A New World War for a New World Order
by Andrew Gavin Marshall
Recently
by Andrew Gavin Marshall: Colour-Coded
Revolutions and the Origins of World War III
Introduction
In Part
1 and Part
2 of this series, I have analyzed US and NATO geopolitical strategy
since the fall of the Soviet Union, in expanding the American empire
and preventing the rise of new powers, containing Russia and China.
This Part examines the implications of this strategy in recent years;
following the emergence of a New Cold War, as well as analyzing
the war in Georgia, the attempts and methods of regime change in
Iran, the coup in Honduras, the expansion of the Afghan-Pakistan
war theatre, and spread of conflict in Central Africa. These processes
of a New Cold War and major regional wars and conflicts take the
world closer to a New World War. Peace can only be possible if the
tools and engines of empires are dismantled.
Eastern
Europe: Forefront of the New Cold War
In 2002, the
Guardian reported that, “The US military build-up in the former
Soviet republics of central Asia is raising fears in Moscow that
Washington is exploiting the Afghan war to establish a permanent,
armed foothold in the region.” Further, “The swift construction
of US military bases is also likely to ring alarm bells in Beijing.”[1]
In 2004, it
was reported that US strategy “is to position U.S. forces along
an "arc of instability" that runs through the Caribbean, Africa,
the Middle East, the Caucasus, Central Asia and southern Asia. It
is in these parts of the world generally poor, insular and unstable
that military planners see the major future threats to U.S. interests.”[2]
In 2005, it
was reported that talks had been going on between the US and Poland
since 2002, along with various other countries, “over the possibility
of setting up a European base to intercept long-range missiles.”
It was further reported that, “such a base would not have been conceivable
before Poland joined Nato in 1999.”[3]
In November
of 2007 it was reported that, “Russia threatened to site short-range
nuclear missiles in a second location on the European Union's border
yesterday if the United States refuses to abandon plans to erect
a missile defence shield.” A senior Russian “army general said that
Iskander missiles could be deployed in Belarus if US proposals to
place 10 interceptor missiles and a radar in Poland and the Czech
Republic go ahead.” Putin “also threatened to retrain Russia's nuclear
arsenal on targets within Europe.” However, “Washington claims that
the shield is aimed not at Russia but at states such as Iran which
it accuses of seeking to develop nuclear weapons that could one
day strike the West.”[4]
This is a patently
absurd claim, as in May 2009, Russian and American scientists released
a report saying “that it would take Iran at least another six to
eight years to produce a missile with enough range to reach Southern
Europe and that only illicit foreign assistance or a concerted and
highly visible, decade-long effort might produce the breakthroughs
needed for a nuclear-tipped missile to threaten the United States.”[5]
Even in December of 2007, the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)
released by all 16 US intelligence agencies reported that, “Iran
halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and that the program
remains frozen.”[6]
Russia has
concerns not only about missile interceptors in Poland, which it
claims are aimed at Russia, but is also concerned about “an advanced
missile-tracking radar that the Pentagon wants to place in the Czech
Republic.”[7] Further, in 2007, the Guardian reported that, “Russia
is preparing its own military response to the US's controversial
plans to build a new missile defence system in eastern Europe, according
to Kremlin officials, in a move likely to increase fears of a cold
war-style arms race.” A Kremlin spokesman said of the Polish missile
defenses and the Czech radar system, that, “We were extremely concerned
and disappointed. We were never informed in advance about these
plans. It brings tremendous change to the strategic balance in Europe,
and to the world's strategic stability.”[8]
In May of 2008,
it was reported that, “President Dmitri A. Medvedev of Russia and
President Hu Jintao of China met ... to conclude a deal on nuclear
cooperation and together condemn American proposals for a missile
shield in Europe. Both countries called the plan a setback to international
trust that was likely to upset the balance of power.”[9]
In July of
2008, the Russian Foreign Ministry said that it “will be forced
to make a military response if the U.S.-Czech missile defense agreement
is ratified,” and that, “we will be forced to react not with diplomatic,
but with military-technical methods.”[10] In August of 2008, the
US and Poland reached a deal “to place an American missile defense
base on Polish territory.” Russia responded by “saying that the
move would worsen relations with the United States.”[11] Russia
further said “the US had shown that Russia was the true target of
the defensive shield, as tension between the two powers continued
to rise over the conflict in Georgia.” The Deputy Head of Russia’s
general staff “warned that Poland was making itself a target for
Russia's military.”[12]
It was further
reported that, “General Anatoly Nogovitsyn said that any new US
assets in Europe could come under Russian nuclear attack with his
forces targeting ‘the allies of countries having nuclear weapons’,”
and that, “Such targets are destroyed as a first priority.”[13]
In April of
2009, Obama said, “that the U.S. missile defense system in the Czech
Republic and Poland will go forward.”[14] In May of 2009, Russia
said that it “could deploy its latest Iskander missiles close to
Poland if plans to install U.S. Patriots on Polish soil go ahead.”[15]
In July of 2009, Russian President Medvedev said that, “Russia will
still deploy missiles near Poland if the US pushes ahead with a
missile shield in Eastern Europe.”[16]
Iran
and the China-Russia Alliance
The Bush regime
used hostile rhetoric against Iran, threatening possible war against
the country. However, Iran will not be in any way similar to the
military adventurism seen in Iraq. A war against Iran will bring
China and Russia to war with the west. Chinese and Russian investments
with Iran, both in terms of military cooperation as well as nuclear
proliferation and energy ties, have driven the interests of Iran
together with those of China and Russia.
In 2007, both
Russia and China warned against any attack on Iran by the west.[17]
From 2004 onwards, China became Iran’s top oil export market, and
Iran is China’s third largest supplier of oil, following Angola
and Saudi Arabia. China and Iran signed a gas deal in 2008 worth
100 billion dollars. Further, “Beijing is helping Tehran to build
dams, shipyards and many other projects. More than 100 Chinese state
companies are operating in Iran to develop ports and airports in
the major Iranian cities, mine-development projects and oil and
gas infrastructures.” Also, “China, Iran and Russia maintain identical
foreign policy positions regarding Taiwan and Chechnya,”[18] which
only further strengthens their alliance.
In August of
2008, a senior Iranian defense official warned that any attack against
Iran would trigger a world war.[19] In February of 2009, Iran and
Russia announced that, “Iran and Russia are to boost military cooperation.”[20]
Russia has also been selling arms and advanced weapons systems to
both Iran and Venezuela.[21] In 2008, OPEC warned against an attack
on Iran, saying that, “oil prices would see an ‘unlimited’ increase
in the case of a military conflict involving Iran, because the group's
members would be unable to make up the lost production.”[22]
In 2001, the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) was founded as a mutual
security organization between the nations of China, Kazakhstan,
Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Its main focus is
on Central Asian security matters, such as “terrorism, separatism
and extremism.” Nations with Observer status in the SCO are India,
Mongolia, Pakistan and Iran. The SCO also emphasizes economic ties
between the nations, and serves as a counter to American hegemony
in Central Asia.[23]
In October
of 2007, the SCO, headed by China, signed an agreement with the
Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), headed by Russia,
in an effort to bolster and strengthen links in defense and security
between the two major nations.[24] The CSTO was formed in 2002 between
Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia and Tajikistan.
In 2007, it was suggested that Iran could join the CSTO.[25] In
April of 2009, it was reported that the CSTO is building up its
cooperation with Iran, acting as a counterweight to NATO.[26] In
February of 2009, following a summit, the CSTO had “produced an
agreement to set up a joint rapid-reaction force intended to respond
to the ‘broadest range of threats and challenges’.”[27] The rapid-reaction
force “will comprise large military units from five countries -
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan,” and
is seen as a force to rival NATO.[28]
In April of
2009, Russia and China “announced plans for an intensified programme
of military cooperation yesterday as part of a burgeoning ‘strategic
partnership’,” and that, “As many as 25 joint manoeuvres will be
staged this year in a demonstration of strengthening ties between
Moscow and Beijing.” Further, “Russia and China staged their first
joint war games in 2005 after resolving outstanding border disputes
between them. However, Moscow views Beijing as a lucrative market
for defence exports and has sold billions of dollars of weaponry
to China since the collapse of the Soviet Union ended their Communist
rivalry.” Important to note is that, “Both states have a keen interest
in keeping the United States and Europe out of Central Asia as competition
intensifies for access to the region’s enormous oil and gas reserves.”[29]
In June of
2009, “China and Russia signed a series of new agreements to broaden
their collaborations in trade, investment and mining, including
the framework on $700 million loan between Export-Import Bank of
China and Russian Bank of Foreign Trade.” Of great importance, “Memorandums
on bilateral gas and coal cooperation are likely to lead the two
countries' energy links to cover all the main sectors, from coal,
oil, electricity, gas to nuclear power.” The leaders of both nations
said that they “hoped the two countries will also increase their
joint projects in science and technology, agriculture, telecommunications
and border trade.”[30]
In April of
2009, China and Russia signed a major oil pipeline deal to supply
China with Russian oil.[31] In July of 2009, China and Russia underwent
a week-long war game exercise of land and air forces, “designed
to counter a hypothetical threat from Islamist extremists or ethnic
separatists that both countries insist look increasingly realistic.”
