The World Is A Great Place and Improving
by
George Crispin
by George Crispin
A
group of us are studying Bjørn Lomborg’s book The
Skeptical Environmentalist. It demonstrates that over the
past 200 years our lives have improved greatly, and there is every
reason to expect this improvement to continue.
He
begins by stating the popular view of our environmental situation,
what he calls the Litany. We all know it. The environment is in
poor shape our resources are running out the population is ever
growing, leaving less and less to eat the air and water are becoming
more polluted the planet’s species are becoming extinct in large
numbers, we kill off more than 40,000 each year the forests are
disappearing fish stocks are collapsing and the coral reefs
are dying. We are defiling our Earth, the fertile topsoil is disappearing,
and we are paving over nature, destroying the wilderness, and will
end up killing ourselves in the process. The world’s eco- system
is breaking down. We are fast approaching the absolute limit of
viability, and the limits of growth are becoming apparent.
He
was surprised to discover the available evidence does not back up
this "Litany," and to realize that he had accepted it.
He concluded there must be a doomsday vision anchored in our thinking
that can easily lead us into error. What we need is a clear description
of the whole world, including the bad and the good, the successes
and the failures, and for this we need global statistics. The small
part of the world that we see cannot show a balanced picture.
His
key idea is that we ought not to let the environmental organizations,
business lobbyists and the media be alone in presenting positions.
It is important that we do our best to know the real state of the
world, most particularly because of the strange and powerful status
of environmentalism. The Litany has been so much accepted as the
gospel that anyone who disagrees with it is immediately damned.
Hence Lomborg, a member of the Left, has been accused of being a
messenger for the Right, when all he wants is to present the best
possible knowledge. In so doing it is possible he leans a bit far
in his arguments. This is not justified by the routine dishonesty
of environmentalists, but it is something we need to know.
He
suggests that those who give us the negative news are researchers,
organizations and the media, and since they are unlikely to change
we should take their information with a grain of salt. The Scottish
philosopher David Hume wrote "that the humor of blaming the
present and admiring the past is strongly rooted in human nature."
Sal Baron wrote in his history of the Jews that prophets who made
optimistic predictions were automatically considered false prophets.
Overcoming this built-in bias requires an effort that all of us
are obliged to make.
The
rapid growth in population began around 1950 and will end about
2050. "It is not that people suddenly started breeding like
rabbits; it is that they stopped dying like flies." The rate
of population growth peaked in the 90’s and is dropping now. Food
production per acre is increasing. Natural resources, probably including
oil, cannot be used up. Air and water are becoming less polluted.
Man does not cause much of global warming; best guess is it is the
result of solar activity. In 1950 the average woman in the developing
countries had 6 children; now she has less than three.
Life
and health on this planet have vastly improved, and there is every
reason to believe this can continue.
April
19, 2005
George
Crispin [send him mail]
is a retired businessman who heads a Catholic homeschooling cooperative
in Auburn, Alabama.
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