This talk
was delivered at the Mises Circle
in Houston, Texas, on January 22, 2011.
John Maynard
Keynes was born in 1883 and died in 1946. Henry Hazlitt was born
in 1894, eleven years after Keynes, and lived much longer, until
1993. Their lives and loyalties are a study in contrast, and mostly
of choices born of internal conviction, in Hazlitt’s case, or
lack thereof, Keynes’s case.
Keynes became
the most famous economist of the 20th century and the guru-crank
whose work has inspired thousands of failed economic experiments
and continues to inspire them today. He is the Svengali-like figure
who implausibly convinced the world that saving is bad, inflation
cures unemployment, investment can and should be socialized, consumers
are fools whose interests should be dismissed, and capital can
be made non-scarce by driving interest rates to zero thereby
turning the hard work of many hundreds of years by economists
on its head.
Keynes had
every privilege in life, and all the power and influence that
an intellectual could have, and he used it all irresponsibly in
service to the State.
Hazlitt was
very nearly his foil. He did not come from privilege, did not
enjoy a prestigious educational pedigree, and did not know any
of the right people. He came from nowhere and worked his way up
through sheer force of intellectual labor and moral determination.
Hazlitt eventually
became one of the great public voices for free markets in the
20th century, writing in every popular venue he could and applying
his enormous talents as a thinker and writer to defending and
explaining free markets, showing how the classical economic wisdom
was true and vastly improved by the Austrians, how sound money
is essential for freedom, how market signaling works to achieve
economic coordination, and how government policy is always and
everywhere the enemy of freedom and prosperity.
Hazlitt’s
great book Economics
in One Lesson, written the year that Keynes died, boils
down all of economics to a single principle and applies it across
the board to all the policies of government. It is crystal clear
in its language, designed to be read by anyone in an effort to
achieve Mises’s dream of bringing economic wisdom to every citizen.
Keynes’s
major work is The
General Theory and it has been read by relatively few,
mainly because it is so incomprehensible as to be nearly written
in code. But then it wasn’t designed for everyone. It was written
for the elites by a member of the most elite class of intellectuals
on the planet. Even more effectively, it was written with an eye
to impressing the elites in the one way they can be impressed:
a book so convoluted and contradictory that it calls forth not
comprehension but ascent through intimidation. Its success is
a remarkable story of the bamboozlement of an entire profession,
followed by the misleading of the entire world. If there are still
believers in what Murray Rothbard called the Whig Theory of History
the idea that history is one long story of progress toward
the truth the success of The General Theory is the
best case against it.
If I had
to bet on which book will have greater longevity, however, I would
go with Hazlitt. The same is true of Hazlitt’s great legacy. He
died without much fame. In fact, his days of fame were far behind
him, arguably reaching their height when he was an editorial writer
for the New York Times. When he was told that he needed
to write in defense of Keynes’s screwy plan for Bretton Woods,
he balked and walked away. Thirteen years later, writing as a
columnist for Newsweek, Hazlitt came out with a line-by-line
refutation of Keynes’s General Theory. It is arguably his
great work, the one begging to be written. He alone had seen the
need. It continues to teach us today, and serves as something
of a manual for the errors of government.
Both Hazlitt
and Keynes began their educations with an intense interest in
literature and philosophy, but eventually settled on economics.
Both were in a position to make a choice of theoretical paradigms
given the intellectual and political content of their times. Both
were major public intellectuals. Both considered themselves to
be liberals in the way that term was used before the New Deal,
meaning a general disposition toward favoring human rights, free
trade, and open societies.
In this spirit,
Keynes wrote in opposition to the Treaty of Versailles that imposed
savage terms on Germany after the war. He favored free trade and
generally allied himself with that cause. Sadly, that tendency,
which derived from the old world’s love of liberty, was incompatible
with his life’s agenda, which he believed to be his birthright.
That agenda was to rule the world through intellectual means by
virtue of connections to the powerful. That essential humility
that was at the core of the economics profession of the 19th century
– the humility to embrace laissez-faire as a principle – was completely
missing from his mind.
