A lot
of Americans who voted for candidate Barack Obama because of
his promises to end George Bush’s war in Iraq are feeling dismayed,
or even betrayed.
During
the election campaign, Obama vowed to swiftly bring US troops
home from Iraq. He denounced the invasion and occupation of
Iraq as a "violation of international law."
Obama did
say he would keep some US troops in Iraq for "training"
government forces, but few voters knew what he meant at the
time, and even fewer paid attention to this fine print. We believed
the Iraq nightmare would finally be over.
So will
US troops leave Iraq? Will those responsible for this trumped-up
war face justice? Probably not.
Last week,
President Obama announced US combat troops will leave Iraq by
August, 2010, and that all US troops would be out of Iraq by
the end of 2011.
"By
August 31, 2010, our combat mission will end," said Obama.
In fact,
it appears the US military occupation may not end, at least
not soon. What we are seeing is a public relations shell game.
The US
has 142,000 combat troops in Iraq. Some 90,000 are due to be
withdrawn. But around 50,000 troops and an unknown number of
armed US-paid mercenaries will remain in Iraq. Many of the troops
to be withdrawn are slated to go to expanding US military operations
in Afghanistan.
The president
and his advisors are re-branding the stay-behind garrison as
"training troops," as "protection forces for
American interests," and as "counter-terrorism units."
These designations arouse suspicion.
American
"interests" in Iraq and the wider Mideast will remain
after 2011. So will what Washington brands "terrorism."
Once all US troops are withdrawn, there is a high probability
that Iraq’s US-supported government could be quickly swept away
and replaced by an Iranian-dominated regime, or even by a resurgent
Ba’ath Party. There are many reasons for the Pentagon to demand
that the 2011 deadline be extended, perhaps indefinitely.
All US
troops in Iraq are combat troops in the wider sense of the term.
There are no front lines or secure areas outside the fortified
Green Zone in Baghdad. Iraq has been at war almost nonstop since
1980. The last thing Iraqi soldiers need is "training,"
What they need is a legitimate, honest government that commands
their loyalty. The same applies to Afghanistan and was also
the case in Vietnam.
At a time
when the US is bankrupt and faces $1.75 trillion deficit, the
Pentagon’s gargantuan US $663.7 billion budget (50% of total
global military spending) is set to grow 1.4% in fiscal 2010
to support America’s foreign wars. Iraq and Afghanistan are
costing some $200 billion for the fiscal year. Throw in another
$4050 billion for CIA and other intelligence agencies.
Obama insists
the US will withdraw from Iraq. He just stated the US has no
claims on Iraq’s land or oil. But his words are belied by the
Pentagon, which continues to expand major bases in Iraq, including
Balad and Al-Asad, with 4,400-meter runways for heavy bombers
and transports. They are key links in the US Air Force’s new
air bridge that extends from Germany, to Bulgaria and Romania,
Iraq and the Gulf, then onward to Afghanistan, Pakistan, and
Central Asia.
Besides
the Baghdad’s heavily fortified Green Zone and US Embassy in
Baghdad (the world’s largest), the Pentagon reportedly
wants to retain 58 permanent bases in Iraq (by comparison, there
are 36 in South Korea), total control of its air space, and
immunity from Iraqi law for all US troops.
Pressure
from the Pentagon forced President Obama to delay even the withdrawal
of the bulk of US combat troops by three months. More delays
are possible.
The US
will also retain major bases in neighboring Kuwait, Bahrain,
Qatar, Oman, Diego Garcia, and Pakistan. US oil companies are
moving in to exploit Iraq’s vast energy reserves, the Mideast’s
second largest after Saudi Arabia.
US troop
levels will remain high during Iraq’s December elections to
ensure "security," according to the Pentagon. In other
words, ensuring the US-selected regime "wins" the
vote. Iraqi parties, notably Ba’ath, opposing the US occupation,
are banned from running in Iraq’s so-called "democratic"
elections. The same holds true for Afghanistan.
In short,
in spite of Obama’s vows to pull out of Iraq, the powers that
be in Washington may be intent on keeping Iraq a US military,
political and economic protectorate. Obama’s withdrawal deadline
could easily be voided by claims of terrorism and growing instability
in Iraq.
The plan
for Iraq follows exactly the same control model the British
Empire used to rule Iraq and to exploit its oil:
The British
installed a figurehead monarch and kept him in power by building
a "native" army of mercenaries (read today’s Iraqi
army and police). RAF units based in Iraq (read US air bases)
bombed any rebellious groups. Winston Churchill authorized RAF
to use poison gas against rebellious Kurds.
Smaller
British ground units based in non-urban areas were on call to
put down attempted coups against the king or army mutinies.
Iraqi forces were denied modern aircraft or heavy artillery.
The US plan for Iraq is identical. The US will retain "intervention"
troops at key desert bases in Iraq and Kuwait, backed by powerful
US Air Force units. These are the "training" troops
cited by Obama. As for US troops tasked with "protecting
US interests" (a charmingly imperial term), they could
well be used for "stability" operations in other Mideast
nations, or against Iran.
Obama made
clear officials responsible for the Iraq War, torture, kidnapping
or assassination will not be prosecuted. The theft of over $50
billion in US "reconstruction" funds sent to Iraq
is being hushed up.
By contrast,
many Britons are angrily demanding release of cabinet documents
leading to war that are likely to expose Tony Blair’s lies and
illegalities. So far, the Labor government has managed to suppress
the incriminating documents.
There
is no corresponding call for justice in the United States. There
is little appetite to prosecute the former officials who led
the US into war. Obama now tells the public: let bygones be
bygones. Unless, of course, it’s Osama bin Laden and Mullah
Omar in Afghanistan.
Between
600,000 and one million Iraqis died as a result of President
George Bush’s aggression, which cost nearly $1 trillion and
over 4,200 Americans dead and over 25,000 wounded.
Four million
Iraqis remain refugees. The US holds over 20,000 Iraqi political
prisoners, perhaps more. Polls show a majority of Iraqis believe
the US will never leave Iraq.
By fudging
over Iraq, Obama is giving the appearance of being led by the
military-industrial complex, of which a far more experienced
American leader, President Dwight Eisenhower, so rightly warned
us. The "antiwar" president could end up with a smoldering
half-war in Iraq and a widening war in Afghanistan and Pakistan
at a time when the US economy is in the gravest peril.