Today the
highest-price good that people buy besides their houses is their
car, and this reality leads people to believe that we can't possibly
let the American car industry die. We couldn't possibly be a real
country and a powerful nation without our beloved auto industry,
which is so essential to our national well-being. In any case,
this is what spokesmen for the big three say.
What about
the time before the car? Look at the years between 1870 and 1930.
As surprising as this may sound today, the biggest-ticket item
on every household budget besides the house itself was its piano.
Everyone had to have one. Those who didn't have one aspired to
have one. It was a prize, an essential part of life, and they
sold by the millions and millions.
That too
was new. Americans before 1850 mostly imported their pianos. American
manufacturing was nearly nonexistent. After 1850, that changed
dramatically with the flowering of what would become a gigantic
US piano industry. The Gilded Age saw a vast increase in its popularity.
By 1890, Americans fed half the world market for pianos. Between
1890 and 1928, sales ranged from 172,000 to 364,000 per year.
It was a case of relentless and astounding growth.
They were
used in classrooms everywhere in times when music education was
considered to be the foundation of a good education. They were
the concert instruments in homes before recorded music and iPods.
They were essential for all entertainment. American buyers couldn't
get enough, and private enterprise responded.
New York,
Boston, and Chicago were the homes of these companies. There was
the great Chickering piano made by a company founded in 1823 and
which later led the world in beauty and sound. There was Hallet
and Davis in Boston, J. and C. Fischer in New York, as well as
Strich and Ziedler, Hazelton, William Knabe, Baldwin, Weber, Mason
and Hamlin, Decker and Sons, Wurlizer, Steck, Kimball in Chicago,
and, finally, Steinway.
The American
piano industry was the greatest in the world, not because the
Americans came up with any new and great manufacturing techniques,
though there were some innovations, but because the economic conditions
made it most favorable to be manufactured here.
With the
rise of this industry came a vast marketing apparatus. Piano ads
were everywhere, as a tour of old magazines shows. It was widely
believed that spending money on a piano wasn't really spending.
It was an investment. The money you paid would be embedded right
there in this beautiful and useful item. You can always sell it
for more than you paid for it, and this was generally true. So
people would make great sacrifices for these instruments.
With the
growth of this manufacturing came an explosion of shops that served
the piano market all up and down the industry. Piano tuning was
a big-time profession. Retail shops with pianos opened everywhere,
and the sheet-music business exploded with them. Ever notice how
in big cities the music stores are typically family owned and
established 40, 50, and even 100 years ago? This is a surviving
remnant of our industrial past.
All of this
changed again in 1930, which was the last great year of the American
piano. Sales fell and continued to fall when times were tough.
The companies that were beloved by all Americans fell on hard
times and began to go belly up one by one. After World War II
the trend continued, as ever more pianos began to be made overseas.
In
1960, we began to see the first major international challenge
to what was left of the US market position. Japan was already
manufacturing half as many pianos as the United States. By 1970,
a revolution occurred as Japan's production outstripped the United
States, and it has been straight down ever since. By 1980, Japan
made twice as many as the United States. Then production shifted
to Korea. Today China is the center of world piano production.
You probably see them in your local hotel bar.
And what
happened to the once-beloved and irreplaceable American piano
industry? Steinway survives to make luxury instruments that few
can afford (a reader notes that Baldwin is still around today
too). Mason & Hamilin has made a great comeback in the high-end
market. The rest moved overseas under new ownership or were completely
wiped out.
Does anyone
care that much? Not too many. Have we been devastated as a nation
and a people because of it? Not at all. It was just a matter of
the economic facts. The demand went down and production costs
for the pianos that were wanted were much cheaper elsewhere.
Now, a piano
aficionado reading this will say, buddy, you are crass. Listen
to the sound of an older model Chickering and you can tell the
difference. It was warm and wonderful, nearly symphonic. It is
mellow and perfect for the best repertoire. By comparison, this
new Chinese piano is sharp and angular and pointed. It sounds
like a marimba. You can't play Schubert or Brahms on such junk.
No one wants to hear that thing. Bring back the old days when
pianos made sounds that sounded like real music!
Well, you
can still get that old Chickering sound, even from a piano made
in New York. You can buy a Steinway. Of course you have to pay
$50,000 plus and even as much as $120,000, but they are there.
You say that is unaffordable? Says you. It is all a matter of
priorities. You can forego your house and live in a tiny apartment
and still own the most gorgeous instrument money can buy. In any
case, it makes no economic sense for you to demand a magnificent
piano at a very low price when reality does not make that possible.
In the same
way, many people will bemoan the loss of the US car industry and
wax eloquent on the glory days of the 1957 Chevy or what have
you. But we need to deal with the reality that all that is in
the past. Economics demands forward motion, a conforming to the
facts on the ground and a relentless and realistic assessment
of the relationship between cost and price, supply and demand.
We must learn to love these forces in society because they are
the only things that keep rationality alive in the way we use
resources. Without them, there would be nothing but waste and
chaos, and eventual starvation and death. We simply cannot live
outside economic reality.
Let's say
that FDR had initiated a bailout of the piano industry and then
even taken it over and nationalized it. The same firms would have
made the same pianos for decades and decades. But that wouldn't
have stopped the Japanese industry from taking off in the 1960s
and '70s. Americans would have far preferred them because they
would have been cheaper. American pianos, because they would be
state owned, would fall in quality, lower and lower to the point
that they would become like a Soviet car in the 1960s. Of course
you could set up tariff barriers. That would have forced American
pianos on us. Except for one thing: demand would still have collapsed.
The pianos still have to have a market. But let's say you find
a workaround for that problem by requiring everyone to own a piano.
You still can't make people play them and value them.
In
the end you have to ask, is it really worth trillions in subsidies,
vast tariffs, impositions all around, just to keep what you declare
to be an essential industry alive? Well, eventually, as we have
learned in the case of pianos, this is not essential. Things come
and things go. Such is the world. Such is the course of events.
Such is the forward motion of history in a world of relentless
progress generated by the free market. Thank goodness that FDR
didn't bother saving the US piano industry! As a result, Americans
can get a huge range of instruments from all countries in the
world at any price they are willing to pay.
Today government
is even more arrogant and absurd, and it actually believes that
by passing legislation it can save the US car industry. It can
subsidize and pay for uneconomic activities, and pay ever more
every year. The government can also pay millions of people to
make mud pies because mud pies are deemed to be an essential industry.
You can do this, but at what cost and what would possibly be the
point? Eventually, even the government will have to accord itself
to the reality that economics reminds us of on a daily basis.