Feeling a Draft
by
Paul Craig Roberts
by Paul Craig Roberts
Lawrence
Kaplan, neo-Jacobin ideologue and shameless apologist for the
carnage in Iraq, claims that Americans wouldn’t mind having 30,000
of our troops killed in Iraq if it achieves Bush’s "strategic
objectives."
No
one knows any longer what these objectives are unless it is to start
World War III. The original strategic objectives were all propagandistic
lies to justify a gratuitous invasion of a Muslim country, an irrational
act that was a strategic blunder that wrecked US foreign policy
and isolated the US from the rest of the world.
The
year-long Iraqi military adventure has been justified with a series
of shifting strategic objectives. First, it was to rid ourselves
of the danger of Iraqi WMD. When the befuddled American public learned
that there were no WMD, the strategic objective was to sever the
al Qaeda-Iraqi terror link. When it became clear that there was
no such link, the objective changed to removing a brutal dictator
and building democracy.
As
it becomes clear that the US is the new dictator one moreover that
has now killed more Iraqi women and children than Saddam Hussein intending
a permanent military occupation under cover of a puppet government,
Shiites have joined Sunnis in resisting the occupation, and US casualties
have risen to higher rates than during the military conflict with
the Iraqi army.
Just
as in Vietnam, American generals are calling for more troops. But
there are no more troops to send. National Guard and Reserve units
are already deployed filling in the manpower gaps. To bolster our
forces against the rising resistance, the Pentagon must renege on
the promised rotation of 20,000 US troops, requiring them to remain
at their combat stations.
Meanwhile,
US forces are poised to attack the Shiite holy city of Najaf in
order to kill or capture the rebellious cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.
The US started Sadr’s rebellion by closing down a Shiite newspaper
that was not sufficiently obsequious to the American dictatorship
which has taken Saddam Hussein’s place.
Moderate
Shiite clerics, who have been attempting to hold the US to its promise
of democracy and elections, have indicated that an attack on Najaf
would lead to a generalized Shiite uprising.
Such
an uprising would involve huge numbers. The calls for more US troops
would be urgent. The only source of those troops is to reinstate
the draft. If the insane idiots running the Bush administration
persist in their macho bully mentality of escalating the conflict,
we will have a test of Kaplan’s prediction that Americans will gladly
sacrifice 30,000 of their sons.
Moderate
Shiite clerics cannot be reasonably expected to stand quietly while
the US mows down Sadr’s followers and destroys holy shrines. Trusting
to their numbers prevailing in a democratic election, the Shiites’
acceptance of the US occupation has already harmed their credibility
and raised questions whether they have been bought by American gold.
Until Sadr joined the resistance, only the Sunnis actively resisted
the occupation.
A
generalized rebellion against the American occupation would likely
spill over into generalized conflict in the Middle East the ignition
of which was the precise reason behind the neoconservative plan
to invade Iraq. Although utterly discredited by the failure of their
"cakewalk" scenario, the neocon ideologues and their Likud
Party allies might yet prevail in starting a Middle Eastern war.
April
15, 2004
Dr. Roberts [send him mail]
is John M. Olin Fellow at the Institute for Political Economy, Senior
Research Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University,
and Research Fellow at the Independent Institute. He is a former
associate editor of the Wall
Street Journal and a former assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury.
He is the co-author of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions.
Copyright
© 2004 Creators Syndicate
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