Keynes was
born as a member of the ruling elite in Britain. His father, John
Neville Keynes, and his father’s good friend Alfred Marshall were
very powerful figures at Cambridge University. They shepherded
him and introduced him to the right people, and the time came
when he was inducted into the secret, super-elite society of top
intellectuals in the English-speaking world. The group was called
The Apostles, and this was the group that would come to shape
his ideas and his approach to life. The group had been formed
in 1820 and included top members of the British ruling class.
They met every Saturday evening without fail, and spent most of
the rest of their time during the week with each other. Membership
was for life.
It is impossible
to overestimate the extraordinary intellectual arrogance of this
group. They would refer themselves as the only thing that is truly
real in a Kantian sense, whereas the rest of the world
was an illusion. Keynes as an undergraduate wrote to a fellow
member as follows: "Is it monomania – this colossal moral
superiority that we feel? I get the feeling that most of the rest
[of the world outside the Apostles] never see anything at all
– too stupid or too wicked."
In the time
of Keynes, according to those who have studied this carefully,
the Apostles was dominated by an ethos that included two general
traits: first, the bond that held the world together and would
push it forward was the friendship and love that the Apostles
had for each other, and that there were no other principles that
really mattered, and, second, an intense disdain for religion
and bourgeois values, institutions, ideas, and tastes.
It was in
this period that Keynes met G.E. Moore, a philosopher at Trinity
and Apostles member. His magnum opus was called Principia
Ethica, published in 1903. It was a philosopher’s attack
on all fixed principles and a defense of immoralism. This was
the book that changed Keynes’s life completely. He called it "exciting,
exhilarating, the beginning of a new renaissance, the opening
of a new heaven on earth." It was this book that led him
to believe that it was possible to completely reject morality,
conventions, and all traditions. It might even be considered a
kind of prototype of his later work.
These same
values migrated to the famed Bloomsbury Group that Keynes joined
after graduation. As many historians of the period have said,
it was the most influential cultural and intellectual force in
England in the 1910s and 1920s. The emphasis here was not on science
but on art and the overthrow of Victorian standards in order to
embrace the Avant-Garde. Keynes’s contribution to their efforts
was mainly financial, for he had made a fortune in speculation
and spent lavishly on Bloomsbury causes. He also provided members
with contacts in the world of finance and economics.
In discussing
how immoralism and the rejection of principles applied to economics,
Rothbard draws attention to Keynes’s position on free trade. As
a good Marshallian, he was a proponent during most of his early
public life. Then suddenly in 1931, all that changed with a paper
that loudly and aggressively called for protectionism and economic
nationalism, a total reversal of what he had previously said.
The press ridiculed him for his shift, but this never troubled
Keynes, for as an Apostle and a champion of immoralism, he contended
that there was no contradiction worthy of notice. He believed
that he could take any position he wanted on an issue, and could
live his life unhinged from any standards or rules. He was always
ready to change his opinion given the new make-up of the political
constellation and felt no burden to explain himself.
It was precisely
because of this tendency to change his point of view on a dime
that critics became tired of dealing with him. Hayek spent a great
deal of time refuting him on various subjects, particularly Keynes's
book on money, only to have Keynes dismiss the criticisms on grounds
that he Keynes no longer held these views. He praised FDR and
urged all governments to follow the New Deal. But when pressed
on the details of programs such as the National Industrial Recovery
Act, he would back away and grant that it was ill-conceived. His
opportunism was palpable and infuriating.
As the Depression
deepened, he began to see himself as the philosopher king of the
world economics establishment, advising governments all over on
their politics. His main target was the gold standard, which he
regarded as a relic of a bygone era, the ultimate symbol of Victorianism,
the monetary embodiment of morality and standards, a restraint
on the ability of government to tinker with the economy, and therefore,
from his point of view, the ultimate enemy of everything he hoped
to accomplish. He had long ago written that "A preference
for a tangible reserve currency a relic of a time when governments
were less trustworthy in these matters than they are now."
What he meant, of course, that with himself at the helm, gold
would not only be unnecessary but an impediment to the ambitions
of economists.
Now we come
to The General Theory that made its appearance in 1936.
