What Do We Know About Syria? Next to Nothing

Anyone accepting “facts” or narratives from any interested party is being played.

About the only “fact” the public knows with any verifiable certainty about Syria is that much of that nation is in ruins. Virtually everything else presented as “fact” is propaganda intended to serve one of the competing narratives or discredit one or more competing narratives.

Consider a partial list of “interested parties” spinning their own narratives about events in Syria: (in no particular order)

1. The government of Syria

2. non-state groups in Syria

3. Turkey

4. Saudi Arabia

5. Iran

6. Jordan

7. The government of Iraq Money and Work Unchained Charles Hugh Smith Best Price: $12.86 Buy New $17.00 (as of 12:15 EDT - Details)

8. non-state groups in Iraq

9. The Kurds

10. Hamas

11. Israel

12. Lebanon

13. The Gulf States

14. Russia

15. United States

16. European Union

17. United Kingdom

18. France

19. Germany

20. Italy

21. China

This doesn’t exhaust the list of interested parties, of course, but it reflects the spectrum of competing parties pushing a narrative that supports their particular interests in Syria. These include neighboring countries, regional powers, global powers and consumers of Syrian energy exports.

Let’s start by stating the obvious: the only way to gain any reasonably accurate contexts/assessments in Syria is to have intelligence-gathering assets on the ground. The situation is fluid and complex, and there is no one “truth.” Get a Job, Build a Rea... Charles Hugh Smith Best Price: $13.83 Buy New $20.66 (as of 05:20 EDT - Details)

The only way to get any sort of handle on the military, political and social dynamics in Syria is to have access to the intelligence assessments and analyses of all the major players’ intelligence agencies.

In other words, the only way to get any sort of comprehensive understanding would be to have a WikiLeaks-type release of intelligence reports from all the players with assets on the ground and have a deep enough understanding of the history and culture of the region to make sense of the overlaps, conflicts, nuances and shades of “truth” presented in each of the intel reports.

Only by collating “raw” (unfiltered) intel gathered on the ground and high-level analysis by those directing the various interests’ campaigns could a reasonably accurate assessment be assembled.

Short of that, we know next to nothing. What are presented as “facts” are narratives designed to persuade us of the fidelity of the “facts” being presented and the rightness of the narrative supported by the presented “facts.”

If the “facts” aren’t designed to support a specific narrative, then they’re designed to undermine or discredit a competing narrative.

There are several ways to push a narrative: one is to present “evidence” that supposedly verifies the “facts,” and the other is to limit the public’s access to competing narratives amd claims.

In the good old days, the Soviet propaganda machine was famous for erasing public figures from photos once they ran afoul of the regime. In the photo published last week, Igor was standing next to a KGB apparatchik, and in the photo published this week, Igor has vanished, replaced by a snowy background–perhaps appropriate, given that Igor ould soon be enjoying the rigors of a Siberian gulag.

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