In 1975,
physicist Andrei Sakharov and a group of fellow Soviet academicians
warned the Kremlin leadership that unless the nation’s ruinous
defense spending was slashed and funds refocused on modernizing
the nation’s decrepit, obsolete industrial base and its wretched
state agriculture, the Soviet Union would collapse by 1990.
Their grim
warning was prescient. Twenty years ago this week – 9 November,
1989 – boisterous German crowds forced open the hated Berlin
Wall, Communist East Germany collapsed in black farce, and the
once mighty Soviet Empire began to crumble.
This was
one of modern history’s most dramatic and dangerous moments.
No one knew if the dying Soviet Union would expire peacefully,
or ignite World War III.
In November,
1989, the vast empire built by Stalin that stretched from East
Berlin to Vladivostok was on its last legs. The USSR had 50,000
battle tanks and 30,000 nuclear warheads, but could not feed
its people. Military spending consumed 20% of the economy. As
I saw for myself while traveling around the Soviet Union in
the late 1980’s, conditions were often primitive, even third
world outside the big cities.
Afghanistan’s
"mujahidin" had all but defeated the mighty Red Army.
Poland’s Solidarity Union, secretly funded by Pope John Paul
and the CIA through Panamanian shell companies, had risen in
revolt. So, too, ever rebellious Hungarians, joined by Lithuanians
and East Germans.
The old
joke in Moscow was that the East Germans were the only people
who could make Communism work. Now they were in revolt.
The reformist
Soviet president Mikhail Gorbachev had to make a fateful decision:
allow events to take their course, or order the Red Army and
KGB to crush the spreading uprisings – and run the risk of war
with NATO, particularly so if the Warsaw Pact’s armies turned
their guns against the Soviet occupation forces and fighting
spread across the Inner German Border.
Unlike
his brutal Soviet predecessors, Mikhail Gorbachev was a man
of profound moral values, a genuine humanist and idealist who
believed he could reform the USSR through democratic socialism
and patient, open debate – his "glasnost and perestroika."
After a
violent incident staged by Communist hard-liners in the Baltic,
President Gorbachev refused to use force against his own people.
But once
fear of repression was removed, the Soviet Union, a nation of
120 languages spread over eleven time zones, shattered. Gorbachev
simply could not control the ensuing whirlwind of nationalism
his reforms had sown.
Today,
most Russians revile Gorbachev for wrecking the Soviet Union.
The sinister Communist era, including Stalin’s monstrous crimes,
are being sugarcoated with nostalgia.
Russia’s
Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin, called the collapse of the Soviet
Union "the greatest tragedy of the 20th century."
In truth,
the Soviet Union was history’s most brutal, murderous tyranny
that killed three times more victims than Hitler.
Gorbachev
did not plan to destroy the Soviet Union but to reform and revitalize
it. But by refusing to hold it together by force, he brought
about its doom.
Gorbachev
did the world a huge favor.
In any
event, the Soviet Union was destined to crumble, Gorby or no
Gorby. Like the old Ottoman Empire, the USSR could only survive
by gobbling up its neighbors.
In 1989,
the state that had run on virtual war footing since 1945, died
of exhaustion. As Voltaire said of Prussia, the Soviet Union
was an army, disguised as a state.
For me,
Gorbachev was one of the greatest men of our time. He put international
law, basic humanity, and civilized behavior before the demands
of brute power. We must also salute Gorbachev’s chief lieutenant
and powerhouse behind the reform movement, former Georgian KGB
chief and Soviet Foreign Minister, Eduard Schevardnadze, who
urged total de-communization and disarmament.
Later,
as president of independent Georgia, Shevardnadze was overthrown
– ironically – by a US-organized revolution.
Gorbachev
purged hardeners from the Soviet military-industrial complex,
vetoed an antimissile system, sharply downsized the Soviet military,
and wisely ended the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, a lesson
Nobel Peace Prize Winner Barack Obama has yet to learn.
But when
Gorbachev and Shevardnadze sensibly sought total nuclear disarmament,
President Ronald Reagan, obsessed by the unworkable Star Wars
antimissile project, refused Russia’s offer that would have
eliminated all nuclear weapons and missiles.
Other courageous
Russians reformers who helped end the Cold War deserve to be
remembered: Anatoly Chernayev; Georgi Shakhnazarov; former ambassador
to Canada, Alexander Yakovlev; and Gorbachev’s brave, cerebral
wife and confidante, Raisa.
Germany’s
Chancellor Helmut Kohl and President H.W. Bush also merit kudos
for their able management of the Cold war’s end. By contrast,
Britain’s Margaret Thatcher shamefully relapsed into Europe’s
evil old ways by trying to block German unification.
President
Gorbachev kept begging the western powers to launch another
Marshall Plan to rescue the dying Soviet Union and democratize
it. Tragically, they did not. Instead, the Clinton administration
chose to treat the new, battered Russia as a client state.
Communist
die-hards launched a farcical, drunken coup against Gorbachev
that was thwarted by the courage of the then still sober Russian
president, Boris Yeltsin; Aviation Marshall Yevgeny Shaposhnikov;
and – a story that is still little known in the west – KGB moderates.
In 1990,
I was the first western journalist ever allowed into the dreaded
Lubyanka Prison, the headquarters of KGB, to interview senior
KGB officers of the elite First Directorate (from whence came
Vlad Putin) who had turned against the Communist Party and were
seeking to reform Russia.
In
the end, Gorbachev was left the leader of a nation that had
ceased to exist, the USSR, the object of popular wrath, a great
statesman without a country, a Russian King Lear on a blasted
heath.
Twenty
years later, the world owes Gorbachev an enormous debt of gratitude
for ending the Cold War, and freeing Eastern Europe and the
Baltic states. Thank our lucky stars Gorbachev was in power
when the Soviet Union met its inevitable collapse – or we could
have faced World War III.
Mikhail
Sergeyevitch Gorbachev showed that once in a millennium a great
political leader can rise above the law of the jungle.