Why Bush Will Nuke Iran
by
Paul Craig Roberts
by Paul Craig Roberts
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The neoconservative
Bush administration will attack Iran with tactical nuclear weapons,
because it is the only way the neocons believe they can rescue their
goal of U.S. (and Israeli) hegemony in the Middle East.
The U.S. has
lost the war in Iraq and in Afghanistan. Generals in both war theaters
are stating their need for more troops. But there are no troops
to send.
Bush has tried
to pawn Afghanistan off on NATO, but Europe does not see any point
in sacrificing its blood and money for the sake of American hegemony.
The NATO troops in Afghanistan are experiencing substantial casualties
from a revived Taliban, and European governments are not enthralled
over providing cannon fodder for U.S. hegemony.
The "coalition
of the willing" has evaporated. Indeed, it never existed. Bush's
"coalition" was assembled with bribes, threats, and intimidation.
Pervez Musharraf, the American puppet ruler of Pakistan, let the
cat out of the bag when he told CBS' 60 Minutes on Sept.
24, 2006, that Pakistan had no choice about joining the "coalition."
Brute coercion was applied. Musharraf said Assistant Secretary of
State Richard Armitage told the Pakistani intelligence director
that "you are with us" or "be prepared to be bombed.
Be prepared to go back to the Stone Age." Armitage is trying
to deny his threat, but Dawn Wire Service, reporting from Islamabad
on Sept. 16, 2001, on the pressure Bush was putting on Musharraf
to facilitate the U.S. attack on Afghanistan, stated: "'Pakistan
has the option to live in the 21st century or the Stone Age' is
roughly how U.S. officials are putting their case."
That Musharraf
would volunteer this information on American television is a good
indication that Bush has lost the war. Musharraf can no longer withstand
the anger he has created against himself by helping the U.S. slaughter
his fellow Muslims in Bush's attempt to exercise U.S. hegemony over
the Muslim world. Bush cannot protect Musharraf from the wrath of
Pakistanis, and so Musharraf has explained himself as having cooperated
with Bush in order to prevent the U.S. destruction of Pakistan:
"One has to think and take actions in the interest of the nation,
and that's what I did." Nevertheless, he said, he refused Bush's
"ludicrous" demand that he arrest Pakistanis who publicly
demonstrated against the U.S.: "If somebody's expressing views,
we cannot curb the expression of views."
Bush's defeats
in Iraq and Afghanistan and Israel's defeat by Hezbollah in Lebanon
have shown that the military firepower of the U.S. and Israeli armies,
though effective against massed Arab armies, cannot defeat guerillas
and insurgencies. The U.S. has battled in Iraq longer than it fought
against Nazi Germany, and the situation in Iraq is out of control.
The Taliban have regained half of Afghanistan. The king of Saudi
Arabia has told Bush that the ground is shaking under his feet as
unrest over the American/Israeli violence against Muslims builds
to dangerous levels. Our Egyptian puppet sits atop 100 million Muslims
who do not think that Egypt should be a lackey of U.S. hegemony.
The king of Jordan understands that Israeli policy is to drive every
Palestinian into Jordan.
Bush is incapable
of recognizing his mistake. He can only escalate. Plans have long
been made to attack Iran. The problem is that Iran can respond in
effective ways to a conventional attack. Moreover, an American attack
on another Muslim country could result in turmoil and rebellion
throughout the Middle East. This is why the neocons have changed
U.S. war doctrine to permit a nuclear strike on Iran.
Neocons believe
that a nuclear attack on Iran would have intimidating force throughout
the Middle East and beyond. Iran would not dare retaliate, neocons
believe, against U.S. ships, U.S. troops in Iraq, or use their missiles
against oil facilities in the Middle East.
Neocons have
also concluded that a U.S. nuclear strike on Iran would show the
entire Muslim world that it is useless to resist America's will.
Neocons say that even the most fanatical terrorists would realize
the hopelessness of resisting U.S. hegemony. The vast multitude
of Muslims would realize that they have no recourse but to accept
their fate.
Revised U.S.
war doctrine concludes that tactical or low-yield nuclear weapons
cause relatively little "collateral damage" or civilian
deaths, while achieving a powerful intimidating effect on the enemy.
The "fear factor" disheartens the enemy and shortens the
conflict.
University
of California Professor Jorge
Hirsch, an authority on nuclear doctrine, believes that an American
nuclear attack on Iran will destroy the Nonproliferation Treaty
and send countries in pell-mell pursuit of nuclear weapons. We will
see powerful nuclear alliances, such as Russia/China, form against
us. Japan could be so traumatized by an American nuclear attack
on Iran that it would mean the end of Japan's sycophantic relationship
to the U.S.
There can be
little doubt that the aggressive U.S. use of nukes in pursuit of
hegemony would make America a pariah country, despised and distrusted
by every other country. Neocons believe that diplomacy is feeble
and useless, but that the unapologetic use of force brings forth
cooperation in order to avoid destruction.
Neoconservatives
say that America is the new Rome, only more powerful than Rome.
Neoconservatives genuinely believe that no one can withstand the
might of the United States and that America can rule by force alone.
Hirsch
believes that the U.S. military's opposition to the use of nuclear
weapons against Iran has been overcome by the civilian neocon authorities
in the Bush administration. Desperate to retrieve their drive toward
hegemony from defeat in Iraq, the neocons are betting on the immense
attraction to the American public of force plus success. It is possible
that Bush will be blocked by Europe, Russia, and China, but there
is no visible American opposition to Bush legitimizing the use of
nuclear weapons at the behest of U.S. hegemony.
It
is astounding that such dangerous fanatics have control of the U.S.
government and have no organized opposition in American politics.
September
26, 2006
Dr.
Roberts [send him mail]
is
Chairman of the Institute for Political Economy and Research Fellow
at the Independent Institute.
He is a former associate editor of the Wall Street Journal,
former contributing editor for National Review, and was Assistant
Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He is the
co-author of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions.
Copyright
© 2006 Creators Syndicate
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