Executive summary

The point of this article is to show you why US government data cannot be trusted as being accurate.

I’m going to show you how you can show that the CMS Nursing Home Data, which is supposed to be the gold standard, is crap with just 3 examples.

Basically, the rule I use is if you cannot independently verify the numbers they are telling you are correct, you should not believe the numbers are correct.

This is why I prefer data, such as anecdotes, where you can independently verify the evidence with multiple sources.

Record-level data can often enable you to validate the data is accurate; this is why governments try to avoid releasing this type of data

Do you know why the record level public health safety data on vaccines isn’t publicly available? Until recently, the US government never released record-level data on anything regarding public health other than deaths. But that’s not helpful because you can’t trace it back to any causes like a vaccination.

In general, you only get to see the data summaries they want you to see; you never get to see the “source code” so to speak.

In general, the reason you almost never get to see the record-level data is because it would expose two things:

1. They are lying to you about the safety and efficacy of the vaccines. There are many nursing homes showing data that clearly shows the vaccines are disaster in nursing home after nursing home where the weekly death rates skyrocketed right after the vaccine rollout.
2. Some of the underlying data used in their analyses is very unreliable and can completely skew the aggregate numbers, such as COVID deaths > COVID infections or thousands of deaths in a facility with just 50 beds.

In short, it would destroy confidence in their narrative.

When the record-level data is available, you can actually see whether it is self consistent, something that you cannot do with just the summaries that they normally give you

But sometimes they screw up and make the data available. A perfect example is the CMS Nursing Home Data which exposes the data we’ve all been asking for: record level data where we can validate/invalidate the data.

They created a portal for showing COVID-19 cases and deaths, but it also tracked all-cause mortality and deaths and they made it public for everyone to see. Not quite at the record level data of each death, but at the weekly summaries of COVID infections, COVID deaths, and all-cause deaths at each facility.

For me, it’s a target-rich environment. Never before have we been able to see record level data on anything. Now we can.

And as I wrote earlier, the Nursing Home Data shows the COVID vaccine is a disaster.

Today I’m going to poke into the CMS data and show you three examples of why you cannot trust the data they are telling you to trust.

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