In particular, “both are driven by a growing sense of urgency stemming
from what they see as a deteriorating security picture in Afghanistan
and neighboring Pakistan.”[32]
The
Georgian War: Spreading Conflict in the Caucasus
After the break-up
of the Soviet Union in 1991, Georgia’s northern province of South
Ossetia declared independence but failed to be internationally recognized.
South Ossetia as well as Georgia’s other largely autonomous province,
Abkhazia, had traditionally been allied with Russia. There had been
long-standing tensions between South Ossetia and Georgia and a shaky
ceasefire.
On August 1,
2008, six people were killed in South Ossetia when fighting broke
out between Georgian and South Ossetian forces. Both sides blamed
each other for opening fire first, with Russian peacekeepers blaming
Georgia and the Georgians blaming Russian peacekeepers.[33]
On August 5,
Russia announced that it would “defend its citizens living in the
conflict zone” if a conflict were to erupt in Georgia, and the South
Ossetian President said Georgia was “attempting to spark a full-scale
war.” Further, South Ossetian children were being evacuated out
of the conflict zone, an act that was “condemned” by Georgia, saying
that the separatists were “using their youngsters as political propaganda.”[34]
On August 7,
a ceasefire was announced between Georgia and South Ossetia, with
Russia acting as a mediator between the two. On the night of August
7, five hours after the declared ceasefire, Georgian President Mikheil
Saakashvili began a military operation against the capital city
of South Ossetia, Tskhinvali.[35] The Georgian attack targeted hospitals,
the university and left the city without food, water, electricity
and gas.[36]
Georgian forces
surrounded the city and their troops and tanks continued to assault
the civilian targets. On the 8th of August, Russia called for an
end to the military offensive. Reportedly, 2,000 civilians were
killed by this point in South Ossetia, so Russia sent troops into
the area. Russian Prime Minister Putin referred to Georgian actions
as “genocide” and Russia also reportedly bombed a Georgian town.
Immediately, the US called for “an end to the Russian bombings.”
The Georgian President called it an “unprovoked brutal Russian invasion.”
Much of Tskhinvali was left in ruins after the Georgian offensive,
with 34,000 South Ossetian refugees in Russia.[37]
Georgia, which
had 2,000 troops deployed in Iraq, announced on August 9th that
they would be pulling 1,000 troops out of Iraq to be deployed into
South Ossetia, with the US providing the transportation for Georgian
troops to get back to Georgia.[38] However, the Russian advance
pushed the Georgian troops back, recapturing the city and damaging
much of Georgia’s military infrastructure. The Russian troops also
entered the other breakaway province of Abkhazia and even occupied
the Georgian city of Gori.
On August 12,
the Russians announced an end to their military operations in Georgia
and on August 13th, the last remaining Georgian troops pulled out
of South Ossetia.
However, there
is much more to this story than simply a conflict between a small
Central Asian nation and Russia. It is important to remember the
role played by American NGOs in putting the Georgian President Mikhail
Saakashvili into power through the Rose Revolution in 2003 [See:
Colour-Coded
Revolutions and the Origins of World War III]. The US then developed
closer ties with Georgia. Even before the Rose Revolution, in 2002,
US military advisers were in Georgia in an effort to open up a “new
front” in the war on terror, with Americans there to “train the
Georgian army in how to counter militant activity.”[39] Also in
2002, hundreds of US Green Berets and 200 Special Forces arrived
in Georgia to train Georgian forces “for anti-terrorism and counterinsurgency
operations.”[40] Russia warned against US involvement in Georgia,
saying that it could “complicate” the situation.[41]
US and Georgian
troops even conducted war games and military exercises together.
In July of 2008, it was reported that 1,000 US troops in Georgia
began a military training exercise with Georgian troops called “Immediate
Response 2008.” The same report stated that “Georgia and the Pentagon
[cooperated] closely.” The training exercise came amidst growing
tensions between Russia and Georgia, while the US was simultaneously
supporting Georgia’s bid to become a NATO member.[42]
Further, 1,200
US servicemen and 800 Georgians were to train for three weeks at
a military base near the Georgian capital of Tbilisi.[43] The exercise
was being run in cooperation with NATO and was preceded by a visit
to Georgia by US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, where she
met with the President and stated that, “the future of Georgia is
in NATO.”[44]
However, these
exercises and increased military cooperation between the US and
Georgia did not go unnoticed by Russia, which simultaneously began
military exercises on the other side of the Caucasus mountains,
involving up to 8,000 Russian servicemen.[45] Clearly, Russia itself
was aware of the potential for a military conflict in the region.
When the conflict
with Russia began, there were US military instructors in Georgia,[46]
and Russia’s envoy to NATO also accused NATO of encouraging Georgia
to take the offensive against South Ossetia.[47]
The US was
not the only western nation to aid Georgia, as the unofficial NATO
member, Israel, also played a part in arming Georgia. The Georgian
tanks and artillery that captured the South Ossetian capital were
aided by Israeli military advisers. Further, for up to a year leading
up to the conflict, the Georgian President had commissioned upwards
of 1,000 military advisers from private Israeli security firms to
train the Georgian armed forces, as well as offer instruction on
military intelligence and security. Georgia also purchased military
equipment from Israel.[48]
The War in
Georgia was designed to escalate tensions between NATO and Russia,
using the region as a means to create a wider conflict. However,
Russia’s decision to end the combat operations quickly worked to
its benefit and had the effect of diminishing the international
tensions. The issue of NATO membership for Georgia is very important,
because had it been a NATO member, the Russian attack on Georgia
would have been viewed as an attack on all NATO members. The war
in Afghanistan was launched by NATO on the premises of ‘an attack
against one is an attack against all.’
It also was
significant that there was a large pipeline deal in the works, with
Georgia sitting in a key strategic position. Georgia lies between
Russia and Turkey, between the Caspian Sea and the Black Sea, and
above Iran and Iraq. The significance of Georgia as a strategic
outpost cannot be underestimated. This is true, particularly when
it comes to pipelines.
The Baku Tblisi
Ceyhan (BTC) Pipeline, the second largest pipeline in the world,
travels from Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, through Tbilisi, the
capital of Georgia, to Ceyhan, a Mediterranean port city in Turkey.
This pipeline creates a route that bypasses both Iran and Russia,
to bring Caspian Basin oil resources “to the United States, Israel
and Western European markets.” The US company Bechtel, was the main
contractor for construction, procurement and engineering, while
British Petroleum (BP), is the leading shareholder in the project.[49]
Israel gets much of its oil via Turkey through the BTC pipeline
route, which likely played a large part in Israel’s support for
Georgia in the conflict,[50] as a continual standoff between the
West and the East (Russia/China) takes place for control of the
world’s resources.
Zbigniew Brzezinski,
co-founder, with David Rockefeller, of the Trilateral Commission,
and Jimmy Carter’s National Security Adviser who played a key role
in the creation of the Afghan Mujahideen, which became known as
Al-Qaeda, wrote an op-ed for Time Magazine at the outbreak of the
Russia-Georgia conflict. Brzezinski, being a Cold War kingpin of
geopolitical strategy, naturally blamed Russia for the conflict.
However, he also revealed the true nature of the conflict.
He started
by blaming Russia’s “invasion of Georgia” on its “imperial aims.”
Brzezinski blamed much of this on the “intense nationalistic mood
that now permeates Russia’s political elite.” Brzezinski went on
to explain Georgia’s strategic significance; stating that, “an independent
Georgia is critical to the international flow of oil,” since the
BTC pipeline “provides the West access to the energy resources of
central Asia.” Brzezinski warned Russia of being “ostracized internationally,”
in particular its business elite, calling them “vulnerable” because
“Russia’s powerful oligarchs have hundreds of billions of dollars
in Western bank accounts,” which would be subject to a possible
“freezing” by the West in the event of a “Cold War-style standoff.”[51]
Brzezinski’s op-ed essentially amounted to geopolitical extortion.
Regime
Change in Iran
There was,
for many years, a split in the administration of George W. Bush
in regards to US policy towards Iran. On the one hand, there was
the hardliner neoconservative element, led by Dick Cheney, with
Rumsfeld in the Pentagon; who were long pushing for a military confrontation
with Iran. On the other hand, there was Condoleezza Rice as Secretary
of State, who was pushing for a more diplomatic, or “soft” approach
to Iran.
