Cycle of War & Civil Unrest

QUESTION: Marty; Your work on the cycle of war is really amazing. I found it fascinating how war has popped up everywhere in 2014 and then Ferguson hits the same as in 1964 when the race riots also lined up with your model. This too may be a trend and the peak in that comes in 2017-2018?

Thanks

HG

Detroit 1967

ANSWER:  A peak in domestic activity should appear in the 2017-2018 time slots but that will not be the end. It appears we will extend into 2020 before seeing any sort of a reversal of fortune. True, the American race riots began in 1964 peaked in 1968 and ended in 1971. This appears to be the standard time for such events.

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