by S.H. Blannelberry Guns.com
Recently by S.H. Blannelberry: Did the NRA Make a Backdoor Deal To Not Oppose Universal BackgroundChecks?
Everyone in politics bends the truth. But some do it more than others. Here is a list of five memes gun-control advocates continue to propagate despite their dubious validity.
1. 40 Percent of Guns are Sold without Background Checks
From New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg to President Obama to Vice President Biden, they've all mentioned the u201C40 percentu201D figure with respect to the number of gun transactions that are conducted without a background check.
u201CThe law already requires licensed gun dealers to run background checks, and over the last 14 years that's kept 1.5 million of the wrong people from getting their hands on a gun, said President Obama during a speech on Jan. 16, 2013.
u201CBut it's hard to enforce that law when as many as 40 percent of all gun purchases are conducted without a background check.u201D
In a previous Guns.com article, I investigated this issue in-depth. What was the conclusion? Well, if one accepts the findings of economist John Lott Jr., then as he said in his write up on the issue, u201CWe don't know the precise number today, but it is hard to believe that it is above single digits.u201D
However, if one believes that Lott is unfairly biased, that he leans too far to the pro-gun side, then one can consider the Washington Post's analysis of that 40 percent figure:
In other words, rather than being 30 to 40 percent (the original estimate of the range) or u201Cup to 40 percentu201D (Obama's words), gun purchases without background checks amounted to 14 to 22 percent. And since the survey sample is so small, that means the results have a survey caveat: plus or minus six percentage points.
2. Gun ownership is on the decline in America
Almost every pro-gun control advocate contends that gun ownership in the U.S. is on the decline. And they all point to the same research to substantiate that claim, the bi-annual General Social Survey (GSS) conducted by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago.
However, the matter is far from settled. There's plenty of anecdotal evidence to suggest gun ownership is on the rise — the number of FBI background checks has skyrocketed, studies indicate that more women are embracing gun ownership, gun dealers testifying to how crazy business has been in recent years — but perhaps the most convincing evidence is the Gallup Poll, which suggests that there has been no consistent decline in gun ownership (see chart below for comparison in poll findings).
There is one very big, glaring issue with this claim. That is, the number of Defensive Gun Uses (DGU) per year is unknown. What's DGU? It's the use of a firearm in self-defense or in defense of others.
Obviously, this happens all the time. Law-abiding citizens use or brandish or fire a gun to protect their property or to thwart off a potential attacker, burglar, rapist, etc. But determining how many times a year this actually happens is a subject of much debate amongst social scientists and criminologists because frequently DGUs go unreported to police, e.g. if one shows a gun to defuse a situation, does that person always file a police report?
That said, on the high end, criminologist Gary Kleck at Florida State University estimates that it's as high as 2.5 million DGUs per year. On the lower end of the spectrum, the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) puts that number at about 100,000 DGUs per year.
The point is simply that without knowing this key variable to the equation how can anyone argue that one is more likely to be shot or injured by his/her own weapon than they are to use that firearm in a self-defense situation? What number of annual DGU are pro-gun control advocates factoring in to make this claim?