Government by Think Tank
by
Michael S. Rozeff
by Michael S. Rozeff
DIGG THIS
The welfare-warfare
State is evolving into rule by college-trained bureaucrats. The
way they see things, we need them to guide us and make decisions
for us. We hire them as experts to run our lives for us. They have
the credentials and qualifications that we untrained and unwashed
do not have. Society has created the government jobs. They fill
them.
They have taken
6 courses in Urban Studies, or Sustainable Development, or Sociology,
or Women’s and Gender Studies, or Social Work, or International
Relations at an accredited college. They have been duly certified
by society as competent practitioners.
They are specialists.
They are qualified. What more can anyone ask? What does any of us
know that can possibly compare? We hereby relinquish control to
these anointed ones.
The government
amoeba subdivides. More and more specialities and sub-specialities
arise. More and more bureaus. More and more rules and regulations.
More and more malfunctions that require yet more specialties and
rules. The more such experts there are and the more jobs and roles
that are invented for them, the worse off we become. The division
of government labor decreases productivity.
The new age
specialists enter every level of Government because that is where
the jobs are. They become the bureaucrats who fashion rules and
implement them. They are society’s uplifters. They are on the frontlines
plugging up the ever-expanding leaks in the social dikes. They lead
happy lives, blind to anything greater. Their youthful idealism
does not fade. They believe that Government is the benign means
to achieve the good of all, and they are the instruments of this
good.
Not that they
do not have their frustrations. There are all those other pesky
bureaucrats who will not endorse their plans. There are those stubborn
politicians who refuse to give them the money they need to expand
their programs. If only they would listen, things could be put right.
There are their bosses. There are those non-conforming clients (we
the people) who refuse to behave according to the rules.
In national
government, these specialists people Washington’s think tanks. Their
training widens into allied fields. They have Master’s degrees and
Doctorates. They attend conferences and write learned reports paid
for by the taxpayer and used by other government bureaucrats. The
taxpayer in Kansas City and Atlanta is in good hands with all-state.
They learn
to write mind-numbing bureaucratese, a language that conceals what
it is saying behind long Latin-based words rather than short Anglo-Saxon
words. How is this routinizing and amoral language that mimics objectivity
and sounds scientific taught and passed on? This is an unsolved
mystery. It is a Nile awaiting a Livingstone, unfound by him and
unfound by us. Is there a bureaucratic sub-culture embedded in college
English departments? All doctorates imbibe this language. Is that
where the source is, handed down from Germanic sources of yesteryear?
The language
is so overwhelming that even the denizens of the bureaucracies have
to find ways to simplify it. They use abbreviations. The National
Defense Research Institute becomes the NDRI. It is a federally funded
research and development center (FFRDC). It does research for the
Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) which is part of the Department
of Defense (DoD). There is more, but I fear upsetting your stomach.
Yet we need to go a bit further. Actually, the NDRI is under the
National Security Research Division (NSRD) which is under the RAND
corporation, a major think tank, at which point we stop before we
vomit (SBWV.)
RAND means
research and development. Project RAND began in 1945. Major General
Curtis LeMay was its first employee. LeMay was the model for the
demented general played by Sterling Hayden in Dr. Strangelove. LeMay
was ready to incinerate Russia with atomic bombs, just as he had
"scorched, boiled and baked to death" hundreds of thousands
of Japanese in raids by B-29s. The first RAND report was on earth-circling
satellites. They were thinking ahead.
The company
itself began in 1948 (with a staff of 200) after splitting off from
Douglas Aircraft Company, the manufacturer of the legendary DC-3.
In its words, it became a nonprofit organization and nonpartisan
company devoted to empirical research and analysis of social and
economic problems. How nice of them.
Actually, RAND
is a consulting company, largely owned by the experts who work there.
They pay themselves through the governments contracts they work
on, or rather we pay them. They garner the profits. They are actually
partisans of government because government dispenses their contracts.
Government has grown a new limb, one might say. This is government
by bureaucrat, expert, specialist, and think tank.
No one can
deny the importance of a number of RAND scientific accomplishments,
advances, and contributions, but if there are any RAND reports that
recommend reducing the government that feeds them, they have been
interred. RAND’s own boastful
words verify that it is an arm of government. RAND is really
the kind of thing that modern governments are made up of, and it
isn’t sugar and spice.