In February
of 2006, Condoleezza Rice introduced a new Iran strategy to the
Senate, “emphasizing the tools of so-called soft diplomacy. She
called for ramping up funding to assist pro-democracy groups, public
diplomacy initiatives, and cultural and education fellowships, in
addition to expanding U.S.-funded radio, television, and Internet
and satellite-based broadcasting, which are increasingly popular
among younger Iranians.” She added that, “we are going to work to
support the aspirations of the Iranian people for freedom in their
country.” There were three main facets to the program: “Expanding
independent radio and television”; “Funding pro-democracy groups,”
which “would lift bans on U.S. financing of Iran-based nongovernmental
organizations (NGOs), trade unions, human rights groups, and opposition
candidates”; and “Boosting cultural and education fellowships and
exchanges,” which “would help pay Iranian students and scholars
to enroll in U.S. universities.”[52]
This marked
a significant change in U.S. foreign policy with Iran, which would
have the effect of making Iran’s domestic situation “more intense,”
or as one expert put it, “this is the thing that can undo this regime.”
Another expert stated that if the strategy failed, “we will have
wasted the money, but worse than that, helped discredit legitimate
opposition groups as traitors who receive money from the enemy to
undermine Iran 's national interest.”[53]
In March of
2006, the Iraq Study Group was assembled as a group of high level
diplomats and strategic elites to reexamine US policy toward Iraq,
and more broadly, to Iran as well. It proposed a softer stance towards
Iran, and one of its members, Robert Gates, former CIA director,
left the Group in November of 2006 to replace Donald Rumsfeld as
Secretary of Defense. Cheney had fought to keep his ally in the
Pentagon, but had failed in not only that, but also in preventing
Robert Gates from being his replacement.[54]
In February
of 2006, the Guardian reported that the Bush administration received
“a seven-fold increase in funding to mount the biggest ever propaganda
campaign against the Tehran government,” and quoted Secretary Rice
as saying, “we will work to support the aspirations of the Iranian
people for freedom and democracy in their country.” The “US is to
increase funds to Iranian non-governmental bodies that promote democracy,
human rights and trade unionism,” which started in 2005 for the
first time since 1980, and that, “the US would seek to help build
new dissident networks.”[55]
In April of
2006, the Financial Times reported that, “The US and UK are working
on a strategy to promote democratic change in Iran,” as “Democracy
promotion is a rubric to get the Europeans behind a more robust
policy without calling it regime change.”[56] Christian Science
Monitor reported that the goal of the strategy was “regime change
from within,” in the form of “a pro-democracy revolution.”[57]
In July of
2007, it was reported that the White House had “shifted back in
favour of military action,” at the insistence of Cheney.[58] Josh
Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations, said in May
of 2007, that US strategy consisted of three options: the first
was economic sanctions, the second was regime change, and the third
was military action. Bolton elaborated that, “we've got to go with
regime change by bolstering opposition groups and the like, because
that's the circumstance most likely for an Iranian government to
decide that it's safer not to pursue nuclear weapons than to continue
to do so. And if all else fails, if the choice is between a nuclear-capable
Iran and the use of force, then I think we need to look at the use
of force.” Ultimately, the aim would be “to foment a popular revolution.”[59]
In September
of 2007, it was reported that the Bush administration was pushing
the US on the warpath with Iran, as “Pentagon planners have developed
a list of up to 2,000 bombing targets in Iran.” It was even reported
that Secretary Rice was “prepared to settle her differences with
Vice-President Dick Cheney and sanction military action.” It was
reported that Rice and Cheney were working together to present a
more unified front, finding a middle ground between Rice’s soft
diplomacy, and Cheney’s preference to use “bunker-busting tactical
nuclear weapons” against Iran.[60]
That same year,
in 2007, the United States launched covert operations against Iran.
ABC broke the story, reporting that, “The CIA has received secret
presidential approval to mount a covert "black" operation to destabilize
the Iranian government.” The President signed an order “that puts
into motion a CIA plan that reportedly includes a coordinated campaign
of propaganda, disinformation and manipulation of Iran's currency
and international financial transactions.” The approval of these
covert operations marked a temporary move away from pursuing overt
military action.[61]
As the Telegraph
reported in May of 2007, “Bush has signed an official document endorsing
CIA plans for a propaganda and disinformation campaign intended
to destabilise, and eventually topple, the theocratic rule of the
mullahs.” As part of the plan, “the CIA [has] the right to collect
intelligence on home soil, an area that is usually the preserve
of the FBI, from the many Iranian exiles and emigrés within the
US,” as “Iranians in America have links with their families at home,
and they are a good two-way source of information.” Further, “The
CIA will also be allowed to supply communications equipment which
would enable opposition groups in Iran to work together and bypass
internet censorship by the clerical regime.”[62]
“Soft” power
became the favoured policy for promoting regime change in Iran.
David Denehy, a senior adviser to the State Department’s Bureau
of Near Eastern Affairs, was “charged with overseeing the distribution
of millions of dollars to advance the cause of a more democratic
Iran.” He was responsible for disbursing the $75 million that Ms.
Rice asked the Senate for in February of 2006. The appropriations
included “$36.1 million into existing television and radio programs
beaming into Iran,” and “$10 million would pay for public diplomacy
and exchange programs, including helping Iranians who hope to study
in America,” and “$20 million would support the efforts of civil-society
groups — media, legal and human rights nongovernmental organizations
— both outside and inside Iran.” The administration was requesting
an additional $75 million for 2008.[63]
In 2008, award-winning
journalist Seymour Hersh revealed in the New Yorker that in late
2007, Congress approved “a request from President Bush to fund a
major escalation of covert operations against Iran, according to
current and former military, intelligence, and congressional sources.”
While the Cheney hard-liners in the Bush administration were long
pushing for a direct military confrontation with Iran, the military
had to be reigned in from being controlled by the neo-conservatives.
Robert Gates, a former CIA director, had replaced Donald Rumsfeld
as Defense Secretary, and while still saber rattling Iran, had to
take a more strategic position, as many military leaders in the
Pentagon felt “that bombing Iran is not a viable response to the
nuclear-proliferation issue.”[64]
The covert
operations that were approved ran at a cost of approximately $400
million dollars, and “are designed to destabilize the country’s
religious leadership. The covert activities involve support of the
minority Ahwazi Arab and Baluchi groups and other dissident organizations.
They also include gathering intelligence about Iran’s suspected
nuclear-weapons program.” The operations were to be expanded under
both the CIA and JSOC (the Joint Special Operations Command). The
focus was “on undermining Iran’s nuclear ambitions and trying to
undermine the government through regime change,” of which a major
facet was “working with opposition groups and passing money.” Hersh
elaborated:
Many
of the activities may be being carried out by dissidents in Iran,
and not by Americans in the field. One problem with “passing money”
(to use the term of the person familiar with the Finding) in a covert
setting is that it is hard to control where the money goes and whom
it benefits. Nonetheless, the former senior intelligence official
said, “We’ve got exposure, because of the transfer of our weapons
and our communications gear. The Iranians will be able to make the
argument that the opposition was inspired by the Americans. How
many times have we tried this without asking the right questions?
Is the risk worth it?” One possible consequence of these operations
would be a violent Iranian crackdown on one of the dissident groups,
which could give the Bush Administration a reason to intervene.[65]
Included in
the strategy was to use ethnic tensions to undermine the government;
however, this strategy is flawed. Unlike Pakistan, Lebanon, and
Iraq, Iran is a much older country, “like France and Germany—and
its citizens are just as nationalistic. The U.S. is overestimating
ethnic tension in Iran.”[66] This turned out to be an important
point in regards to the elections in the summer of 2009.
Flashback
to 1953
To understand
the nature of American and British “democracy promotion” in Iran,
it is important to examine their historical practices regarding
“democracy” in Iran. Specifically, the events of 1953 present a
very important picture, in which the United States orchestrated
its first foreign coup, with guidance and direction from the British,
who had extensive oil interests in Iran. The first democratically
elected government of Mohommad Mossadeq in 1951 announced the nationalization
of the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (later to be re-named British Petroleum),
which had an exclusive monopoly on Iranian oil. This naturally angered
the British, who, in 1952, convinced the CIA to help in a plot to
overthrow Iran’s government.
The idea to
topple the Iranian government was born in Britain, but it didn’t
take much to convince the CIA to launch a joint operation with the
SIS. Government documents were made public which revealed that CIA
“officers orchestrating the Iran coup worked directly with royalist
Iranian military officers, handpicked the prime minister's replacement,
sent a stream of envoys to bolster the shah's courage, directed
a campaign of bombings by Iranians posing as members of the Communist
Party, and planted articles and editorial cartoons in newspapers.”
