The Oil-Addiction Fallacy
by
William L. Anderson
by William L. Anderson
DIGG THIS
Watch any talking
head, and when the subject comes to energy, one can expect to hear
the mantra, Americans are addicted to oil, and especially
foreign oil. This is repeated as though the repetition
is proof that the premise is true.
Thus, American
taxpayers are currently being forced to contribute billions of dollars
and will be dunned many billions more in the future
for a number of measures that supposedly will secure
the United Statess energy use and supplies in the coming years.
Whats more, the debate about whether or not these energy programs
are even necessary is considered passé. The major question on energy
today, unfortunately, is this: How much will government central
planning replace relatively free markets in determining Americas
energy future?
If I may be
bold with words, it seems to me that what we are witnessing is that
the future production and supply of fuel in the United States is
to be left not to a free market, but to something akin to Mussolinis
corporate state, which gave us the Italian version of fascism.
While people today have been taught to think of fascism as related
to goose-stepping men in military uniforms and dictators with moustaches,
it actually represents a form of social organization in which government
forces policies upon the business sector in which the state directs
production in exchange for guaranteed monopolized markets.
Although I
realize that fascism is one of those shock
words that is easily misinterpreted or exaggerated, there is no
better term to describe what I see as the energy future of the United
States. To explain why I believe this interpretation so strongly,
I have prepared a number of questions and answers regarding the
production and use of fuel in the United States as a tool by which
to point out why the current direction being pushed both by the
Bush administration and by Congress not only is wrong, economically
speaking, but is just plain destructive.
Oil addiction
Q: Is the
United States addicted to oil, and especially foreign
oil?
A: The term
addicted obviously is pejorative. Addiction refers to
the habitual use of something for which one does not receive a benefit,
or at least a long-term benefit. For example, we think of addictions
as pertaining to the use of drugs such as cocaine or heroin that
might give the user a temporary high feeling but that
in the long term are injurious to his health. In reference to the
use of oil, the picture that the anti-addiction advocates
want to put forth is that of people who enjoy short-term gains from
using gasoline and other petroleum-based products, but whose use
in the long run makes them dependent on exports from hostile or
unstable countries, such as those in the Middle East.
John Fund
has recently pointed out in the Wall Street Journal, that
Bush has bought into the term in a big way:
Members of Congress who have recently visited with Mr. Bush in the
Oval Office have found him both fixated and fascinated by alternative
fuels. Hes all into switchgrass, Rep. Ellen Tauscher,
a California Democrat, told the San Francisco Chronicle.
She said Mr. Bush was very engaged and wants to move forward
on bold plans to cure Americas addiction to oil.
But there
is a problem in using the term addiction to refer to
oil. The term addiction denotes a moral choice,
as though it were immoral to use oil, but moral to
use a fuel developed from a different source. While I will deal
with the use of particular fuels that Bush apparently believes to
be the moral ones, I will first deal with the issue
of whether or not it is immoral to use petroleum.
Petroleum
is petroleum, and whether it comes from under the ground within
the borders of the United States or from elsewhere, it contains
the same molecular structure and the same physical properties. There
is no intrinsically moral difference between oil extracted from
within the United States and oil extracted from another country.
The only question that remains is about its use.
People use
petroleum as the basis for fuel for their automobiles, heating their
houses, powering vehicles used for work, and many other things.
The assumption from the oil is addictive crowd is that
these things are somehow immoral if they are done with the help
of oil but moral if done by aid of another fuel.
Now, it is
clear that many of the things on which we depend have an oil component,
but the development of fossil fuels has also meant that the world
as we know it now can sustain more human life, and for a longer
time. (In the pre-capitalist, pre–fossil-fuel age, life expectancy
was about 30 years. Environmentalists try to tell us those were
the Golden Years.) In other words, fossil fuels and especially
oil have been valuable products for civilization as we know
it.
It is true
that Americans (as well as nearly everyone else in the world) depend
heavily on petroleum-based fuel. Yet people also depend on oxygen
and we hear no one saying that we are addicted to oxygen
or addicted to water or addicted to food.
Petroleum-based fossil fuels have enabled people to enjoy standards
of living that were unthinkable in the past. The difference between
depending on something and being addicted to it is vast.
Policies that
Congress pushes toward oil and oil companies further advance the
oil is immoral mantra. First, Congress has severely
restricted the drilling for oil and currently is trying to permanently
stop new drilling in Alaska. The Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
(or ANWR) has vast reserves under its soil, and the area proposed
for drilling is not a pristine habitat for wildlife but rather
an arctic desert. (The pictures of wildlife that often accompany
the news stories on the subject are taken in areas where drilling
would never occur, something that the commentators do not mention.)
Second, the
new Democratic Congress is attempting to levy stiff taxes on domestic
oil (and natural gas), all in the name of trying to force down
energy prices. (Earth to Congress; slapping punitive taxes on anything
ultimately raises prices for those goods and services.) The obvious
purpose is to discourage domestic production of petroleum, making
oil-based fuels more expensive, which is ironic, since one reason
that voters turned out the Republicans was that they blamed them
for high gasoline prices.
Here is the
supreme irony: First we are told that we should not be importing
oil from Middle Eastern countries or places such as Venezuela, but
then we find that the government is also trying to squash domestic
production. Thus, it is not hard to conclude that the buying
oil from unstable countries line is a red herring.
The reasons
for such policies are obvious: Congress wants to end the era of
fossil fuels altogether, or at least force consumers to use other
fuels that Congress has deemed morally suitable for this country.