Let me introduce this book with a question. What would we call
a person who believed that government policy can completely eliminate
the scarcity of capital? Most all economists in history and even
today would call this person a nut. The whole economic problem
that economic theory grapples with concerns the invincible reality
of the scarcity of capital. The idea that we can somehow concoct
a system in which there would be no scarcity amounts to the belief
that government can create a permanent utopia by pushing a few
buttons. It is no different in kind from a belief in some kind
of magical land of fantasy. It represents a fundamental failure
to grapple with reality.
And yet this
is precisely what Keynes hoped to achieve through his policy prescriptions
in The General Theory. His idea was to create this land
of universal happiness by: 1) driving the interest rate to zero,
and thereby 2) achieving his sought-after "euthanasia of
the rentier class" that is, the killing off of people
who live on interest, and thereby, 3) eliminating what he considered
to be the exploitative aspect of capitalism, that which rewards
investors for their sacrifices.
As Keynes
wrote, driving interest to zero would mean
the euthanasia
of the cumulative oppressive power of the capitalist to exploit
the scarcity-value of capital. Interest today rewards no genuine
sacrifice, any more than does the rent of land…, [T]here are
no intrinsic reasons for the scarcity of capital. An intrinsic
reason for such scarcity, in the sense of a genuine sacrifice
which could only be called forth by the offer of a reward in
the shape of interest, would not exist, in the long run....
I see, therefore, the rentier aspect of capitalism as a transitional
phase which will disappear when it has done its work.
As you can
see, Keynes was far more extreme in his views than the media generally
presents him. And the ghastly situation in which we find ourselves
today, where saving earns virtually nothing and the Fed holds
rates down to zero in perpetuity, seems to be the fulfillment
of the worst of the Keynesian dream.
As for the
contribution of the book to theory, Rothbard writes that "The
General Theory was not truly
revolutionary at all, but merely old and oft-refuted mercantilist
and inflationist fallacies dressed up in shiny new garb, replete
with newly constructed and largely incomprehensible jargon."
Mises further
pointed out that even Keynes’s old and refuted ideas had already
had a good run of it. "Keynes’ General Theory of 1936
did not inaugurate a new age of economic policies," he writes,
"rather it marked the end of a period. The policies which
Keynes recommended were already then very close to the time when
their inevitable consequences would be apparent and their continuation
would be impossible."
What bad economic policies
lacked was a prestigious economist to come to their defense, and
this is precisely the role that The General Theory played.
Governments all over the world welcomed and celebrated the book.
As for the success of the book within economics itself, there
are important sociological reasons to consider. Keynes’s language
was nearly impenetrable. He coined new terms on nearly every page.
Rather than being a disadvantage, this is often an advantage in
a profession that has lost its way.
Keynes set
out to divide the world into two broad class of people: stupid
consumers whose behavior is determined by external force, and
savers who are a drag on economic growth. The job of government
policy is to goad the first group into a different set of behaviors
and pretty much destroy the second group. Everything else in the
Keynesian system follows from those two general propositions.
This accounts for his hatred of the gold standard, of traditional
capitalism, and of the price system that functions as a signaling
mechanism for the production and allocation of resources.
It also accounts
for why Keynes was one of the world’s most passionate advocates
of the rise of the fascist impulse in the 1930s. He celebrated
the "enterprising spirit" of Sir Oswald Mosley, the
founder of British fascism. He joined the New York Times
in praising the central planning of Mussolini. Thus it was not
a surprise when Keynes wrote a foreword to the German edition
of his book in 1936, after the Nazis had come to power. He said
that his book is more easily "adapted to the conditions of
a totalitarian state" than to free competition and laissez-faire.
Nor should it be surprising that Keynes also dabbled in anti-Semitism,
praising even openly anti-Jewish tirades of prime minister Lloyd
George and his brutal and public attack on the Jewish French finance
minister Louis-Lucien Kotz.
A puzzling
aspect of academia is how a sector that lives on its reputation
for objectivity and love of science can be so easily bamboozled
by charlatans, and the success of this book is a great case in
point. Most economists over the age of 50 dismissed the book,
but the younger ones regarded it as a kind of revelation that
gave them a career advantage over their elders. Keynes’s personal
prestige had a lot to do with this. As Rothbard wrote, "It
is safe to say that if Keynes had been an obscure economics teacher
at a small, Midwestern American college, his work, in the unlikely
event that it even found a publisher, would have been totally
ignored." But coming from a Cambridge professor and student
of Marshall, Keynes had huge advantages.
