Here we
go again with more political theater in war-ravaged Afghanistan.
The last
vote, held in August, was so blatantly rigged that Washington
put a gun to the head of its Afghan client, Hamid Karzai, and
forced him into the humiliation of holding a runoff vote in
November against rival Abdullah Abdullah.
As Henry
Kissinger once observed, being America’s ally can be more dangerous
than being its enemy.
Poor Hamid
Karzai, the amiable former business consultant and CIA "asset"
installed by Washington as Afghanistan’s president is another
doleful example. As the US increasingly gets its backside kicked
in Afghanistan, it has blamed the powerless Karzai for its woes
and bumbling.
You can
almost hear Washington rebuking, "bad puppet! Bad puppet!"
Karzai,
derided as the "mayor of Kabul," has no real army
or police. He would be swept from office in days were it not
for the Western troops that protect him. He is even surrounded
by US-controlled bodyguards. He remains a figurehead behind
which real power in Kabul is wielded by the Tajik/Uzbek/Communist
Northern Alliance and a camarilla of drug-dealing regional warlords.
The US
Congressional Research service just revealed it costs a
staggering $1 million per annum to keep a US soldier in Afghanistan.
That does not include the mammoth cost of 24/7 air and naval
support, bribes to Afghan and Pakistani politicians, depreciation
of equipment or building bases.
The US
government has wanted to dump the hapless Karzai, but could
not find an equally obedient but more effective replacement.
There has been talk in Washington of imposing an American "chief
executive officer" on him. Or, in the lexicon of the old
British Raj, an imperial Viceroy. This may yet happen.
Washington’s
last effort to shore up Karzai’s regime and give it some legitimacy
was the national election in August. The UN, which has increasingly
become an arm of US foreign policy, was brought in to make the
vote kosher.
No political
parties were allowed to run. Only individuals supporting the
Western occupation of Afghanistan were allowed on the ballot.
The vote was conducted under the guns of a foreign occupation
army – a clear violation of international law. The US funded
the Election Commission and guarded polling places from a discreet
distance.
The US
media simply ignored this fact and trumpeted the government’s
party line on the elections.
The New
York Times, an ardent backer of the current war in Afghanistan,
gushed over the vote. But during US-directed elections in South
Vietnam in 1967, the NY Times also enthused, "83% of voters
cast ballots …in a remarkably successful election…the keystone
to President Johnson’s policy of encouraging the growth of the
constitutional process in Vietnam."
As I predicted
well before the August, 2009 election, it was all a great big
fraud within a larger fraud designed to fool American, Canadian
and European voters into believing democracy had flowered in
Afghanistan. Cynical Afghans knew the vote would be rigged.
Most Pashtun, the nation’s ethnic majority, didn’t vote at all,
either from disgust with the Western-imposed Karzai regime,
or because of threats by Taliban which damned the vote as a
treasonous act.
The "election"
turned out to be a hugely embarrassing fiasco for Karzai and
his Western backers. The Soviets were much more subtle when
they rigged Afghan elections during their ten-year occupation.
To no surprise,
Hamid Karzai won. But his supporters went overboard in stuffing
ballot boxes to avoid a possible runoff with rival Dr. Abdullah
Abdullah, another American ally. The Karzai and Abdullah camps,
both Washington’s men, were bitterly feuding over division of
US aid and drug money that has totally corrupted Afghanistan.
The vote
was discredited, thwarting the Obama administration’s plans
to use the election as justification for sending more troops
to Afghanistan. So now the White House’s Plan B is to force
its two feuding "assets," Karzai and Abdullah, into
a coalition or "unity government."
But two
puppets on a string are no more effective than one – and maybe
less so.
In Afghanistan,
ethnicity and tribe trump everything else. Karzai is a Pashtun,
but has almost no roots in tribal politics. Most Pashtun see
him as a Quisling and traitor.
The suave
Abdullah, who is also in Washington’s pocket, is half Pashtun,
half Tajik. But he is seen as a Tajik who speaks for this ethnic
minority which detests and scorns the majority Pashtun. Tajiks
will vote for Abdullah, Pashtun will not. If the US manages
to force Abdullah into a coalition with Karzai, Pashtun – 55%
of the population – won’t back the new regime which many Afghans
will see as Western yes-men and Tajik-dominated. Which will
likely make the US-backed government even less stable and more
isolated.
Dr.
Abdullah also has some very unsavory friends from the north:
former Afghan Communist Party bigwigs Mohammed Fahim and Uzbek
warlord Rashid Dostam – both major war criminals. Behind them
stand the Tajik Northern Alliance and resurrected Afghan Communist
Party, both funded by Russia and backed by Iran and India.
Ironically,
the US is now closely allied with the Afghan Communists and
fighting its former Pashtun allies from the 1980’s anti-Soviet
struggle. Most North Americans have no idea they are now backing
Afghan Communists and the men who control most of Afghanistan’s
booming drug trade.
If Hamid
Karzai really wants to establish himself as an authentic national
leader, he should demand the US and NATO withdraw their occupation
forces and let Afghans settle their own disputes in traditional
the ways.