Their Theories – Our Money
by
Michael S. Rozeff
by Michael S. Rozeff
Whose theories
are their theories? In this case, Robert J. Shiller and George Akerlof,
two economists, but Shiller in particular. Whose money? Mine and
yours – ours.
Shiller published
an article in the Wall Street Journal on Tuesday, January
27, 2009: "Animal
Spirits Depend on Trust." His conclusion is the standard
statist, authoritarian, and Keynesian solution to the recession:
"In due
course our animal spirits will once again turn positive, but we
would rather that happen this year or the next rather than five
or 10 years from now. There is only one way to speed this process:
greatly expand governmental support of credit markets and pass a
much larger fiscal stimulus plan than is now proposed."
I have no problem
with his proposing his theory of animal spirits. As a scientist,
I will entertain all sorts of hypotheses and give them my due consideration
and evaluation. I have a very large problem with that theory being
imposed on me.
When one religious
sect attempts to impose its beliefs on another, we rightly condemn
such behavior. We believe in religious freedom. Let each sect worship
in its own way. Let each leave the other alone and not interfere
with them. Let there be peaceful relations. These are the prevalent
and right beliefs we put into practice.
But when one
sect of economists attempts to impose its beliefs on us, we do not
condemn it. We applaud it as democracy. We applaud it as the making
of public policy through free speech and public debate. In this,
we do not believe in political freedom. We do not believe that each
political preference be expressed in its own way. We do not believe
in leaving each other alone. Instead we believe in interfering with
each other. Many of us run to Washington and attempt to impose our
beliefs on others.
Shiller’s theory
is that the boom-bust cycle is largely driven by animal spirits.
There is a resemblance of this theory to Robert Prechter’s socionomics
which hearkens back to Vilfredo Pareto’s theories. There may or
may not be something to these ideas. They are worth thinking about.
They do not satisfy me, although some aspects are worth pursuing,
but I don’t intend to evaluate them here because the larger issue
is more important, which is that we are living in a system in which
such theories can be legally put into practice and applied to all
of us, including those of us who do not want the theory applied
to us.
Here we have
an untried and untested theory being proposed by an economist of
some note and notoriety. There is no evidence that his theory is
correct. There is much evidence inconsistent with it. There are
many things that such a theory does not explain. There are many
viable competing theories. In the scientific world, research into
these ideas will go on for many decades to come. We scientists will
think about and research these ideas in peace. We will not
be imposing them on anyone. It is certainly impetuous and premature
for Shiller to declare that such a theory be put into practice.
It is downright preposterous, but I fully grant him the right to
display any and all of these personal characteristics. In the scientific
arena, they would not matter.
What is highly
bothersome is that we accept the idea that such proposals may
be enacted into legislation that will become the law of the
land and apply to all of us. This is why newspapers publish such
opinions. Newspapers are not scientific journals. They are part
of a public discourse that ends up in legislation.
But I ask:
why are we having this discourse at all? Why should we accept it
as normal? Why should many or most of us think of this as a good
thing? We accept a system that denies us political freedom, and
we do so in the name of freedom!
We could do
worse, I concede. We could have a Bush or an Obama unilaterally
tell us what to do and order our lives in detail. Some debate is
better than no debate. However, we could do a lot better. Many of
us have closed our minds to doing a lot better. We have cast off
the idea of peaceful political relations with one another.
Having settled the matter through a Constitution and a civil war,
we have accepted the idea that we must all occupy the same political
boat.
We allow ourselves
peaceful (or at least more peaceful) relations in many other areas
of our lives. We grant each other the freedom to worship as we choose,
to travel where we choose, to dress, speak, eat, and think as we
choose, to educate ourselves as we choose, to invest as we choose,
and to doctor ourselves as we choose – with a proviso, which is
that, having accepted a system that denies us political freedom,
we are making serious inroads into many of these other once-free
areas of choice.
Why do we have
religious freedom? Mankind learned through trial and error that
religious warfare was a destructive waste. We learned that religious
toleration pays off. Wendy McElroy has a nice article on
why we have religious freedom here.
Voltaire played an important role. France almost self-destructed
with its religious wars, but commerce and the stock exchange in
England encouraged people with different religious beliefs to tolerate
one another.
We should have
learned by now that political freedom also pays off, and that the
lack of political freedom does not pay off. We have learned that
lesson but only in part. We recognize that totalitarian regimes
destroy lives, but we tolerate elements of totalitarianism all the
time in our own political systems; and we constantly propose and
put into practice more and more of such totalitarian notions. We
do not seem to realize that having a single, central, powerful national
government that can enact a very wide variety of laws to be imposed
on all within its reach, is totalitarian in its essence.
One must clearly
realize that we do not possess political freedom.
Not enough of us recognize this basic fact. If we had political
freedom, we would tolerate a variety of political entities on the
soil of America. We would not have a Mother Church encompassing
all of us that we call the U.S.A. We would have a multitude of communities
and associations that people might build that would interweave in
ways beyond central planning, just as a variety of ethnic food restaurants
grows up in many cities. We would not be having a public conversation
about the Shiller plan to increase our animal spirits via government
action. Many of us would be ignoring Shiller altogether and acting
on our own theories. Some of us would be wondering how it is that
Shiller and his government compatriots escape the animal spirits
that they attribute to the rest of us. What makes them the immune
and superior beings who will push and pull our animal spirits for
our own good?
Nor is there
political freedom around the globe. Every citizen of every nation
is held hostage to one Mother Church of that nation, and there are
always ongoing efforts to bring the entire world under the rule
of a single supra-national governing entity. This makes nationalists
very uncomfortable. These nationalists should be as uncomfortable
with their own monopoly governments as they are with a world government.
Both deny political freedom.
We
have been taught to think and believe that we have political freedom,
because that was the dream of the framers of our Constitution or
because that political system was the kernel of the American political
genius. However, the historical development of a more and more powerful
and centralized national government belies all such ideas as does
the American civil war.
We Americans
have congratulated ourselves continually since 1775 over our enlightened
political arrangements. We have held them out to the world as ideals.
We stopped dead in our tracks. We stopped progressing politically.
We thought we had reached the pinnacle of political wisdom and could
go no further. If we did not rise to the challenge of creating greater
political liberty, we would retrogress and become like any Old World
repressive system. We set the course away from the pole of greater
liberty and toward the pole of central control. Deep in our hearts,
we feared real liberty. The Constitution was a compromise and it
compromised liberty. We needed to see it as the flawed document
that it was. We needed to maintain a push toward greater and greater
liberty, come what may. We needed to recognize that this would take
hard work, open minds, tolerance, boldness, and courage. As great
as America was, as enduring and hard-working and courageous were
those who built the country, they failed. We human beings usually
fail. We have to accept that so as to be prepared to do better.
It is no disgrace to fail in some respects even as one succeeds
marvelously in others. Americans have succeeded greatly, and we
have failed greatly. It is no disgrace to recognize where we have
failed and now try to do better. It is a virtue. It is a great challenge.
Liberty is a great challenge. Political freedom remains an unfinished
work before us and before all the peoples of this world. It is our
greatest challenge. Rockets to other planets are fine. Unraveling
genes is fine. Understanding the brain is fine. But what has happened
to the challenge of political liberty? Why have we relegated it
worldwide to a dark corner in a dark closet in an abandoned home?
Why have we boarded up the windows? Why are we afraid to peer inside?
January
30, 2009
Michael
S. Rozeff [send him mail]
is a retired Professor of Finance living in East Amherst, New York.
Copyright
© 2009 LewRockwell.com
Michael
S. Rozeff Archives
|