Before
we discuss what’s left of the economy, a few words about one
brave man.
The shoes
Iraqi journalist Muntader al-Zaidi threw at George Bush in Baghdad
had more courage and truth in them than all the honeyed, sycophantic
words of America’s fawning media. Zaidi reminded the world that
George Bush, Dick Cheney and their Iraqi Quislings have the
blood of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis on their hands – perhaps
as many as one million – and the blame for creating four million
refugees.
While al-Zaidi
was being beaten in prison for his courageous act, off in New
York, the fabled financial guru, Bernie Madoff, was accused
of bilking clients of an astounding $50 billion while well-fed
watchdogs of the Securities and Exchange Commission slept.
Thanks
to Madoff and other Wall Street bandits, tens of millions of
Americans have lost their life savings and retirement funds,
and the world financial system is on the rocks. The storm they
created has blown as far east as the Gulf and South Asia.
Ironically,
while Bush and Cheney were obsessed by al-Qaida, searching under
every rock in Afghanistan for Osama bin Laden, the real danger
to America was at home – on Wall Street. The same bin Laden
who pointed out a decade ago that America’s economy, its Achilles
Heel, would one day collapse.
Wall Street’s
financial con men, hedge fund nabobs, and casino capitalists
took home a staggering US $33.3 billion of bonuses in 2007 alone
thanks to shady financial engineering and peddling fraudulent
securities. So far, they have escaped prosecution and get to
keep their millions and $30 million South Hampton beach houses.
That these fraudsters go unpunished, and get to keep their swag,
is unconscionable.
Worse is
coming. Chrysler and Ford will shut plants in January. GM is
next. In spite of the $13.4 billion auto industry bailout announced
by President Bush last week, many plants may never reopen. Even
the mighty Toyota just announced its first-ever loss.
The staggering
US auto industry closely resembles the old Soviet Union: economically
declining, bereft of new ideas, producing unwanted products,
run by dimwitted careerist bureaucrats.
America
produces the wrong cars, and far too many. The bloated auto
industry must downsize. It has been selling cars only thanks
to the steroid of cheap, easy credit – in effect, almost giving
them away. Now that the drug is largely cut off, sales have
nosedived.
The US
economy has been running almost entirely on credit for a decade.
The US
national debt is twice America’s net worth.
Government
and business encouraged a reckless credit binge to which the
nation became addicted. Manufacturing fell to only 12% of GDP.
Finance – the shuffling of paper – became America’s leading
industry, at almost 25% of GDP. Americans saved nothing and
had to borrow $1.2 trillion from China and Japan to keep
their orgy of consumerism going.
Washington’s
response to the financial crisis was panic, then flooding the
economy with freshly-printed money in hope something positive
would happen. Japan made precisely the same gamble when its
bubble economy collapsed in the early 1990’s. Today, Japan has
one of the world’s highest deficits and its economy remains
stagnant.
The
US economy must be weaned off credit addiction. Pumping endless
billions into the economy is like injecting more addictive drugs
to a sick addict. The economy needs a period of austerity in
which remaining credit bubbles, bad debt, and financial distortions
are purged. This is called recession, and it’s an essential
part of the capitalist free market cycle. Without a period of
pain, we can’t restore economic health or sanity.
But panicky
American politicians plan to spend $8.5 trillion to try
to combat this necessary, beneficial recession. Their misguided
efforts risk igniting a future firestorm of inflation that will
be far more dangerous and painful than any recession.
That is
why the European Central Bank, with vivid memories of the terrifying
1920’s hyperinflation in Germany when a loaf of bread went from
pennies to 80 million marks, has resisted deep interest rate
cuts and printing money.
The
Fed’s recent slashing of US interest rates to zero is a sign
of utter desperation and an act of folly. Once investors realize
that Europe, Canada and Asia are far safer investments than
the US, watch for the US dollar to nosedive – as it should.
The United
States needs serious rehab from the stimulating drug of cheap
credit. The remedy for America’s economic ills is not more money
but patience, saving, and endurance.
Americans
must relearn the old verity that one must save for purchases
and rainy days; that gambling with your home is idiotic; that
there is no substitute for hard work or manufacturing; and that
it’s always very risky to trust politicians or financial "professionals"
with your money.
The United
States has shot itself in both feet. Now, it staggers and stumbles
forward into a frightening 2009. No wonder Sheik Osama is smiling.