The Keynesian
magnetism was so powerful that it even drew most of the former
followers of F.A. Hayek, who was then teaching in London too.
Most tragic of all was the conversion of Lord Robbins to the Keynesian
cause. Robbins had written a great book on the Great Depression,
one that the Mises Institute publishes to this day. It is written
entirely in the Misesian spirit. But after having worked with
Keynes on economic planning during the war, Robbins fell victim
to his personal charisma, later writing of Keynes "unearthly"
brilliance and "godlike" personal stature. He wrote
that Keynes "must be one of the most remarkable men that
has ever lived." Robbins ended up repudiating his best work,
and only coming back to his senses late in life.
Hayek wrote
many times that Keynes himself before his death was on the verge
of repudiating what had become of the Keynesian system. This is
based on Keynes’s positive review of Hayek’s Road
to Serfdom as well as Keynes’s own private words to Hayek
himself.
In analyzing
the evidence, Rothbard concludes that no such conversion was oncoming
but rather that this was Keynes doing the Keynesian thing: shifting,
moving, dodging, and changing, with no attachment to standards
or principles or morality. He would believe anything and say anything
and do anything to advance himself and put his class of technicians
in charge of the world economy. It is remarkable that after a
lifetime of writing, his views would still be so difficult to
pin down that even Hayek could believe, however briefly, that
there was a modicum of sincerity in this man’s words or actions.
Comparing
his life and works to Henry Hazlitt is like night and day. Hazlitt
never held an academic position, had no family connections, and
was never formally schooled in economics, but he was an extremely
hard worker who read passionately and extensively, making an extraordinary
career for himself, given that he was forced to drop out of school
to support his widowed mother. He read in all his spare time:
Mill, Aristotle, Nietzsche, Gibbon, and anyone else he could get
his hands on, and kept extensive diaries of all his thoughts on
their work. In all his studies, he presumed an old-fashioned view
of his goal: to discover what is true, as a means to guiding his
life and judgments.
All the while,
he was also working. His first series of jobs followed in quick
succession lasting only a few days. At each job, he would acquire
a bit more knowledge than he had previously before getting fired
for not having enough skills. Keep in mind that this was long
before the minimum wage and other interventions. So his average
salary grew a bit at each position: $5 per week, $8 per week,
$10 and $12 per week. He finally worked his way up to become a
reporter at the Wall Street Journal. He was paid 75 cents
for every story, and he soon became invaluable to the staff.
It was in
1910 that he received his first real exposure to economics in
Philip Wicksteed’s great book The
Common Sense of Political Economy. This is the book that
would firmly embed him in a classical and marginalist perspective
on economic issues and prevent him from ever falling away. He
was also trying his skills as a writer. Sure enough, he managed
to get his first book published at the age of 22: Thinking
as a Science. The Mises Institute keeps this book in print
and it remains one of the most inspirational and instructive books
ever written on self-education and the obligation to learn.
He opens
the book as follows:
Every man
knows there are evils in the world which need setting right.
Every man has pretty definite ideas as to what these evils are.
But to most men one in particular stands out vividly. To some,
in fact, this stands out with such startling vividness that
they lose sight of other evils, or look upon them as the natural
consequences of their own particular evil-in-chief. ...I, too,
have a pet little evil, to which in more passionate moments
I am apt to attribute all the others. This evil is the neglect
of thinking. And when I say thinking I mean real thinking, independent
thinking, hard thinking.
Here we have
the tone and approach of a man with integrity, intellectual
integrity, a man who is determined to find his way to what
is true. The entire book reads this way. I’m particularly struck
by his analysis of why some people attach themselves to error
and will not let go. He might as well have been describing the
seduction of the economics profession by Keynes:
In this passage,
from this book he wrote at the age of 22, he is speaking of the
prejudice that in particular affects intellectuals: their propensity
to imitate the ideas that seem fashionable at the moment.