Thats why Congress continues to push the addiction
lie, as well as the fossil-fuels-create-global-warming viewpoint.
However, we hear about other choices for alternative
fuels, and especially ethanol, which I examine next.
Alternative
fuels
Q: Dont
ethanol and other alternative and renewable fuels show
more promise?
A: During
the first government-created energy crisis of the 1970s,
the U.S. government sank billions of taxpayer dollars into the synfuels
industry. The Carter administration, which pushed the program, insisted
that the United States could become energy independent
by making fuel from coal, oil shale, tar sands, and, of course,
corn.
At the time,
the price for a barrel of conventional petroleum was substantially
below the price for an equivalent synthetic fuel, and
that differential increased during the 1980s and 1990s. The Reagan
administration let the synfuels program die quietly,
and while there was a short resurgence in the early days of the
Gulf War toward energy independence, the benefits of
relatively inexpensive petroleum were obvious.
The problems
of ethanol are much greater than advocates wish to admit. First,
and most important, it literally takes more than one gallon of fossil
fuel to make a gallon of ethanol from corn. While political rhetoric
can be used to rewrite the tax and spending laws that permit the
government subsidy needed to make ethanol, it cannot rewrite
the laws of science. Corn-based ethanol, which has driven corn prices
to very high levels, is a naked subsidy to a relatively small group
of persons who grow corn for a living.
Second, ethanol
has serious transportation problems, as it cannot be moved by pipeline,
which is by far the least expensive and most economical way to transport
fuels for long distances. Instead, it must be transported by truck
and rail, and that means that new tank cars must be constructed,
and they have to be hauled by existing carriers, which are already
limited by other factors, such as the availability of roads, rails,
and train schedules. In other words, the amount of ethanol that
would be needed to be a viable replacement for fossil-based fuels
simply cannot be transported the way gasoline is transported because
the alternative transportation capacity does not exist, and would
not ever be likely to be on line. (Politicians and other alternative-energy
advocates forget that transportation is part of the economic process,
too. They cannot simply wish alternatives into being without looking
at the costs involved.) John Fund of the Wall Street Journal
writes,
As for corn-based ethanol, Jerry Taylor of the Cato Institute calls
the current mania to subsidize it the closest thing to a state
religion America has. Corn farmers have done a good job of
disguising the fact that it still takes more than a gallon of fossil
fuel 29 percent more is the best estimate to make
a gallon of ethanol. In addition, various mandates requiring the
use of ethanol significantly increased gasoline prices last summer
and led to spot shortages because ethanol cant be carried
through pipelines and requires special blending plants. James Glassman,
an economist with J.P. Morgan Chase, notes that expensive ethanol
was a big factor in the sticker-shock consumers encountered at the
pump this summer. Wed probably have retail gasoline
prices between $2.30 and $2.40 a gallon if not for ethanol,
he told the Wall Street Journal last June, when pump prices
were topping $3 a gallon.
Third, the
corn-based alcohol fuel itself is not as desirable as gasoline or
diesel fuel in terms of performance. (Yes, Indy cars run on alcohol,
but the owners and drivers of those cars do not worry about things
such as gas mileage.) Ethanol gets fewer miles per gallon than do
gasoline and diesel fuel, and when one adds the fact that the creation
of a gallon of corn-based ethanol requires more than a gallon of
petroleum-based fuels to be burned, we have the perverse result
in which the more ethanol we create and use, the more we use oil.
And this is done in the name of conservation?
It is true
that ethanol can be made from plants such as switchgrass and other
weeds, but the fundamental issues do not change. Furthermore,
because the current ethanol program really is a subsidy to corn
farmers, the idea that corn farmers and their political allies would
permit other widespread ethanol programs just does not square with
political reality.
Energy independence
Q: Wont
energy independence make us more secure?
A: There is
something reassuring about the concept of energy independence,
but the term is much more dishonest than one might think. First,
and most important, the United States is part of a world
economy, and it is not the case that because one product
is produced within the borders of this country the United States
is independent of what happens elsewhere in the world.
Indeed, many people who call for energy independence
have no problem in calling for U.S. troops to be sent around the
world for military operations because they insist that global issues
are our issues, too. (My comments are not an endorsement of such
policies, but rather an attempt to point out that people who call
for energy independence need to be consistent in their thinking.)
Second, one
must remember that trade itself is by nature a peaceful activity,
spurred on by mutual benefits to all parties involved. It is in
Americans interest to trade with all nations, including those
in the Middle East. Before the Gulf War of 1991, the United States
was trading peacefully with Iraq and other nations of the region.
The turmoil in Iraq-U.S. relations was more the result of U.S. policies
than anything hatched by the late Saddam Hussein, as cruel and dictatorial
a person as he was. Furthermore, even if this country could theoretically
produce all necessary fuel domestically, the cost to taxpayers and
consumers would be extremely high and would greatly lower Americans
standard of living and increase the rate of poverty here.
Energy
independence is a foolish term that has no bearing in
reality. Such a regime of independence would require
government to expand its powers of taxation and regulation far beyond
where those powers operate today, and Americans would be made substantially
poorer for the effort.
There is
another way. The United States could return to being a peaceful
trading partner with countries of the world, no matter what the
ideology of their governments. In the long run, there would be no
call for energy independence, because trade obviously
would be the better and wiser route to take.
May
16, 2008
William
L. Anderson, Ph.D. [send him
mail], teaches economics at Frostburg State University in Maryland,
and is an adjunct scholar of the Ludwig
von Mises Institute. He also is a consultant
with American Economic Services.
Copyright
© 2008 Future of Freedom Foundation
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