The strategy was aimed at supporting an Iranian General and the
Shah through CIA assets and financing, which would overthrow Mossadeq,
“particularly if this combination should be able to get the largest
mobs in the streets.”[67]
The Shah was
to play a pivotal role, as he was “to stand fast as the C.I.A. stirred
up popular unrest and then, as the country lurched toward chaos,
to issue royal decrees dismissing Dr. Mossadegh and appointing General
Zahedi prime minister.” CIA operatives stoked pressure by pretending
to be Iranian Communists, threatening Muslim leaders with “savage
punishment if they opposed Mossadegh,” in an effort to stir anti-Communist
and anti-Mossadeq sentiments in the religious community. The CIA
even bombed the house of a prominent Muslim. Further, the CIA was
advancing a major propaganda campaign, as a major newspaper owner
was paid $45,000 to support the efforts. The CIA, once the coup
was underway, used American media as propaganda, in an attempt to
legitimize the coup plotters, as the CIA sent The Associated Press
a news release saying that, “unofficial reports are current to the
effect that leaders of the plot are armed with two decrees of the
shah, one dismissing Mossadegh and the other appointing General
Zahedi to replace him.” The CIA also disseminated this propaganda
through Iranian media.
Following the
beginning of the coup, which began on August 15, Mossadeq suspended
the Parliament, which ultimately played “into the C.I.A.'s hands.”
After having several plotters arrested, he let his guard down. Then
the American Embassy planned a counterattack for August 19, specifically
using religious forces. At this time, the Communist Party blamed
“Anglo-American intrigue” for the coup. However, just as the CIA
thought it was a failure, Iranian papers began publishing en masse
the Shah’s decrees, and suddenly large pro-Shah crowds were building
in the streets. An Iranian journalist who was an important CIA agent,
“led a crowd toward Parliament, inciting people to set fire to the
offices of a newspaper owned by Dr. Mossadegh's foreign minister.
Another Iranian C.I.A. agent led a crowd to sack the offices of
pro-Tudeh papers.”
Then coup supporters
in the military began to enter the streets, and soon “the crowds
began to receive direct leadership from a few officers involved
in the plot and some who had switched sides. Within an hour the
central telegraph office fell, and telegrams were sent to the provinces
urging a pro-shah uprising. After a brief shootout, police headquarters
and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs fell as well.” Interestingly,
according to the declassified documents, the CIA “hoped to plant
articles in American newspapers saying Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlevi's
return resulted from a homegrown revolt against a Communist-leaning
government,” but that ultimately, “its operatives had only limited
success in manipulating American reporters.” The CIA planted stories
in US media, such as one instance where the State Department planted
a CIA study in Newsweek.
One of the
key lessons the CIA learned in this operation, was that it “exposed
the agency's shortcomings in manipulating the American press.” The
CIA even manipulated a reporter with the New York Times to disseminate
propaganda. While Soviet media was proclaiming the US responsible
for the coup, American mentions of this in the media dismissed these
accusations outright, and never “examined such charges seriously.”[68]
By the end
of Operation Ajax, as the CIA coup was codenamed, “some 300 people
had died in firefights in the streets of Tehran,” largely due to
the CIA “provoking street violence.” The coup resulted in “more
than two decades of dictatorship under the Shah, who relied heavily
on US aid and arms.”[69]
The West
Sponsors Terrorists in Iran
In 2005, Scott
Ritter, former UN weapons inspector, reported that, “the Mujahadeen
el-Khalq, or MEK, an Iranian opposition group, once run by Saddam
Hussein's dreaded intelligence services,” was now working for the
CIA in terror bombings inside Iran.[70] In February of 2007, the
Telegraph reported that, “America is secretly funding militant ethnic
separatist groups in Iran in an attempt to pile pressure on the
Islamic regime to give up its nuclear programme.”
The CIA operations
“involve dealing with movements that resort to terrorist methods,”
and the article noted that, “there has been a wave of unrest in
ethnic minority border areas of Iran, with bombing and assassination
campaigns against soldiers and government officials,” and interestingly,
the CIA operations are focused on “helping opposition militias among
the numerous ethnic minority groups clustered in Iran's border regions.”
A former State Department counter-terrorism agent was quoted as
saying, “The latest attacks inside Iran fall in line with US efforts
to supply and train Iran's ethnic minorities to destabilise the
Iranian regime.”[71]
ABC News reported
in April of 2007 that, “A Pakistani tribal militant group responsible
for a series of deadly guerrilla raids inside Iran has been secretly
encouraged and advised by American officials since 2005.” The group,
named Jundullah, operates out of the Baluchistan province in Pakistan,
on the boarder of Iran, and “has taken responsibility for the deaths
and kidnappings of more than a dozen Iranian soldiers and officials.”[72]
In 2008, Pakistan’s
former Army Chief said that, “the US is supporting the outlawed
Jundullah group to destabilize Iran,” and that, “the US is providing
training facilities to Jundullah fighters located in eastern areas
of Iran to create unrest in the area and affect the cordial ties
between Iran and its neighbor Pakistan.”[73]
The 2009
Election Protests
The events
of 1953 presented a blueprint for the 2009 Iranian election protests,
an attempted “soft revolution” in Iran, also drawing from the “colour
revolutions” in the post-Soviet states of Eastern Europe [See: Colour-Coded
Revolutions and the Origins of World War III]. It is the thesis
of this author that the 2009 election riots in Iran were a covert
US (and British) plot designed to orchestrate regime change in Iran.
The aim was to put in place a US-friendly leader, and thus, exert
political, economic and strategic hegemony over Iran. Following
the stratagem of US-funded “colour revolutions” in the former Soviet
bloc, but with heavy CIA influence, drawing parallels with the 1953
coup; the plot was ultimately unsuccessful.
While the 1953
coup revealed the failure of the CIA to greatly influence and manipulate
US media, the 2009 riots revealed a great success in American media
manipulation; however, ironically, it was the focus on this triumphant
success that may have impeded the ultimate success of the plot.
American popular perception of an illegitimate election and political
oppression was enough to support regime change, but not to enact
regime change. So, in a bitter irony for the US, the failure of
the 1953 coup, became the success of the 2009 plot; while the success
of the 1953 coup, became the failure of the 2009 plot. It just so
happens that the success of the 1953 coup . . . was that it worked.
In November
of 2008, Iranian media reported that, “the White House is making
strenuous efforts to orchestrate a "Velvet Revolution" in Iran.”
The former Iranian ambassador to the United Nations said that, “that
Washington is conspiring to foment discord among Iranians in order
to topple the Tehran government.”[74]
Iranian media
reported in April of 2009, two months prior to the Presidential
elections, that Iran's Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) had “uncovered
a plot for a ‘soft overthrow’ of the country's government,” and
“accused the Netherlands of conspiring to foment a velvet revolution
in the country by supporting the opposition through the media and
different Internet sites.” In 2005, the Dutch parliament funded
a 15 million euro “media polarization campaign” inside Iran, which
was “Coupled with British assistance and secret US funding.”[75]
In the lead-up
to the elections, there were increasing attacks within Iran. Two
weeks before the election, on May 28, 2009, in southeastern Iran,
a Shi’a mosque bombing resulted in the deaths of 20 people. An Iranian
official accused the United States of involvement in arming the
terrorists, who committed the act in a Sunni area of Iran, a religious
minority within the country. Jundullah, the terrorist organization
armed and funded by the US through the CIA, claimed responsibility
for the bombing.[76] The following day, Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's election campaign office was attacked by gunmen in
the same city as the bombing, resulting in several injuries.[77]
These attacks, aimed at stirring up religious tensions, are reminiscent
of the attacks carried out by the CIA in Iran in the 1953 coup.
