And Then There Was One
by Don Bacon
by
Don Bacon
DIGG THIS
"Axis
of evil" was a term coined by United States President George
W. Bush in his State
of the Union Address on January 29, 2002 in order to describe
governments that he accused of helping terrorism and seeking weapons
of mass destruction. Bush named Iraq, Iran, and North Korea in his
speech.
Of course,
they weren't an axis, that is they weren't an alliance, at all;
in fact two of them, Iraq and Iran, had fought a bloody war with
the United States supporting Iraq.
Anyhow, it
looks like the "axis" is down to one.
The first to
go was Iraq, with the United States-led invasion on March 20, 2003
by a multinational coalition composed of U.S. and U.K. troops supported
by smaller contingents from Australia, Denmark, Poland, and other
nations.
At the start
of the war, U.S. officials argued that Iraq and its alleged possession
and further pursuit of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) posed an
imminent threat to the security and interests of the United States,
Europe and the other nations of the Middle East. Also Iraq was linked
with terrorism. However the links to terrorism were found to be
false, and weapons inspectors found no evidence of WMD.
And then North
Korea.
The Agreed
Framework signed by the United States and North Korea on October
21, 1994 in Geneva agreed that:
- North Korea
would freeze its existing nuclear program and agree to enhanced
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards.
- Both sides
would cooperate to replace the D.P.R.K.'s graphite-moderated reactors
for related facilities with light-water (LWR) power plants.
- Both countries
would move toward full normalization of political and economic
relations.
- Both sides
will work together for peace and security on a nuclear-free Korean
peninsula.
- And that
both sides would work to strengthen the international nuclear
non-proliferation regime.
Then along
came Bush. South Korea was told in March 2001 that President Bush
and Secretary Powell would not continue the talks with North Korea
representatives on their nuclear program that were begun the year
before by President Clinton and Secretary Albright. Next, Bush called
the DPRK a part of the axis of evil in his 2002 State of the Union
Address.
So, thanks
to Bush, North Korea got to work.
Deputy
Secretary of State Richard Armitage testified before the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee February 4, 2003 that the administration
received a National Intelligence Estimate in June 2002 stating that
North Korea had engaged in at least [a research and development]
project for highly enriched uranium. He also stated that intelligence
received the next month, however, indicated that North Korea was
acquiring many more [centrifuges] than was originally thought,
adding that a September 2002 intelligence memorandum said that North
Korea had embarked on a production program.
A November
2002 CIA report to Congress says North Korea is constructing
a [uranium-enrichment] plant that could produce enough weapons-grade
uranium for two or more nuclear weapons a year when fully operational.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee heard testimony that the
uranium-enrichment program could produce fissile material in probably
months
and not years.
This was followed
by years of disengagement with North Korea and its nuclear program.
In 2003 North Korea withdrew from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty
(NPT) and it subsequently acted belligerently, reactivating its
nuclear power facilities and firing a land-to-ship missile into
the sea between the Korean Peninsula and Japan. It also conducted
an underground nuclear explosive test on October 16, 2006.
Then came a
shocker. On June 26th the Bush administration asked Congress"
to de-list North Korea from America's "terrorist watch list,
and suspended sanctions on North Korea that are tied to the "Trading
with Enemies Act."
This puts
US-North Korea relations on a whole new track. Chalk it up as a
success for Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian & Pacific
Affairs Christopher Hill, who has been attacked by former US Ambassador
to the United Nations John Bolton for the last year.
President
Bush: "North Korea pledged to declare its nuclear activity.
With today's declaration, North Korea has begun describing its plutonium-related
activities. It's also provided other documents related to its nuclear
programs going back to 1986. It has promised access to the reactor
core and waste facilities at Yongbyon, as well as personnel related
to its nuclear program. All this information will be essential to
verifying that North Korea is ending its nuclear programs and activities.
"The six-party
talks are based on a principle of 'action for action.' So in keeping
with the existing six-party agreements, the United States is responding
to North Korea's actions with two actions of our own:
"First,
I'm issuing a proclamation that lifts the provisions of the Trading
with the Enemy Act with respect to North Korea.
"And secondly,
I am notifying Congress of my intent to rescind North Korea's designation
as a state sponsor of terror . . .Multilateral diplomacy is the
best way to peacefully solve the nuclear issue with North Korea.
"They
said they're going to destroy parts of their plant in Yongbyon.
That's a very positive step after all, it's the plant that
made plutonium.
"Now,
as I mentioned in my statement, there's a lot more verification
that needs to be done. I mentioned our concerns about [uranium]
enrichment. We expect the North Korean regime to be forthcoming
about their programs."
Catch the new
Bush:
"North
Korea has begun describing its plutonium-related activities."
"They said they're going to destroy parts of their [plutonium]
plant in Yongbyon."
"I mentioned our concerns about [uranium] enrichment."
"We expect the North Korean regime to be forthcoming about
their programs."
So it looks
like two down.
But what about
the third and last "Axis" member, Iran?