We agree
with others, we adopt the same opinions of the people around
us, because we fear to disagree. We fear to differ with them
in thought in the same way that we fear to differ with them
in dress. In fact this parallel between style in thought and
style in clothing seems to hold throughout. Just as we fear
to look different from the people around us because we will
be considered freakish, so we fear to think differently because
we know we will be looked upon as weird.
He recalls
a conversation he had with an intellectual in which he raised
a point made by Herbert Spencer. The person recoiled and said
that surely Spencer’s ideas had been superseded. Hazlitt discovered
that this person had never read Spencer and had absolutely no
idea what Spencer actually believed about anything. Clearly Hazlitt,
like most nonacademics, had a tendency to have higher expectations
of the integrity of the intellectual classes than they merited
then or now.
Nonetheless,
he condemns the tendency to absorb prevailing ideas uncritically
as completely foolhardy, as a pathway toward making life meaningless.
I am willing
to wager that most of these same people now so dithyrambic in
their praise of James, Bergson, Eucken and Russell will twenty-five
years hence be ashamed to mention those names, and will be devoting
themselves solely to Post-neofuturism, or whatever else happens
to be the passing fadosophy of the moment.
He goes on
to speak what might have been the credo of his life.
If this
is the most prevalent form of prejudice it is also the most
difficult to get rid of. This requires moral courage. It requires
the rarest kind of moral courage. It requires just as much courage
for a man to state and defend an idea opposed to the one in
fashion as it would for a city man to dress coolly on a sweltering
day, or for a young society woman to attend a smart affair in
one of last year's gowns. The man who possesses this moral courage
is blessed beyond kings, but he must pay the fearful price of
ridicule or contempt.
After downtime
during the war, he went back to work at the Journal and resumed
his reading, tracing footnotes to ever greater books. He followed
the notes in a Benjamin Anderson book all the way to discover
Mises’s Theory
of Money and Credit. He had fallen in love with economics
in the same way that most of us did. He loved its elegance, explanatory
power, its implicit love of liberty, and its central role in the
rise of civilization. But it was not his only love. He read widely
in literature and art as well, and found a market for his talents
in this area. He moved from paper to paper until he eventually
took a position as the literary editor at The Nation, which
was then known as a liberal but not statist publication.
It was a
high-prestige job for him, accepted at a period that would turn
out to be a major turning point in our nation’s history and also
in his own life. In 1932, after FDR’s election, the weekly would
start to weigh in on various aspects of New Deal policy. It was
Hazlitt’s internal constitution, that belief in truth, that led
him to write in these pages what he believed about FDR’s policy.
He wrote about the real cause of the Great Depression, which he
saw not as a failure of capitalism but as correction from a credit-fueled
bubble. The Nation itself was not yet firmly entrenched
as a propaganda paper for economic central planners, and so the
editors let Hazlitt have his say.
He warned
of the results of protectionism, price controls, subsidies, and
economic planning in general. Not only would these methods not
work to dig us out of Depression, he wrote, but they were contrary
to the spirit of human liberty that liberals embrace as a matter
of their creed. In saying these things, he was saying pretty much
what any economist would have said a few decades earlier, but
he also knew full well that he was going against the existing
Zietgeist that Keynes himself was helping to craft.
Sure enough,
Hazlitt won the debate but lost his job at The Nation.
This was the first of many such events in his life, and it was
something to which he would become accustomed. He had worked too
hard for too long, and believed too much in the power of truth,
to turn away from it. He had established a dictum early in life
that he would not go along with an opinion simply because powerful
and influential people around him held to it. He would have courage
now and always.
It was not
only his writing ability that attracted H.L. Mencken but also
this quality of moral determination. Mencken named Hazlitt as
his successor in what was the greatest American publication in
those years, The American Mercury. He was there for three
years until he moved to the position he held for the next ten
years. He became the lead editorialist for the New York Times.
There he wrote several editorials per day, plus book reviews for
the Sunday paper. It was a stunning display of productivity. It
was also probably the last time that the New York Times
was correct on the issues of the day.
In 1946,
this job came to an end in a dispute over the Bretton Woods monetary
agreement. Hazlitt was relentless in attacking its fallacies and
in predicting its defeat. The publisher came to him and explained
that the paper could not continue to oppose what everyone else
seemed to support. Hazlitt knew this routine rather well, and
so he left without bitterness or acrimony. He simply packed up
and walked away, and proceeded to write what would become the
best-selling economics book of all time.