The day before
the election, on June 11, 2009, it was reported that the National
Endowment for Democracy, the main institution behind the “colour
revolutions” in Eastern Europe (covered in Part 2 of this series),
had spent a lot of money that made it into the hands of pro-Mousavi
groups inside Iran, as Mousavi was the Western favoured candidate
in the Iranian elections. It was even reported that there was talk
of a “green revolution” in Iran, as the Mousavi campaign was full
of green scarves and banners at the rallies.[78]
On June 10,
2009, two days before the election, a New York Times blog reported
that there was concern among many Ahmadinejad supporters in Iran
that they fear “that what they are witnessing is a local version
of the Orange Revolution, which swept an opposition government into
power in Ukraine.”[79]
On June 12,
2009, the Iranian election took place. Immediately, the propaganda
machine went into effect and the plan for a colour revolution in
Iran was underway. Iran’s state run news agency reported that Ahmadinejad
had won in a landslide victory of 69%. Immediately, his main rival
and the American-favoured candidate, Moussavi, claimed that he had
won and that there were voting “irregularities,” and was quoted
as saying, “I am the absolute winner of the election by a very large
margin.”[80]
Immediately,
Western governments denounced the election as a fraud, and protests
began in the streets of Tehran, where young people clad in the green
of the Mousavi campaign declared “Death to the Dictator” referring
to Ahmadinejad. Mousavi encouraged the protests to continue, and
in the second day of protests, young people “broke the windows of
city buses on several streets in central Tehran. They burned banks,
rubbish bins and piles of tyres used as flaming barricades. Riot
police hit some of the protesters with batons while dozens of others
holding shields and motorcycles stood guard nearby.” Western governments
then openly declared their solidarity with the protests and denounced
the Iranian government for repressing them.[81]
Despite all
the claims of vote fraud and irregularities, those taking this position
offered no actual evidence to support it. As Politico reported on
June 15, the people proclaiming fraud “ignore the fact that Ahmadinejad’s
62.6 percent of the vote in this year’s election is essentially
the same as the 61.69 percent he received in the final count of
the 2005 presidential election.” These people also conveniently
ignore many popular perceptions within Iran, such as the fact that
most Iranians saw Ahmadinejad as having won the televised debates
and that he can also be viewed as a populist campaigner. Ahmadinejad
has the support of a large amount of Iranians, “including the religiously
pious, lower-income groups, civil servants and pensioners.”[82]
Some “evidence”
for fraud was highly circumstantial, in that it claimed that because
Mousavi comes from an Azeri background, “he was guaranteed to win
Iran’s Azeri-majority provinces,” and so, when Ahmadinejad won in
these provinces, “fraud is the only possible explanation.” However,
Ahmadinejad also speaks Azeri quite fluently, had formerly served
as an official in two Azeri areas, and the Supreme Leader of Iran,
Ayatollah Khameini, is also Azeri.[83]
This also ignores
the class based voting of Iranians. While the West tends to portray
the Middle East and Africa through an Orientalist lens, viewing
them as “the Other,” and often portraying the people of these regions
as backwards or barbaric, reality is a far cry from Western perception.
People in the Middle East, including in Iran, vote with concerns
about the economy and social conditions in mind just as much as
voters in the west do. Voting in the Middle East is not simply based
upon religious or ethnic differences, there is more to consider,
and any analysis that forgets this is flawed. Even the Financial
Times was quoted as saying, “Change for the poor means food and
jobs, not a relaxed dress code or mixed recreation,” and that, “Politics
in Iran is a lot more about class war than religion.”[84]
As James Petras
wrote, “The only group, which consistently favored Mousavi, was
the university students and graduates, business owners and the upper
middle class.”[85] These also happened to be the highly Westernized
Iranians. The Iranians protesting in the “green revolution” were
holding signs written in English, and were giving interviews to
western media all in English. Many were western educated and raised.
The Iranian diaspora in the west was also largely supportive of
the “green revolution,” as they are the sons and daughters of those
who had emigrated out of Iran following the 1979 Iranian Revolution.
They are the children of the exiled Iranian capitalist class, and
do not represent a fair assessment of the internal Iranian population.
After all, the poor and the masses do not have the means to emigrate
to the west. Naturally, many westernized youth in Iran have legitimate
concerns and social issues with the present way of governance within
Iran; however, the majority of Iranians are more concerned with
their daily meals than Islamic dress codes.
As Petras further
pointed out, “The ‘youth vote’, which the Western media praised
as ‘pro-reformist’, was a clear minority of less than 30% but came
from a highly privileged, vocal and largely English speaking group
with a monopoly on the Western media.”[86] Even the Washington Post
reported on June 15, about a major Western poll conducted in Iran
three weeks prior to the election, in which it “showed Ahmadinejad
leading by a more than 2 to 1 margin greater than his actual
apparent margin of victory,” and the “scientific sampling from across
all 30 of Iran's provinces showed Ahmadinejad well ahead.”
The Washington
Post article further pointed out that, “Much commentary has portrayed
Iranian youth and the Internet as harbingers of change in this election.
But our poll found that only a third of Iranians even have access
to the Internet, while 18-to-24-year-olds comprised the strongest
voting bloc for Ahmadinejad of all age groups.” Further, the only
demographic where Mousavi was “leading or competitive with Ahmadinejad
were university students and graduates, and the highest-income Iranians.”
The article ended by saying that, “The fact may simply be that the
reelection of President Ahmadinejad is what the Iranian people wanted.”[87]
The Internet
played a very large role in the international perception of the
Iranian elections, as social networking sites like Twitter and Facebook
were used to advance the aims of the “green revolution,” often giving
it the name the “Twitter Revolution.” Remember that in 2007, “a
CIA plan that reportedly includes a coordinated campaign of propaganda,
disinformation and manipulation,” was put into effect, which were
“intended to destabilise, and eventually topple, the theocratic
rule of the mullahs.” As part of this, “The CIA will also be allowed
to supply communications equipment which would enable opposition
groups in Iran to work together and bypass internet censorship by
the clerical regime.”[88]
In the midst
of the protests, the Iranian government cracked down on dissent,
banning foreign reporters and blocking websites. As the Washington
Times reported, “Well-developed Twitter lists showed a constant
stream of situation updates and links to photos and videos, all
of which painted a portrait of the developing turmoil. Digital photos
and videos proliferated and were picked up and reported in countless
external sources safe from the regime's Net crackdown.”[89] Naturally,
all of this information came from the upper class Western students,
who had access to this technology, which they were using in English.
On June 15,
“a 27-year-old State Department official, Jared Cohen, e-mailed
the social-networking site Twitter with an unusual request: delay
scheduled maintenance of its global network, which would have cut
off service while Iranians were using Twitter to swap information
and inform the outside world about the mushrooming protests around
Tehran.” Further, the New York Times reported that, “Mr. Cohen,
a Stanford University graduate who is the youngest member of the
State Department’s policy planning staff, has been working with
Twitter, YouTube, Facebook and other services to harness their reach
for diplomatic initiatives.”[90]
It turned out
only a small number of people in Iran actually used Twitter for
organizational purposes; however, “Twitter did prove to be a crucial
tool in the cat-and-mouse game between the opposition and the government
over enlisting world opinion.” Twitter also took part in spreading
disinformation during the protests, as the New York Times pointed
out that, “some of the biggest errors on Twitter that were quickly
repeated and amplified by bloggers: that three million protested
in Tehran last weekend (more like a few hundred thousand); that
the opposition candidate Mir Hussein Moussavi was under house arrest
(he was being watched); that the president of the election monitoring
committee declared the election invalid last Saturday (not so).”[91]
On the 28th
of June, the Iranian Intelligence Minister blamed western powers,
specifically the United States and Britain, for the post-election
protests and violence. Iran even arrested British embassy staff
in Tehran.[92] On July 3, the head of Iran's Guardians Council said
that, “British embassy staff would be put on trial for inciting
violent protests.” Iran had arrested nine “British embassy employees
it accused of playing a role in organising pro-democracy demonstrations,”
but had released seven of them by July. However, one Embassy staff
member had been accused of “a significant role” in the election
riots.[93]
Amidst all
the British denials of any involvement, the Telegraph revealed in
late July that two exiles, “Azadeh Assadi and Vahid Saderigh have
been providing crucial support to opposition leaders in Tehran from
their homes in London,” who “take their cue from Iran's Green Movement
which has been the rallying point for an unprecedented challenge
to the leadership of the Islamic Republic.” They further organized
the protests at the Iranian Embassy in London, which lasted for
31 days, longer than anywhere else.[94]
Hossein Rassam,
head of the security and political division of the British Embassy
in Tehran, was arrested under suspicions that he played a key role
in the protests “in providing guidance to diplomats and reporters
of the British media.” Further, an Iranian-American scholar was
arrested. In 2007, Iran arrested “Haleh Esfandiari, head of the
Wilson Center's Middle East program, and Kian Tajbakhsh, with links
to the Soros institute, on suspicions of endangering the country's
national security.” They were released after three months detention.[95]
Of great interest
were the statements made my former high-level American strategic
kingpins of the foreign policy establishment in the wake of the
riots: among them, Henry Kissinger, Zbigniew Brzezinski, and Brent
Scowcroft. Former US National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft,
in an interview with Al-Jazeera shortly after the start of the protests,
when asked if the US had intelligence agents on the ground in Iran,
replied, without hesitation, “Of course we do.” The interviewer
asked if they would help the protesters, to which Scowcroft replied,
“They might be, who knows. But that’s a far cry from helping protesters
against the combined might of the Revolutionary Guard, the militias,
and so on, and the police, who are so far, completely unified.”
He explained that he feels the “movement” for change is there in
Iran, and that, “It’s going to change Iran, I think that is almost
inevitable.”[96]
Zbigniew Brzezinski,
former National Security Adviser in the Jimmy Carter administration,
co-founder with David Rockefeller of the Trilateral Commission,
and arch-hawk geopolitical strategist, was interviewed on CNN shortly
after the protests began. When asked how the situation could be
worked out to resemble Eastern Europe, as in, successful colour
revolutions putting western puppets in power, Brzezinski responded,
“Well, I think it will not work out the way Eastern Europe worked
out, and hopefully it will not end the way Tiananmen Square ended.