Do they get
the attack like Iraq, or do they get the concern and expectations
like North Korea? (Hint: They've got oil and gas, like Iraq, and
North Korea doesn't.)
Iran has been
subjected to a series of United Nations sanctions for its refusal
to cease enriching uranium, as North Korea is doing, and the United
States refuses to talk to Iran.
This is despite
the fact that Iran, a Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Pact signatory, is in full compliance with
the NPT which states:
"Nothing in this Treaty shall be interpreted as affecting the
inalienable right of all the Parties to the Treaty to develop research,
production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes without
discrimination and in conformity with articles I and II of this
Treaty."
In other words,
Iran, like any NPT signatory, is not only allowed but encouraged
to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. Iran is in full
compliance with the NPT.
In February
of this year, the UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) stated:
"The
Agency has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion of
declared nuclear material in Iran. Iran has provided the Agency
with access to declared nuclear material and has provided the
required nuclear material accountancy reports in connection with
declared nuclear material and activities."
And
again in May:
"The
Agency has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion of
declared nuclear material in Iran."
Despite these
affirmations Iran has been threatened with attack by Israel. Iran
has said that it would react violently if attacked. As a result,
UN Secretary Ban Ki-moon criticized Iran.
Talk about
the double standards at the United Nations, reports Kaveh
L Afrasiabi of Asia Times. Whereas UN secretary general
Ban Ki-moon has repeatedly condemned Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad's
rhetoric against Israel, expressing "shock and dismay,"
he has remained ominously, and inexcusably, silent about the blatant
Israeli threats of military attacks on Iran, thus undermining the
world's confidence in his ability to steer the global community
clear of yet another major war in the Middle East caldron.
Afrasiabi continues:
Having turned a blind eye to Iran's formal protest at the UN regarding
Israel's explicit threats, Ban may need to revisit his own statement
of June 7, 2007, "The secretary general points out that all
members have undertaken to refrain from the threat or use of force
against the territorial integrity or political independence of any
state."
In light of
new media disclosures about Israel's advanced plans to launch a
major air offensive against Iran's nuclear installations, bound
to inflict serious civilian casualties and trigger the volatile
region into a "fireball," to paraphrase the reaction of
the head of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Mohammad
ElBaradei, who has stated categorically that he would resign immediately
if Iran is attacked, Ban is borderline on the verge of skirting
his official obligation by refusing to issue a stern statement on
this serious matter of war and peace.
And what's
the US up to? Until recently, writes Sarah
Van Gelder at Huffington Post, the power struggle within the
Bush administration over whether to attack Iran seemed to be going
badly for the hawks. Their disastrous record in Iraq coupled with
flimsy arguments for attacking Iran meant they were gaining little
support. But now it appears congressional Democrats may be riding
to the rescue of those pushing for war. Bills have been introduced
in both houses that would impose strict inspections on all cargo
inbound to Iran.
Imposing "stringent
inspection requirements" would amount to a naval blockade,
many believe, and thus constitute an act of war. At the very least,
it would be perceived by Iranians of all political persuasions as
a hostile act, further marginalizing moderate voices, unifying the
country behind the most belligerent leaders, and bolstering the
argument of those within Iran who are pushing for the rapid development
of nuclear weapons as a defense against U.S. attack.
Why are 96
House Democrats (along with 111 House Republicans) co-sponsoring
this resolution? Aren't these the Democrats who rode into majorities
in both houses on public revulsion against war in the Middle East?
According to
a recent story on CBS News, the answer seems to be a "full-court
press" by the government of Israel and the American-Israeli
lobby AIPAC. CBS ran the story Tuesday as Joint Chiefs Chairman
Admiral Mike Mullen was on his way to the Middle East to confer
with Israeli government officials. "Israelis are uncertain
about what would be the policies of the next [U.S.] administration
vis-à-vis Iran," CBS consultant Michael Oren says in the report.
Hence the rush
to war?
It sure looks
like war, if these bills become law and the UN falls in line.
H. Con. Res
362 (introduced by Democrat Gary Ackerman) and S.Res.580 (by Democrat
Evan Bayh) are identical bills which have as their goal "preventing
Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability, through all appropriate
economic, political, and diplomatic means, is vital to the national
security interests of the United States and must be dealt with urgently...."
The bill:
"demands
that the President initiate an international effort to immediately
and dramatically increase the economic, political, and diplomatic
pressure on Iran to verifiably suspend its nuclear enrichment
activities by, inter alia, prohibiting the export to Iran of all
refined petroleum products; imposing stringent inspection requirements
on all persons, vehicles, ships, planes, trains, and cargo entering
or departing Iran; and prohibiting the international movement
of all Iranian officials not involved in negotiating the suspension
of Iran's nuclear program;"
So the US is
concerned about North Korea's uranium enrichment and, thanks to
the Democrats, ready to go to war over Iran's.
As Edward Abbey
said: "As war and government prove, insanity is the most contagious
of diseases."
June
30, 2008
Don
Bacon [send him mail]
is a retired army officer who founded the Smedley
Butler Society several years ago because, as General Butler
said, "war is a racket."
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