In these
years, too, he had met Ludwig von Mises who had come to our shores
in 1940. Hazlitt recognized in Mises one of those men with moral
courage, a man who, as Hazlitt put it in his early book, is "blessed
beyond kings" for his willingness to stick up for truth even
at great personal cost. He used his position at the Times
to alert readers to Mises's books and ideas. He helped Mises find
a publisher for English translations of his books, and became
a promoter and champion of the Misesian worldview. As we look
back on it, it seems clear that Mises’s life would have been very
different without the help of Hazlitt. In some ways, Henry Hazlitt
became a one-man Mises Institute.
But let’s
return to Hazlitt’s succession of jobs. He went from The Times
to Newsweek, where his BusinessTides column educated a
full generation or two in economic theory and policy, me along
with them. These were remarkable columns, beautifully written
and spot on topic every week. I’m pleased to announce that the
Mises Institute is publishing all of these columns in a single
volume this year. I’m expecting this book to help reestablish
Hazlitt’s rightful place in the intellectual history of the 20th
century.
Now it was
time for Hazlitt to take after the man whose ideas had dogged
him for decades: John Maynard Keynes himself. Hazlitt was the
first and still the only economist who has ever taken on the General
Theory in a line-by-line analysis. He did this in a book published
in 1959 which he called The
Failure of the “New Economics.” He writes in the introduction
that he was warned not to do this since Keynes’s ideas were already
unfashionable but he decided to go ahead, based on an insight
of Santayana that ideas aren’t usually abandoned because they
have been refuted; they are abandoned when they become unfashionable.
And so far as Hazlitt could tell, there was no stepping away from
the Keynesian fashionableness. And note too that this was written
fully 52 years ago, and Keynes is fashionable all over again.
What Hazlitt
discovered was that the book was much worse than he imagined.
He found no ideas in the book that were both true and original.
He patiently goes through the book to explain what he means, taking
Keynes apart piece by piece through 450 pages of thrilling analysis
and prose, finishing up with a great concluding chapter that summarizes
all the errors in the book.
I’ve not
mentioned many of Hazlitt’s other fantastic books, including his
two books on monetary economics. On this matter, he was the perfect
foil for Keynes. Whereas Keynes believed that the most important
single step to destroying the laissez-faire of the old world was
to demolish the gold standard, Hazlitt believed that there would
never be a lasting regime of freedom restored without addressing
the money problem. What Keynes wanted to destroy, Hazlitt wanted
to restore and firmly entrench as part of the market order. They
both agreed on the centrality of the issue in achieving their
dreams and in this they were both right.
But note
where each ended up at the end of their lives. Keynes died famous
and rich and beloved, heralded by one and all for his brilliance.
He was never asked to do anything courageous. He was never asked
to make a sacrifice for what he believed. It would never have
occurred to him to do so, for the very idea of a moral commitment
or an intellectual responsibility was either unknown to him or
totally rejected by him.
Hazlitt,
in contrast, died at what was arguably a low point in his career.
He had climbed to the top, but then was pushed back down again,
eventually writing for and working with a small and largely embattled
group of defenders of free enterprise.
We
have in these two approaches contrasting images of the role of
the public intellectual. Is this role to defend the freedom of
the individual and to promote the development of civilization?
Or is the goal to enrich oneself, get as close to power as possible,
to become as famous and influential as one can be? It all comes
down to one’s moral commitments and personal integrity. In the
end, this is the core issue, one that is arguably more important
than economic theory.
Hazlitt made
his choice and left us with great words of wisdom on the duty
to support freedom.
We have
a duty to speak even more clearly and courageously, to work
hard, and to keep fighting this battle while the strength is
still in us.... Even those of us who have reached and passed
our 70th birthdays cannot afford to rest on our oars and spend
the rest of our lives dozing in the Florida sun. The times call
for courage. The times call for hard work. But if the demands
are high, it is because the stakes are even higher. They are
nothing less than the future of liberty, which means the future
of civilization.