Eastern Europe became intensely pro-Western, pro-American, and so
forth.” Further, he explained, “If there is a change of regime in
Iran, there is a greater chance of accommodation, and I think that
is to be fervently wished for. But that requires patience, intelligent
manipulation, moral support, but no political interference.”[97]
Henry Kissinger,
former National Security Adviser and Secretary of State; was interviewed
by BBC at the outbreak of the riots. He stated that, “Now if it
turns out that it is not possible for a government to emerge in
Iran that can deal with itself as a nation rather than as a cause,
then we have a different situation. Then we may conclude that we
must work for regime change in Iran from the outside.”[98]
Clearly, there
were extensive Western interests and involvement behind the Iranian
“democracy” movement that resulted in the protests following the
election. However, the ultimate goal of the attempted “colour revolution”
failed, as it did not succeed in achieving regime change. Brzezinski’s
strategy of “intelligent manipulation” ultimately failed, and so,
as Henry Kissinger stated, “we may conclude that we must work for
regime change in Iran from the outside.”
Latin
America Is Not to Be Left Out: The Coup in Honduras
It is important
to take a look at recent events in Latin America in an imperial
context to understand how wide and vast American and NATO imperial
strategy is. While the world’s eyes and media were fixated on events
in Iran, another event was taking place in Latin America, which
was conveniently ignored by international media.
On June 28,
2009, the Honduran military kidnapped the President of Honduras
and flew him into exile. The official line was that the coup was
prompted when Manuel Zelaya, the President of Honduras, was attempting
to schedule a poll on holding a referendum about rewriting the constitution.
The Supreme Court secretly issued an arrest warrant for Zelaya on
June 26, “charging him with treason and abuse of power.”[99] The
military entered his house two days later, and put him on a military
plane to Costa Rica, and the same day, the Honduran Congress voted
to remove Zelaya and replace him with the Speaker of Congress Roberto
Micheletti.
Zelaya happened
to be a close ally of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, as well
as Bolivian President Evo Morales; who represent the populist leaders
of the new move to the left in Latin America, and pose a strong
opposition force to the hegemony of US and Western interests in
the region. Hugo Chavez alleged that the coup had the hands of the
United States in it, and that the upper class in Honduras helped
and “have turned Honduras into a 'banana republic', into a political,
military and terror base for the North American empire.”[100]
The New York
Times reported that the Obama administration was “surprised” by
the coup, “But they also said that they had been working for several
weeks to try to head off a political crisis in Honduras as the confrontation
between Mr. Zelaya and the military over his efforts to lift presidential
term limits escalated.” Further, “The United States has long had
strong ties to the Honduras military and helps train Honduran military
forces.” It was further reported that Secretary of State Hilary
Clinton visited Zelaya on June 2, and that the United States thought
Zelaya’s plans for reforming the Constitution was a “bad idea.”
The US Ambassador to Honduras had held discussions with military
officials where “There was talk of how they might remove the president
from office, how he could be arrested, on whose authority they could
do that.”[101]
As it turned
out, the General in the Honduran Army who overthrew Zelaya “is a
two-time graduate of the U.S. Army School of the Americas, an institution
that has trained hundreds of coup leaders and human rights abusers
in Latin America.” Past graduates have included Argentine Gen. Leopoldo
Galtieri, Guatemalan dictator Gen. Efrain Rios Montt, “Panamanian
dictators Gen. Omar Torrijos, who overthrew a civilian government
in a 1968 coup, and Gen. Manuel Noriega, a five-time SOA graduate,
who ruled the country and dealt in drugs while on the CIA payroll,”
Ecuadoran dictator Gen. Guillermo Rodriguez, Bolivian dictators
Gen. Hugo Banzer Suarez and Gen. Guido Vildoso Calderon, and Peruvian
strongman Gen. Juan Velasco Alvarado.[102]
As was reported
the following day of the coup, over the previous ten years, “the
United States has delivered $18.41 million in weapons and defense
articles to Honduras through the foreign military sales program,”
with Foreign Military Financing totaling $7.3 million between 2003
and today, and “International Military Education and Training funds
in that same period came to $14.82 million.”[103]
The Washington
Post reported, two days following the coup, that when Clinton was
asked if it was a US priority to see Zelaya reinstated, she responded,
“We haven't laid out any demands that we're insisting on, because
we're working with others on behalf of our ultimate objectives.”
Zelaya had fired Gen. Romeo Vasquez prior to the coup, and Air Force
commander, Gen. Luis Javier Prince Suazo, along with many other
military leaders resigned. Both Vasquez and Suazo were trained at
the School of the Americas.[104]
An article
in the Guardian published a few days after the coup stated that,
as countries around the world condemned the coup and called for
the reinstatement of Zelaya, “Washington's ambivalence has begun
to raise suspicions about what the US government is really trying
to accomplish in this situation.” One possibility for this is that
“the Obama administration may want to extract concessions from Zelaya
as part of a deal for his return to office.” Following the coup,
oppression in Honduras was rampant: “political repression, the closing
of TV and radio stations, the detention of journalists, detention
and physical abuse of diplomats and what the Committee to Protect
Journalists has called a "media blackout" have yet to draw a serious
rebuke from Washington.” As the author astutely stated:
The
battle between Zelaya and his opponents pits a reform president
who is supported by labour unions and social organisations against
a mafia-like, drug-ridden, corrupt political elite who is accustomed
to choosing not only the supreme court and the Congress, but also
the president. It is a recurrent story in Latin America, and the
US has almost always sided with the elites.[105]
This harks
back to 2002, when the United States had its hands involved in the
attempted coup in Venezuela to oust President Hugo Chavez, which
ultimately failed. In the months leading up to the attempted coup
in April 2002, US officials held a series of meetings with “Venezuelan
military officers and opposition activists.” Further, “a few weeks
before the coup attempt, administration officials met Pedro Carmona,
the business leader who took over the interim government after President
Hugo Chavez was arrested.”
The Pentagon
even “confirmed that the Venezuelan army's chief of staff, General
Lucas Romero Rincon, visited the Pentagon in December and met the
assistant secretary of defence for western hemispheric affairs.”
Further, when “Mr Carmona and other opposition leaders came to the
US they met Otto Reich, the assistant secretary of state for western
hemisphere affairs.” Otto Reich was a veteran of the Reagan-era
“dirty tricks” in Latin America, such as the contra operations,
which involved the US funding drug-running terrorists and death
squads, and Reich “was the head of the office of public diplomacy
in the state department, which was later found to have been involved
in covert pro-contra propaganda.”[106]
The Observer
reported that the coup attempt in 2002 “was closely tied to senior
officials in the US government.” Among the officials involved, “Elliot
Abrams, who gave a nod to the attempted Venezuelan coup, has a conviction
for misleading Congress over the infamous Iran-Contra affair.” There
was of course Otto Reich, who met with all the coup leaders in the
months preceding the coup. Finally, there was John Negroponte, who
was in 2002 “ambassador to the United Nations. He was Reagan's ambassador
to Honduras from 1981 to 1985 when a US-trained death squad, Battalion
3-16, tortured and murdered scores of activists. A diplomatic source
said Negroponte had been 'informed that there might be some movement
in Venezuela on Chavez' at the beginning of the year.”[107]
Two weeks following
the coup in Honduras, Roberto Micheletti, the man who replaced Zelaya
following the coup, showed up at the house of President Óscar Arias
of Costa Rica, who was to mediate between the “interim government”
and Zelaya. Micheletti however, was accompanied with an interesting
cast of characters. He arrived with six advisers, among them, “an
American public relations specialist who has done work for former
President Bill Clinton and the American’s interpreter, and an official
close to the talks said the team rarely made a move without consulting
him.” International pressure for US sanctions on Honduras was building,
however:
Mr.
Micheletti has embarked on a public relations offensive, with his
supporters hiring high-profile lawyers with strong Washington connections
to lobby against such sanctions. One powerful Latin American business
council hired Lanny J. Davis, who has served as President Clinton’s
personal lawyer and who campaigned for Mrs. Clinton for president.
[.
. . ] Mr. Micheletti brought the adviser from another firm with
Clinton ties to the talks in Costa Rica. The adviser, Bennett Ratcliff
of San Diego, refused to give details about his role at the talks.
