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Bush's
New Frontier in the 'War on Terrorism'
by
Eric Margolis
by Eric Margolis
Israel’s relentless
Biblical destruction of Lebanon continues, except that the old Testament
calls for "an eye for an eye," while the new Israeli interpretation
of vengeance has become ten Arab eyes for one Israeli one.
As of this
writing, hundreds of civilians in Lebanon have been killed by Israeli
bombing and shelling; over 500,000 are internal refugees. One UN
report says the figure is 700,000 or 18% of Lebanon’s population.
Northern Israel’s civilians are still being blasted by unguided
Hezbullah rockets. Both acts violate international law.
The recent
ravaging of Gaza and now Lebanon are the most egregious example
of what the UN calls unlawful mass collective punishment since Serbia
unleashed ethnic terrorism on Bosnia and Kosova, and NATO was forced
to militarily intervene to halt the carnage.
Europe’s leaders
have condemned Israel’s ferocity in Lebanon as totally inappropriate
response to Hezbullah border raid. UN Human Rights Commissioner,
Canadian Louise Arbour, just warned Israel’s and Hezbullah’s attacks
on civilians may constitute "war crimes."
Recently,
normally ultra-discreet Switzerland, guardian of the Geneva Conventions,
openly warned Israel its collective punishment of Palestine was
violating the Conventions.
This latest
calamity for long-suffering Lebanon need never have happened. Hezbullah’s
kidnapping of Israeli soldiers was primarily aimed at swapping them
for forgotten Hezbullah fighters and Lebanese hostages – as well
as some of the 10,000 Palestinian political prisoners – in Israeli
prisons, some top-secret hell holes that served as a model for America’s
Guantanamo prison.
In provoking
this crisis, Hezbullah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah had a second
important objective: shaming fellow Arab leaders for doing less
than nothing to protect Palestinians and their democratically-elected
Hamas government from Israel’s campaign of devastation and assassinations.
The same Arab
nations that refused under US pressure to help the new Palestinian
government and save its people from misery and starvation, also
were quick, after calls from Washington, to openly criticize Hezbullah
for making trouble.
Interestingly,
the leader of Iraq’s US-installed government actually came out and
condemned the US-sanctioned destruction of Lebanon.
Hezbullah’s
provocation is being seen by hawks in Washington and Israel as a
welcome pretext to launch their long-planned master strategy to
"take down" Syria and then finish with Israel’s primary
enemy, Iran. Hezbullah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah must have known
his raid would not only enrage Israel but present the new Olmert
government with a challenge it could not refuse.
Israel has
long yearned for revenge for being defeated by Hezbullah and run
out of Lebanon in 2000. Ever since, it has waged a propaganda war
against Hezbullah, branding it an "anti-American terrorist organization
linked to al-Qaida." Israel could not tolerate a well-armed, hostile
force allied to Iran on its vulnerable northern border.
Just as the
blundering Reagan Administration gave Israel in 1982 a green light
to invade Lebanon, so the Bush Administration not only blessed Israel’s
current laying waste to Lebanon, but is now beating the war drums
against Syria and Iran.
Israeli strategists
have long believed that a few sharp military blows would shatter
Syria’s fragile ethnic/religious mosaic and splinter it, like Lebanon
from 1975 to 1990, into tiny cantons and tribal fiefs.
The Bush Administration
agreed with this policy but has so far hesitated because it could
not find suitable "assets" to put into power in Damascus, and deeply
fears Syria’s powerful underground Muslim Brotherhood. But war fever
has again gripped Washington, so Syria is squarely in US gun sites.
Israel knows
it cannot destroy Hezbullah by bombing and shelling. After all,
Israel occupied southern Lebanon from 1982 to 2000 and could not
defeat Hezbollah. The Israelis may manage to assassinate Sheik Hassan,
but other capable men will take his place. Since Israel can’t destroy
Hezbullah, it seems to be trying to destroy everything around it
what US neoconservatives call "draining the swamp."
But if bombing
Lebanon back to the stone age does not work, then Israel may send
in commando teams or launch a full-scale invasion. Israeli ground
forces are already probing into southern Lebanon, where they are
meeting fierce resistance.
To make Hezbullah
militarily insignificant, Israel will have to occupy much of Lebanon,
and right up to Syria’s borders. Damascus has warned this could
bring war. The Bush Administration and Israel have long discussed
attacking Syria. Israeli military commentators have said that the
current operation in southern Lebanon was planned long before the
kidnapping that triggered the latest fighting. So a push into Syria
cannot be discounted.
Washington’s
neoconservatives have often talked about attacking Iran, the only
nation that could break Israel’s nuclear monopoly. But US forces
are bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan. To knock out Iran, Israeli
ground and air forces would be needed, and while Israel is ready
to deliver heavy air strikes on Iran, sending its ground forces,
other than commando troops, to fight Iran seems out of the question.
Bush and the
Republican Party are in deepening political trouble over the wars
in Iraq and Afghanistan. America’s important midterm elections are
nearing. Bush badly needs a new military "triumph" to boost his
sagging fortunes.
Vice President
Dick Cheney just proclaimed that the fight against Hezbullah is
a "new front" in the war on terrorism. Meaning that Lebanon and,
possibly, Syria, could become the war issue that galvanizes Americans
and restores the fortunes of the Republicans.
Most Americans
cannot distinguish between Hezbullah, Hamas, the PLO, al-Qaida and
Taliban. To them, these groups are all dangerous Islamic terrorists
attacking the United States. So a "victory" against Hamas would
be seen in the US as a major advance in the so-called war on terrorism.
Israel’s
leadership is urgently trying to press George Bush to destroy Iran’s
nuclear infrastructure before the president leaves office. Bush
is so close to Israel’s right wing that some Israelis call him "our
president." Bush claims to be a born-again "Christian Zionist."
Israel will probably never find a better time to strike at it enemies.
As
of Monday, a new scenario is emerging. Washington appears to be
trying to organize a NATO force to move into southern Lebanon to
fight Hezbollah. Such an operation would duplicate the NATO force
sent to southern Afghanistan to fight Taliban. It remains to be
seen if Europeans, who are aghast at Israel’s ravaging of Lebanon,
will be willing to join this ugly little war and see their soldiers
drawn into a no-win conflict with Hezbullah. This week should tell
us more about the direction in which the war is heading.
July
27, 2006
Eric
Margolis [send
him mail], contributing foreign editor for Sun National Media
Canada, is the author of War
at the Top of the World. See his
website.
Copyright
© 2006 Eric Margolis
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