RAND’s intent
today is to address "social problems." The entire issue
of the appropriate size and realm of political government is buried
underneath this phrase: social problems. The Pavlovian response
of the specialists at RAND is that if someone identifies an "urgent"
social problem, then it must be addressed by government and there
is a role for RAND. RAND may be critical, even very critical, of
how government has been doing things; but they will always suggest
ways to make government work better. The promised land always has
Washington as its Capitol.
Initially,
the problem RAND specialized in was military planning. This remains
its forte. But if experts can handle military planning, then why
not social planning? Some of the story of RAND’s move into social
welfare research is here.
RAND is associated with Robert McNamara’s whiz kids, with low-income
housing, the health care system, obesity, urban decay, poverty,
and education; with space and with political affairs overseas.
RAND’s 2005
report
on the problems of creating effective government in Iraq is an example
of RAND at work. This report is very informative in showing us some
things that went wrong after the U.S. conquest of Iraq. It identifies
numerous serious errors and blunders of the Coalition Provisional
Authority, led by the U.S. and the U.K. There are 85 pages of them
along with the serious problems that have been faced and that the
subsequent Iraqi governments face. Naturally, the solution is a
renewed, heightened, and tenacious U.S. presence for another decade.
What else?
Over and over,
the report also says the obvious. Iraq’s government cannot be stabilized
without building working institutions of government. Iraq
needs ministries of justice, security, and the interior that work
and work together, coordinated by higher governmental authority.
This would mean that the different factions would actually have
to get along with one another. At the moment, many of them have
no reason to do so. It is hardly news that a government cannot work
unless its components work. Iraq’s components don’t work.
At the end
RAND concludes that Iraqis are not up to the task of institution-building.
It says: "Unfortunately, we need to be realistic about the
likelihood of the Iraqi Transitional Government having the ability
or vision to tackle these strategic issues." Who is competent?
"The United States, the United Kingdom, and their international
partners will have to work hard to ensure that long-term institution-building
remains on the Iraqi agenda." These are the report’s final
words.
Although we
have been told in major speeches by administration officials that
Iraqis are just like us in wanting freedom and democracy, apparently
they aren’t. They don’t want it in quite the way we have been told.
Saddam is gone but RAND warns that we have to stay on and on and
on while prodding Iraqis to do what they are supposed to have wanted
to do on their own.
It’s unfair
of me to hold our leaders to a standard of truth. The fact is that
they were all a bunch of dummies. RAND says so. One big problem
was "A lack of worst-case and contingency planning. Both in
the runup to the war and during the occupation, there was a failure
to conduct worst-case (or even other-case) analysis. This meant
that coalition planners were unable to prepare effectively even
for expected contingencies or failures." They leapt before
they looked. What a bunch of idiots we have for leaders. Is it any
wonder I’m a zero-government man?
In several
places, this RAND report makes clear that both the U.S. and U.K.
governments plan further efforts like Iraq. Astounding! They
really are idiots. I was just making fun a moment ago. Now I really
believe it. They must be thinking about Syria and Iran, but who
knows what goes on in their pea-sized brains? "Furthermore,
as the United States and its allies plan for further post-conflict
reconstruction operations, they would do well to heed some of the
lessons learned from Iraq." Further operations! They must be
kidding, but they are not. A footnote informs us: "The United
States and the United Kingdom have both established new government
units to plan for post-conflict reconstruction and stabilization
operations." Egad. The amoeba splits yet again.
The U.S. and
U.K. are going into the invasion and reconstruction business! Forget
the U.K. Who cares what the U.K. does? All they’ve ever done for
the last 100 years is drag us into wars and produce socialists until
we finally dragged them into one of our own morasses. We got lucky
there. Tony Blair likes internationalism. But the U.S.? Wouldn’t
we be better off paying every Congressman a few million dollars
apiece to cease and desist? For a lousy billion dollars, we could
save ourselves a trillion or two. Build them all golf courses and
close down Congress. I can’t think of an investment with a higher
payback.
There are some
contractors who are very happy to learn about these future plans.
They are probably drawing them up in some back room somewhere. Invasions
and conquests create immense problems, but these problems are government
opportunities for further division of government labor. One of these
problem areas is "post-conflict reconstruction," which
means the building of states by other states. This complex and inherently
impossible process spawns many new bureaucracies. Security Sector
Reform (SSR) is, for example, part of this state-building process.