“Every
proposal that Micheletti’s group presented was written or approved
by the American,” said another official close to the talks, referring
to Mr. Ratcliff.[108]
Clearly, whatever
the end result, which has yet to be determined, the hand of the
United States can be seen in the Honduran coup. The bias and ultimately
the failure of the international media became quite evident as a
result of the coup. While the global media, particularly the western
corporate media, were devoting non-stop coverage to the Iranian
elections, proclaiming fraud, while offering no evidence; a military
coup ousting a democratically elected president and installing an
oppressive dictatorship which immediately began its heavy handed
repression received scant attention. The western media attacked
an actual democratic process in action, while ignoring a military
assault against democracy. Which story receives more coverage is
determined by the interests involved: in Iran, the West wanted a
new government, so the media pushed for one; in Honduras, the US
wanted a new government, so the media turned a blind eye while they
got one through non-democratic means.
The
Afghanistan-Pakistan War Theatre
Within days
of getting into office, President Obama authorized a missile strike
in Pakistan, which killed several civilians. Obama continued with
this strategy, after Bush, in July of 2008, “authorized the C.I.A.
and the Joint Special Operations Command to make ground incursions
into Pakistan.”[109] This was to set the pace for US strategy in
the region, particularly in relation to Afghanistan and Pakistan.
In late March,
Obama announced his plan for a new Afghanistan and Pakistan strategy,
which are to be a combined strategy. As part of the strategy, known
as the AfPak strategy, “More U.S. troops, civilian officials and
money will be needed,” and “Obama pledged to tighten U.S. focus
on Pakistan.” Further, Obama announced in late March that, “he would
send 4,000 U.S. troops beyond the additional 17,000 he authorized”
in February, “to work as trainers and advisers to the Afghan army,
and hundreds more civilian officials and diplomats to help improve
governance and the country's economy,” bringing the total number
of US troops up to 60,000.[110]
In May, a major
event took place in military circles, as one of the few times in
over 50 years an American wartime general was fired in the field.
In May of 2009, Defense Secretary Robert Gates fired the top general
in Afghanistan saying that what was needed was “fresh thinking”
and “fresh eyes” on Afghanistan. Gates “recommended that President
Obama replace McKiernan with a veteran Special Operations commander,
Lt. Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal.” As the Washington Post reported,
McKiernan, the general whom Gates fired, “was viewed as somewhat
cautious and conventionally minded.”[111] Could it be that McKiernan
did not see the AfPak strategy as a viable option; that it went
against “caution”?
His replacement,
General McChrystal, was “the director of the Pentagon's Joint Staff.
From 2006 to August 2008, he was the forward commander of the U.S.
military's secretive Joint Special Operations Command, responsible
for capturing or killing high-level leaders of the Sunni insurgent
group al-Qaeda in Iraq.”[112] One expert summed up the new General
as such: “McChrystal kills people.” One senior military official
at the Pentagon asked; “what message are we sending when our high-value-target
hunter is sent to lead in Afghanistan?”[113]
However, there
is another twist to this story. As Pulitzer Prize winning journalist,
Seymour Hersh revealed, Cheney created a special unit called the
Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC), which was to carry out
high-level assassinations. This unit was kept a secret for many
years, and Hersh referred to it as an “Executive assassination ring.”
Hersh reported that they carried out many assassinations, “not just
in Iraq and Afghanistan, it's in a lot of other countries, in the
Middle East and in South Asia and North Africa and even central
America.” The new General of the AfPak war theatre, Stanley McChrystal,
used to run Cheney’s assassination squad.[114]
At the end
of November 2009, Obama announced a surge of an additional 30,000
troops to Afghanistan, “bringing the total American force to about
100,000.”[115] Further, in early December, it was reported that
Obama “authorized an expansion of the C.I.A.’s drone program in
Pakistan’s lawless tribal areas, officials said this week, to parallel
the president’s decision, announced Tuesday, to send 30,000 more
troops to Afghanistan.”[116]
Clearly, the
Afghanistan-Pakistan strategy will only further inflame the region
in conflict and turmoil. Expanding the Afghan war into Pakistan
is akin to playing with matches around a stick of dynamite. Perhaps
this was the clarity of the previous general, McKiernan, in seeing
this strategic insanity, and thus, the reason for his removal. The
destabilization of this region threatens all of the neighboring
countries, including India, China, Russia, Turkey and Iran. The
possibility of creating a much wider war in the region, and even
between the great powers, is ever increasing.
Africa
and AFRICOM
During the
Cold War, Africa was an imperial battleground between the USSR and
the US-NATO powers, with the ultimate goal being the control over
strategic resource-rich areas. Since the collapse of the Soviet
Union, Russia’s influence in Africa largely dissipated, and with
that, came the neo-imperial struggle among the western powers for
control over key strategic points. Now, the great battle in Africa
is between the NATO powers, primarily the United States, and China,
which has had exponential growth and influence on the continent.
The 1990s saw
the Rwandan genocide as a key event in Africa, which was, in actuality,
a struggle between France and the United States over the key strategic
location of Rwanda. The World Bank and IMF laid the groundwork for
conflict, creating the economic conditions that exacerbated colonial-era
ethnic tensions. Meanwhile, the United States, through its proxy
state of Uganda, funded military operations and trained the Rwandan
Patriotic Front (RPF), which conducted military operations from
Uganda into Rwanda. The Civil War waged from 1990-1993, with the
US funding all sides of the conflict. In 1994, the RPF shot down
the plane carrying the Presidents of Rwanda and Burundi, which sparked
the genocide. Following the genocide, the US-trained puppet, Paul
Kagame, became President of Rwanda.[117]
Following these
events, the US had two protectorates in Central Africa, Uganda and
Rwanda, both of which bordered the Democratic Republic of the Congo
(DRC). This was the ultimate prize in the area. From both Rwanda
and Uganda, military operations were funded and paramilitary forces
were trained by the United States to venture into the DRC, which
erupted in coups and Civil War. However, western, primarily American
and Canadian corporations were plundering the resource-rich Congo,
while millions of Congolese civilians died.[118]
In April of
2001, Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney held a hearing on Western involvement
in the plunder of Africa, in which she stated, “at the heart of
Africa’s suffering is the West’s, and most notably the United States’,
desire to access Africa’s diamonds, oil, natural gas, and other
precious resources . . . the West, and most notably the United States,
has set in motion a policy of oppression, destabilization and tempered,
not by moral principle, but by a ruthless desire to enrich itself
on Africa’s fabulous wealth.”[119]
In the New
World Order, Africa has not lost its significance as a geopolitical
prize for the great powers. While the Middle East, save Iran, is
largely under the influence of the United States and its NATO allies,
Africa is the main battleground between the US and China. Imperialism
in Africa goes under many names: the “War on Terror”, military assistance,
economic aid, and “humanitarian intervention” to name a few.
U.S. Strategy
in Africa
In 2005, the
Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), the main policy-planning group
of the US elite, published a Task Force Report on US strategy in
Africa called, More Than Humanitarianism: A Strategic U.S. Approach
Toward Africa. In the report, it was stated that:
Africa
is becoming more important because of its growing role in supplying
the world with oil, gas, and non-fuel minerals. Now supplying the
United States with 15 percent of oil imports, Africa’s production
may double in the next decade, and its capacity for natural gas
exports will grow even more. In the next decade, Africa could be
supplying the United States with as much energy as the Middle East.[120]
The report
stated that, “The United States is facing intense competition for
energy and other natural resources in Africa,” identifying India
and primarily China as its main competitors “in the search for these
resources and for both economic and political influence on the continent.”[121]
In particular, “China presents a particularly important challenge
to U.S. interests.”[122]
Further, “To
compete more effectively with China, the United States must provide
more encouragement and support to well-performing African states,
develop innovative means for U.S. companies to compete, give high-level
attention to Africa, and engage China on those practices that conflict
with U.S. interests.”[123]
In analyzing
the threat China poses to the US in Africa, the report hypocritically
and misleadingly states that one of its main concerns is that China
uses “its seat on the UN Security Council to protect some of Africa’s
most egregious regimes from international sanction, in particular
Sudan and Zimbabwe.”[124] This conveniently ignores the United States
doing the same thing in regards to Israel, as well as its tacit,
overt and covert support for brutal regimes across the world, not
simply in Africa.
The report
explained that much of China’s growing influence is due to its “soft
loans,” meaning that Chinese loans to African countries do not come
attached with “conditions” as in World Bank and IMF loans, which
make them much more attractive to African countries. China is also
heavily invested in the oil of Sudan, specifically in Darfur, which
the West does not have access to.
