Just before
departing for her dramatic return to Pakistan after years of
self-imposed exile, former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto told
me of her joy at going home, and plans to rebuild democratic
government in her nation.
Tragically,
Benazir’s triumphant homecoming turned into a bloodbath as an
attempt to assassinate her in Karachi left nearly 150 dead and
hundreds wounded. While the Western media blamed Islamic radicals,
Ms. Bhutto was quick to accuse unnamed elements within the armed
forces and security establishment. She was, in effect, blaming
Gen. Musharraf, the man with whom she is now expected to cooperate
under a US-brokered power-sharing deal.
Meanwhile,
Washington, and even the First Lady Laura Bush, have been blasting
Burma’s military junta for brutal repression. At the same time,
Pakistan’s US-backed military junta, which receive $1 billion
monthly in covert US payments, is waging war against its own
restive people, thousands of whom have been killed by the armed
forces. According to the Bush Administration’s thinking, shooting
and beating rebellious Buddhist monks is evil; shooting and
beating rebellious Muslim religious leaders is "anti-terrorism."
I wished
Benazir a bon voyage just before she left Dubai for her historic
return home, and cautioned her that my extensive reader mail
from Pakistan was running very much against her because of the
deal she had made with military ruler Gen. Pervez Musharraf
to allow her return. I reminded her of the old saying, "he
who sups with the Devil had better use a very long spoon."
The widespread
view among Pakistanis is that Benazir’s return and impending
political power-sharing with Musharraf was engineered by Washington
to add a veneer of legitimacy of democracy to his discredited
military regime. Unless Bhutto can quickly and decisively distance
herself from Musharraf and his Bush Administration sponsors,
and show she is really in charge as prime minister, she and
her cause may be gravely tarnished.
The US-arranged
back-room deal between Bhutto and Musharraf also flies in the
face of her claims to be restoring democracy to troubled Pakistan.
He is dropping criminal charges for corruption against her –
which the general insists are legitimate and she denies – in
exchange for her cooperation with his military regime. There
is no disguising that this is a tawdry deal worked out with
two of Washington’s staunchest Pakistani supporters.
As reported
in my recent columns, the US has filled all senior positions
in Pakistan’s powerful military and intelligence service, ISI,
with pro-American generals approved by the Pentagon and CIA.
Even if Musharraf is ousted or blown up, the US believes it
can retain firm control over Pakistan and use its armed forces
to wage war there and in Afghanistan against nationalist and
Islamist forces battling Western influence.
The military
rules Pakistan. Musharraf and his American patrons run Pakistan’s
military. So what is left for future prime minister Bhutto?
If Pakistanis
conclude she is being cynically used, as it now appears, her
political career could founder. If she can somehow push Musharraf
and his generals back to their barracks, she will emerge triumphant.
One suspects that Bhutto is hoping that Washington will abandon
the highly unpopular Musharraf, ease him out of power, and make
her the sole leader of Pakistan – with the US-dominated armed
forces continuing to hold the real power behind the scenes.
Given the
dizzying current political confusion between Musharraf, Bhutto,
the Supreme Court, and exiled former PM Nawaz Sharif, it’s impossible
to predict what will happen next. But one thing is certain:
recent polls show a majority of Pakistanis believe America under
President George Bush has launched a war against Islam, and
that Musharraf is America’s agent in Islamabad. These disturbing
beliefs could easily lead to increasing violence, even full-scale
civil war.
Even
if Musharraf and Bhutto eventually agree on some form of power-sharing,
they will find themselves riding a tiger. America’s 2001 invasion
and subsequent occupation of Afghanistan, and Washington’s ongoing
efforts to control Pakistan’s government, have ignited a spreading
regional insurrection against western influence.
If the
simmering civil war in nuclear-armed Pakistan blows into a wider
conflict, the result will be an exceptionally dangerous world
crisis in which nuclear-armed India could quickly become involved.
The growing threat of a US attack on Iran will only deepen and
spread the danger. An explosion in Pakistan would also isolate
US and NATO forces in Afghanistan.
Pakistan’s
most important national institution, the armed forces, has failed
its duty to the nation. Instead of allowing itself to be rented
like the sepoys in the mercenary armies of Britain’s 19th-century
Imperial Indian Raj to wage war on its own people, Pakistan’s
military should be ensuring its commanders serve the interest
of the nation, rather than foreign powers. $1 billion a month
rents a lot of cooperation, it is true. But Pakistan’s once
proud soldiers have sold their honor cheap.