craig Roberts
by Paul Craig Roberts
DIGG THIS
It is impossible
to keep up with all the Bush regime’s lies. There are simply too
many. Among the recent crop, one of the biggest is that the "surge"
is working.
Launched last
year, the "surge" was the extra 20,000–30,000 US troops
sent to Iraq. These few extra troops, Americans were told, would
finally supply the necessary forces to pacify Iraq.
This claim
never made any sense. The extra troops didn’t raise the total number
of US soldiers to more than one-third the number every expert has
said is necessary in order to successfully occupy Iraq.
The real purpose
of the "surge" was to hide another deception. The Bush
regime is paying Sunni insurgents $800,000 a day not to attack US
forces. That’s right, 80,000 members of an "Awakening group,"
the "Sons of Iraq," a newly formed "US-allied security
force" consisting of Sunni insurgents, are being paid $10 a
day each not to attack US troops. Allegedly, the Sons of Iraq are
now at work fighting al Qaeda.
This is a much
cheaper way to fight a war. We can only wonder why Bush didn’t figure
it out sooner.
The "surge"
was also timed to take account of the near completion of neighborhood
cleansing. Most of the violence in Iraq during the past five years
has resulted from Sunnis and Shi’ites driving each other out of
mixed neighborhoods. Had the two groups been capable of uniting
against the US troops, the US would have been driven out of Iraq
long ago. Instead, the Iraqis slaughtered each other and fought
the Americans in their spare time.
In other words,
the "surge" has had nothing to do with any decline in
violence.
With the Sunni
insurgents now on Uncle Sam’s payroll, with neighborhoods segregated,
and with al Sadr’s militia standing down, it is unclear who is still
responsible for ongoing violence other than US troops themselves.
Somebody must still be fighting, however, because the US is still
conducting air strikes and is still unable to tell friend from foe.
On February
16, the Los Angeles Times reported that a US air strike managed
to kill 9 Iraqi civilians and 3 Sons of Iraq.
The
Sunnis are abandoning their posts in protest, demanding an end
to "errant" US air strikes. Obviously, the Sunnis see
an opportunity to increase their daily pay for not attacking Americans.
Soon they will have consultants advising them how much they can
demand in bribes before it pays the Americans to begin fighting
the war under the old terms. If Sunnis are smart, they will split
the gains. Currently, the Sunnis are getting shafted. They are only
collecting $800,000 of the $275,000,000 it costs the US to fight
the war for one day. That’s only about three-tenths of one percent,
too much of a one-sided deal for the Americans.
If the Sunnis
negotiate their cut to between one-quarter and one-half of the daily
cost to the US of the war, the Sunnis won’t need to share in the
oil revenues, thus helping the three factions to get back together
as a country. Even 10% of the daily cost of the war would be a good
deal for the Sunnis. A long-term contract in this range would be
expensive for Uncle Sam, but a great deal cheaper than John McCain’s
commitment to a 100-year Iraqi war.
If Bush’s war
turns out to be as big a boon for the Sunnis as it has for Tony
Blair, we might have a modern-day version of The
Mouse That Roared – a movie about an impoverished country
that attacked the US in order to be defeated and receive foreign
aid – only this time the money comes as a payoff for not fighting
the occupiers.
As the world
now knows, Blair’s "dodgy dossier" about the threat allegedly
posed by Iraq was a contrivance that allowed Blair to put British
troops at the service of Bush’s aggression in the Middle East. Now
that Blair is out of his prime minister job, he has been rewarded
with millions of dollars in sinecures from financial firms such
as JP Morgan and millions more in speaking engagements. As part
of the payoff, the Bush Republicans have even put Mrs. Blair on
the lucrative lecture circuit.
Ask
yourself, do you really think Blair knows enough high finance to
be of any value as an advisor to JP Morgan, or enough about climate
change to advise Zurich Financial on the subject? Do you really
believe that after hearing all the vacuous speeches Blair has delivered
in those many years in office anyone now wants to pay him huge fees
to hear him give a speech? Even when it was free, people were sick
of it.
Blair
is simply collecting his payoff for selling out his country and
sending British troops to die for American hegemony.
The Sunnis
seem inclined to do the same thing if Bush will pay them enough.
Is the next
phase of the Iraq war going to be a US-Sunni alliance against the
Shi’ites?
February
19, 2008
Paul
Craig Roberts [send
him mail] wrote the Kemp-Roth bill and was Assistant Secretary
of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He was Associate Editor
of the Wall
Street Journal
editorial page and Contributing Editor of National
Review. He
is author or coauthor of eight books, including The
Supply-Side Revolution
(Harvard University Press). He has held numerous academic appointments,
including the William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy, Center
for Strategic and International Studies, Georgetown University and
Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
He has contributed to numerous scholarly journals and testified
before Congress on 30 occasions. He has been awarded the U.S. Treasury's
Meritorious Service Award and the French Legion of Honor. He was
a reviewer for the Journal
of Political Economy
under editor Robert Mundell. He
is the co-author of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions.
He is also coauthor with Karen Araujo of Chile: Dos Visiones
– La Era Allende-Pinochet (Santiago: Universidad Andres Bello,
2000).
Copyright
© 2008 Creators Syndicate
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