In analyzing
how the War on Terror had been brought to Africa, the report stated:
Post-9/11,
the U.S. counterterror approach to Africa has been led by the U.S.
military: CENTCOM in the Horn; EUCOM in West, Central, and southern
Africa; and the U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM). More quietly,
U.S. intelligence cooperation with key states has expanded in parallel
with the enlargement of the U.S. military’s role.[125]
As the Guardian
reported in June of 2005, “A new ‘scramble for Africa’ is taking
place among the world's big powers, who are tapping into the continent
for its oil and diamonds.” A key facet of this is that “corporations
from the US, France, Britain and China are competing to profit from
the rulers of often chaotic and corrupt regimes.”[126]
Somalia
In May of 2006,
the Washington Post reported that the US has been “secretly supporting
secular warlords who have been waging fierce battles against Islamic
groups for control of the capital, Mogadishu.”[127]
In December
of 2006, Ethiopia, heavily backed and supported by the US, invaded
and occupied Somalia, ousting the Islamist government. The US support
for the operations was based upon the claims of Somalia being a
breeding ground for terrorists and Al-Qaeda. However, this was has
now turned into an insurgency. Wired Magazine reported in December
of 2008 that, “For several years the U.S. military has fought a
covert war in Somalia, using gunships, drones and Special Forces
to break up suspected terror networks
– and enlisting
Ethiopia’s aid in propping up a pro-U.S. "transitional" government.”[128]
However, there
is naturally more to this than fighting “terrorists.” Civil war
has raged in Somalia since 1991, creating destabilization and political
instability. The UN intervened between 1992 and 1995, and the US
sent in Special Forces in 1993. As the Los Angeles Times revealed
in 1993, “four major U.S. oil companies are quietly sitting on a
prospective fortune in exclusive concessions to explore and exploit
tens of millions of acres of the Somali countryside.” According
to the article, “nearly two-thirds of Somalia was allocated to the
American oil giants Conoco, Amoco, Chevron and Phillips in the final
years before Somalia's pro-U.S. President Mohamed Siad Barre was
overthrown and the nation plunged into chaos in January, 1991.”
Further:
Conoco
Inc., the only major multinational corporation to maintain a functioning
office in Mogadishu throughout the past two years of nationwide
anarchy, has been directly involved in the U.S. government's role
in the U.N.-sponsored humanitarian military effort.
Conoco,
whose tireless exploration efforts in north-central Somalia reportedly
had yielded the most encouraging prospects just before Siad Barre's
fall, permitted its Mogadishu corporate compound to be transformed
into a de facto American embassy a few days before the U.S. Marines
landed in the capital, with Bush's special envoy using it as his
temporary headquarters. In addition, the president of the company's
subsidiary in Somalia won high official praise for serving as the
government's volunteer "facilitator" during the months before and
during the U.S. intervention.[129]
The Ethiopian
troops occupied Somalia for a couple years, and in January of 2009,
the last Ethiopian troops left the capital city of Mogadishu. In
2007, the UN authorized an African Union (AU) peacekeeping mission
in Somalia. In March of 2007, Ugandan military officials landed
in Somalia. Essentially, what this has done is that the more overt
Ethiopian occupation of Somalia has been replaced with a UN-mandated
African Union occupation of the country, in which Ugandan troops
make up the majority. Since Uganda is a proxy military state for
the US in the region, the more overt US supported Ethiopian troops
have been replaced by a more covert US-supported Ugandan contingent.
Africom
In 2007, Newsweek
reported that, “America is quietly expanding its fight against terror
on the African front. Two years ago the United States set up the
Trans-Sahara Counterterrorism Partnership with nine countries in
central and western Africa. There is no permanent presence, but
the hope is to generate support and suppress radicalism by both
sharing U.S. weapons and tactics with friendly regimes and winning
friends through a vast humanitarian program assembled by USAID,
including well building and vocational training.” The Pentagon announced
the formation of a new military strategic command called “Africom”
(Africa Command), which “will integrate existing diplomatic, economic
and humanitarian programs into a single strategic vision for Africa,
bring more attention to long-ignored American intelligence-gathering
and energy concerns on the continent, and elevate African interests
to the same level of importance as those of Asia and the Middle
East.”
The article
gave brief mention to critics, saying that, “Not surprisingly, the
establishment of a major American base in Africa is inspiring new
criticism from European and African critics of U.S. imperial overreach.”
Some claim it represents a “militarization of U.S. Africa policy,”
which is not a stretch of imaginations, as the article pointed out,
“the United States has identified the Sahel, a region stretching
west from Eritrea across the broadest part of Africa, as the next
critical zone in the War on Terror and started working with repressive
governments in Chad and Algeria, among others, to further American
interests there.”
As Newsweek
further reported:
The
problem is that, increasingly, African leaders appear not to want
Africom. They see it as the next phase of the War on Terror—a way
to pursue jihadists inside Africa's weak or failed states, which
many U.S. officials have described as breeding grounds for terror.
They worry that the flow of arms will overwhelm the flow of aid,
and that U.S. counterterrorism will further destabilize a region
already prone to civil wars.[130]
Africom is
the new American military command designed to control Africa, which
currently sits as an important neo-colonial battleground between
the US and China. Africa still remains a major front in the imperialist
adventures of the dominant powers of the New World Order. Its rich
wealth in resources makes it an important strategic location for
the world powers to seek hegemony over.
Conclusion
The continuation
of the Cold War stances of the West versus the East remain and are
exacerbated, in what can be referred to as a “New Cold War.” At
the same time, global regional conflicts continue to be waged and
expanded, be it in the Middle East, Central Africa or Central Asia,
with coups and regime change being furthered in Eastern Europe,
South America and across the globe. However, these two major global
issues: regional wars and conflict and the New Cold War, are not
separate, but inherently linked. An exacerbation of conflict, in
any and all regions, will only serve to strengthen the political-strategic
conflict between the US-NATO alliance and the Russia-China alliance.
All that is
required for a new major world war is just one spark: whether it
comes in the form of a war between Pakistan and India, or a military
strike on Iran, in which case China and Russia would not sit idly
by as they did with Iraq. A strike on Iran, particularly with nuclear
missiles, as is proposed, would result in World War III. So why
does strategy on the part of the US and NATO continue to push in
this direction?
As George Orwell
once wrote:
The
war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical
society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance.
This new version is the past and no different past can ever have
existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society
on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group
against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over
either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society
intact.
A New World
War would be a global war waged by a global ruling class against
the citizens of the world, with the aim of maintaining and reshaping
hierarchical society to serve their own interests. It would indeed
symbolize a New World War for a New World Order. In a globalized
world, all conflict has global implications; the task at hand is
whether the people can realize that war is not waged against a “distant”
or “foreign” enemy, but against all people of the world.
Herman Goering,
Hitler’s second in command, explained the concept of war when he
was standing trial at the Nuremberg Trials for war crimes, when
he stated, “Why, of course, the people don’t want war,” and that,
“Naturally, the common people don’t want war; neither in Russia
nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That
is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country
who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag
the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship
or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship.” When Goering was corrected
that in a democracy, “the people have some say in the matter through
their elected representatives,” Goering responded:
Oh,
that is all well and good, but, voice or no voice, the people can
always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All
you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce
the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to
danger. It works the same way in any country.[131]
Endnotes
[1] Ian Traynor,
Russia edgy at spread of US bases in its backyard. The Guardian:
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[2] Michael
Mainville, U.S. bases overseas show new strategy. Post Gazette:
July 26, 2004: http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/04208/351890.stm
[3] BBC, US
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[4] Adrian
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[5] Joby Warrick
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[6] MARK MAZZETTI,
U.S. Says Iran Ended Atomic Arms Work. The New York Times: December
3, 2007: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/03/world/middleeast/03cnd-iran.html
[7] ROBERT
BURNS, U.S. Might Negotiate on Missile Defense. The Washington Post:
April 24, 2007: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/24/AR2007042400871.html
[8] Luke Harding,
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[9] EDWARD
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[10] AP, Russia
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[11] THOM SHANKER
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[12] Russia
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[13] Harry
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[15] Dmitry
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[16] AP, Medvedev
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[17] David
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[18] Op. Ed,
Iran and China to strengthen cooperation. Press TV: July 27, 2008:
http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=64942§ionid=3510303
[19] Xinhua,
Iran warns any attack would start world war. China Daily: August
31, 2008: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2008-08/31/content_6984250.htm
[20] Xinhua,
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[21] Tony Halpin,
Russia ratchets up US tensions with arms sales to Iran and Venezuela.
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[22] James
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[35] BBC, Heavy
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[36] Michel
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[39] BBC, US
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[40] Tim Dyhouse,
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[41] NewsMax.com
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[42] Reuters,
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US start military exercises despite tensions with Russia. CNews:
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US Military Advisers In Georgia Ahead Of Conflict. Morningstar:
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[48] DEBKAfile,
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This originally
appeared on Global Research.
December
19, 2009
Andrew Gavin
Marshall is a Research Associate with the Centre for Research on
Globalization (CRG). He is currently studying Political Economy
and History at Simon Fraser University.
Copyright ©
Andrew Gavin Marshall, Global Research, 2009
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