The Coming Republican Rout
by
William L. Anderson
by William L. Anderson
It
is only late March and the Republicans already are dead meat, from
President George W. Bush through the Congress. Right now, the only
question is not if the Democrats will do well in the coming
election, but how well can they do. In my mind, it is not
impossible for the Democrats to win back majorities in the House
and Senate, along with easily winning the presidency.
I
write this with some trepidation, as anytime one goes out on a limb
to make bold predictions, there is always the danger of an "eat
crow" moment. Moreover, while the Republicans are going to
get what is coming to them, the agenda of the Democrats, from John
Kerry on down, is hardly reassuring for one who wishes against hope
for the return of the free society.
These
bold predictions (which even Democrats will not make in public)
are based partly on the results of the post-attack elections in
Spain, where Muslim bombers were able to change the course of the
vote simply by killing a lot of people at once. Despite all of the
bold "stay the course" talk from Republicans and their
operatives in the media, U.S. voters are not going to stay any course
if we have a mass attack in this country before November – which
I am willing to predict is very likely to happen.
If
there is an attack, Democrats will benefit even more than what I
believe will be the case. The Republicans have become a caricature
of themselves, and they have run out of ideas, not to mention have
completely abandoned any commitment to freedom. On the other hand,
Democrats are no more enamored of a free society than Republicans,
but given their absolute commitment to turning every aspect of the
Sexual Revolution into law, they will carry the urban areas and
places populated with young singles. It is not a replacement for
true freedom, but since Republicans have given up on Americans being
free, can we blame Democrats when their view of freedom is limited
to unlimited sexuality?
If
I am going to excoriate Republicans – which is quite obvious – then
I need to spell out my differences (and they are legion). Our story
begins with the election of 1980, when the candidates discussed
real issues (for the most part, although the usual election silliness
also was an integral part of the campaign) and the Ronald Reagan
campaign demonstrated some touches of libertarian thinking.
Unfortunately,
like Barry Goldwater before him (who in his disastrous 1964 campaign
came out foursquare for fighting a war in Vietnam), Reagan could
not extricate himself or his presidency from the idea that the United
States had to "stand tall," and that meant sending troops
abroad (again). Reagan’s election promise to end draft registration
was soon abandoned after he occupied the White House, and it was
not long after that the U.S. military adventures overseas resumed,
Vietnam having been stuffed down the Orwellian Memory Hole.
First,
there was the disaster in Lebanon, the "invasion" of Grenada,
then came the attacks on Libya and, finally – and unfortunately
– the ill-fated attempt to "protect" oil tankers in the
Persian Gulf, an exercise that ended with the unfortunate shooting
down of an Iranian passenger airliner. (In retaliation, Muslim radicals
bombed a Pan Am flight in late 1988, killing all the passengers
aboard.)
Unfortunately,
as Reagan’s term progressed, it became apparent that his government
not only would "stand tall" abroad, but also at home,
as the drug war escalated. To get an idea of where things stood
when Reagan took office, there were about 300,000 prisoners in state
prisons and about 20,000 federal prisoners. Laws governing illegal
drug possession and sales for the most part were handled by the
states.
The
drug culture was growing, however, and stories of wealthy "drug
lords" in South Florida purchasing mansions and Mercedes with
suitcases full of cash helped fuel a "do something" atmosphere
in Congress. Members of Congress – and especially Republicans –
in an effort to be seen as relevant, began to pass draconian anti-drug
possession laws, using the "Commerce Clause" of the U.S.
Constitution as a hook, and whatever hopes that the Republicans
would move in a libertarian direction were lost completely.
From
asset forfeiture to the expansion of laws against "money laundering"
and other such "crimes," Congress and Reagan created an
atmosphere that made prosecutors and law enforcement personnel nearly
invulnerable in the field and in the courts. The "Just Say
No to Drugs" atmosphere was reflected in the explosion of state
and federal prisoners. (Just 24 years after Reagan’s election, the
U.S. prison population has exploded to more than two million inmates,
the majority incarcerated for non-violent drug offenses.)