Studies of
state-building and post-conflict reconstruction have been going
on for over 30 years behind the backs of blind and industrious people
like me who pay no attention to such matters until they retire.
Our puny little middle-class minds simply cannot imagine the scope
of governmental damage that is out there. When we finally do, we
become radicals who want zero-government (ZG.)
These studies
examine far off places like Kosovo, East Timor, Rwanda, Iraq, and
Afghanistan. Mostly we’ve never heard of them and don’t want to
unless they have a beach and a good hotel. The problems in these
places are absolutely huge. Think of inner-city problems, America’s
failed War on Poverty, and multiply those by a factor of 10 or more.
The think-tank,
Foreign Policy in Focus (FPIP), writes of the severe post-conflict
reconstruction problems in an article here.
I don’t want to spoil your day by listing them. But it, like RAND,
is color-blind. They see a great deal. They can analyze problems
and make recommendations, but the glasses they are wearing prevent
them from seeing all the colors and possible solutions. They are
unable to raise basic questions like these:
Why should
the U.S. even be involved in the internal affairs of foreign countries?
Why should
the U.S. even try to construct strong yet free states from weak
states in far-flung regions of the globe?
Why are states,
strong or weak, regarded as the solution to political and social
problems? Don’t they cause most of the problems in the first place?
Does the U.S.
or anyone actually have the know-how to construct strong yet free
states from weak states? Does the U.S. have the know-how to construct
politically stable societies?
Why should
the U.S. have the power to direct the lives and treasure of its
citizens in decades-long attempts to overcome foreign problems that
evidently its efforts cannot resolve but only can make worse?
Other, more
impertinent questions come to mind. Is there actually something
in the Constitution that permits such ventures? If so, who wrote
such a stupid document? Did I actually agree to it somehow? Did
that happen while I was asleep? Why don’t we ship Congress and the
Executive off to Iraq?
FPIP, like
RAND, accepts the government of which it is a beneficiary and part.
Its report makes no bones about the problems of state-building,
just as the RAND report did not soft-pedal the problems in Iraq.
That is because they both regard these problems as requiring further
government commitments and see no other possible solutions. In fact,
FPIP thinks the U.S. has to address issues covering entire swaths
of the globe:
"Whilst
the southern axis of U.S. foreign policy interests – which currently
runs from Afghanistan through Pakistan to India, shows some signs
of greater cohesion – Pakistan remains a politically-complex state,
and the inimical northern states do little to support the emergence
of greater stability on the Afghan side of the border. Drugs and
military flows are regular trade. Bangladesh too shows signs of
increased insurgent activity, and Iran – itself an important stabilizer
for Afghanistan – is under the spotlight of the UN with regard to
its nuclear industry. The lesson is clear; creating greater stability
in Afghanistan – a land locked state – as part of an emerging foreign
policy realignment, requires a far more comprehensive and collaborative
approach to regional security to be adopted."
The more problems,
the merrier! Pakistan has nuclear weapons. Imagine mobs bringing
down Mushareef and installing a bin Laden proxy. That’s all we need.
Some U.S. officials must have urged Benazir Bhutto to return, and
if they didn’t they were happy about it. But no sooner she lands,
then bin Laden tries to wipe her out. You can see what he’s after.
With allies like Mushareef, the U.S. does not need enemies. Is he
up against it? Incompetent? Shrewd? Benighted? Ambitious about Afghanistan?
It seems he has already made an alliance of sorts with bin Laden
or his proxies to let them hole up in Wajiristan. Bhutto is in a
very dangerous position. Mushareef does not want her around either.
Does Washington know any more than I do about Pakistan, which is
nothing? After Iraq, I am entitled to have my doubts.
Washington’s
imperial visions and ambitions, reflected in think-tank reports,
are frightening. Iraq has not dimmed them in the least. Unrepentant
Wilsonian idealism lives on. There is a whole world beyond our shores
to be remade in Washington’s image. There are never-ending challenges
to the Washington knights to remake it. After William of Arkansas
and George of Texas will come Hillary of Chicago or maybe Rudolph
of Brooklyn. But if it is Ron of Pennsylvania, then all bets are
off.
October
29, 2007
Michael
S. Rozeff [send him mail]
is a retired Professor of Finance living in East Amherst, New York.
Copyright
© 2007 LewRockwell.com
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