Meanwhile,
for all of its "free enterprise" rhetoric, the Reagan
Administration decided to destroy Michael Milken and the work he
and his investment-banking firm Drexel Burnham Lambert had done
to enable large numbers of firms to raise capital through means
other than what had been traditional on Wall Street. From CNN to
MCI, Milken raised the money, and also raised the political hopes
of Rudy Guiliani, Reagan’s U.S. attorney appointment to the Southern
District of New York.
As
has been documented on these pages many times, Guiliani managed
to force Milken to plead guilty to offenses that never had been
criminalized before in U.S. courts, and in the end, Drexal was bankrupt
and numerous savings and loan institutions that were holding the
"junk bonds" issued by the firm were pushed into insolvency.
In other words, the U.S. Department of Justice, first under Reagan,
and then under George Bush, would engage in a literal jihad against
the most innovative and creative of the Wall Street firms (to the
pleasure of the established financial entities that did not like
having to compete with Milken and Drexal), and leave much of the
U.S. financial system in a shambles.
The
Bush I Administration completely abandoned whatever libertarian
principles had been part of the Republican campaigns, replacing
a view of liberty with a "doctrine" of overwhelming government
force both overseas and at home. This has been part and parcel of
Republicanism ever since. There was a very brief time following
the elections of 1994 that swept the Republicans into control of
Congress in which libertarian ideals were near the front in the
form of the "Contract with America."
In
the aftermath of the Waco and Ruby Ridge killings, not to mention
the Clinton Administration’s wholesale attempt to nationalize medical
care, voters chose to put Republicans in power, as they promised
to put a stop to government running amuck. Unfortunately, just a
few months after the new Congress was sworn in, the Oklahoma City
bombing put the pro-government forces back into the spotlight, as
President Bill Clinton and his political and media allies attempted
to broad brush all libertarians as mad bombers and murderers. The
much-anticipated congressional hearings on Waco and Ruby Ridge in
the summer of 1995 fizzled out as Democrats and some Republicans
stood firmly behind the actions of the FBI and the ATF, thus destroying
what ultimately turned out to be the last chance for libertarians
to influence national policy.
Since
then, the small group of libertarians in the Republican Party have
been on the run and are ignored in the larger political discussion,
as the Neoconservatives have taken over the ideological wing of
the party. The result has been the current economic and foreign
policy debacles that ultimately will lead voters to throw out this
set of rascals (and vote in a new set of rascals).
Of
course, this does not mean I have hope for the Democrats who will
replace them. This is the party that long ago abandoned any pretense
of being for a free society, supporting, instead, an authoritarian
government. Granted, the Democrats say they don’t want as many foreign
policy adventures as do the Republicans (although the record of
the Clinton Administration exposes that lie). However, my guess
is that they want fewer resources spent on imposing war abroad so
that government can have those resources in order to conduct its
own anti-business war at home, as Democrats seem to hate productive
people of the private sector and want them to be destroyed at all
costs.
When
I hear the Democrats give their political vision, I wonder how anyone
could listen to what they say – until I hear the Republicans give
their own "vision." They offer nothing, absolutely nothing
of value. (Oh, yes. They are "tough on crime," which basically
means they want to treat all private citizens as criminals.) Democrats,
on the other hand, do not claim to be "tough on crime,"
but during Clinton’s administration, the U.S. prison population
doubled.
In
1980, the Republicans ran a wonderful political advertisement starring
a Tip O’Neal look-alike. The Tip character and a friend were driving
down the road, when they ran out of gas. The ad concluded: "The
Democrats have run out of gas."
Indeed,
that was true in 1980. Today, after a decade of mostly Republican
rule in the Congress, it is the Republicans who have run out of
gas. Their war abroad, authoritarian rule at home platform is an
outrage. All they want to do is to retain power for the sake of
retaining power. That their political opponents are just as outrageous
will not matter to the voters, who will vote for the opposition
because they are not Republicans.
A
new, Democrat-led government will be no better than what we have
now. However, because the Republicans abandoned any principles of
a free society, they have made it even easier for the Democrats
to continue their own brand of soft totalitarianism.
March 20, 2004
William
L. Anderson, Ph.D. [send him
mail], teaches economics at Frostburg State University in Maryland,
and is an adjunct scholar of the Ludwig
von Mises Institute.
Copyright
© 2004 LewRockwell.com
William
Anderson Archives
|