The noted
British parliamentarian Enoch Powell famously observed, “all
political careers end in failure.” Never has Powell’s grim maxim
been more poignantly demonstrated than in Tony Blair’s announcement
last week that he will resign at the end of June as Britain’s
prime minister.
Blair’s
decade in office was marked by many successes and often demonstrated
capable political stewardship. But, in the end, his meteoric
political career has ended in defeat and scorn. Call it Saddam’s
curse.
The silver-tongued
Blair transformed the demoralized, Marxist-dominated Labor movement
he inherited into a forward-thinking, business-friendly, centrist
party. Blair purged Labor of lingering Marxist-Socialist influences
and replaced the sullen old guard with young technocrats and
political moderates. He was fortunate to arrive on the scene
when the Conservative Party had run out of steam, was steeped
in scandal, and had lost public support.
Blair’s
“New Labor” benefited from a powerful economic upswing generated
by the highly successful reforms initiated by former Conservative
prime minister, Margaret Thatcher. Blair took advantage of this
windfall, transforming Britain into one of Europe’s most dynamic
and envied economies. Equally important, Blair deserves credit,
as he put it, for making Britain “at ease with globalization”
and “comfortable in the 21st Century.”
In the
process, Blair raised Britain’s living standards and employment,
making it a magnet for massive foreign investment and entrepreneurial
Europeans. But there was a heavy price: the cost of living skyrocketed
and income disparity between Britain’s booming south and its
left-behind north grew wider. London became one of the world’s
leading tax shelters, with preposterously inflated land values
and Monaco-like rents to match.
Many admiring
North Americans wished their own inarticulate leader possessed
even a dash of Blair’s charisma, earnestness, and eloquence.
Many Britons, however, accused Blair of being mostly political
spin.
Had Tony
Blair quit office on 10 September 2001, he would today be remembered
and feted as one of Britain’s finer modern prime ministers.
But then came Blair’s undoing, his fatal attraction to President
George Bush’s war policies.
Historians
will endlessly debate what impelled the sensible, intelligent
Blair to enlist as first mate on Bush’s political Titanic. Blair
had none of the arrogance and ignorance that led Bush and his
Conservative Republicans into war. Unlike Americans, who were
gravely misled about the Mideast by their media and religious
special interest groups, the worldly British knew precisely
what was going on.
Yet Blair
ended up as a leading promoter of the Bush Administration’s
grotesque lies about Iraq. He facilitated the Bush/Cheney war
by providing Washington with credibility, diplomatic cover,
and the pretense of a “coalition.”
Britain,
as America’s premier ally, naturally felt pressure to join the
war. Blair wanted Britain to get a share of the swag from Bush’s
occupation of oil-rich Iraq.
But a true
friend warns when you are about to drive over a cliff. Blair
did not. Instead, he encouraged Bush and Cheney’s worst crusading
instincts, validated their misconceptions and prejudices, and
threw British troops into failed neo-colonial wars in Iraq and
Afghanistan.
By joining
these wars, Blair enflamed the Muslim World against Britain
and aroused violent reactions among a tiny minority of Britain’s
1.6 million Muslim citizens. In response, Blair curtailed sacrosanct
British civil liberties and brought its esteemed legal system
into question.
Blair claimed
he had joined Bush’s wars in order to exert restraining influence
over US policy. But, in the end, Blair had almost no influence
over the Bush Administration’s policies. He was cruelly derided
everywhere as America’s “poodle” and a sort of Jeeves the British
butler in the imperial White House. Blair’s obsequious pandering
to the White House shamed and annoyed the proud British.
Blair’s
formerly brilliant political reputation was destroyed by Iraq.
His integrity and honesty were ruined by his steady litany of
lies over Iraq and Afghanistan. Admiration for Blair turned
to disgust.
A majority
of Britons opposed the Iraq war and resented being seen as dutiful
spear-carriers for America’s nuclear knights. As Labor’s popularity
plummeted, a party rebellion finally forced Blair to announce
he would resign and make way for Chancellor of the Exchequer,
Gordon Brown.
The
Iraq debacle, and, to a lesser degree, Afghanistan, have become
a curse for all politicians involved. Iraq is destroying Bush,
Cheney and the Republican Party. It has ruined Blair, and may
undo two other Bush protégés, Australia’s increasingly unpopular
PM John Howard, and Canada’s conservative prime minister, Stephen
Harper who, for inexplicable reasons, chose to emulate and eagerly
support one of the world’s most unpopular leaders.
Blair
could have backed away from the Iraq disaster, but refused to
abandon ship and kept insisting to the bitter end his faith-based
policies were still right. This master of oratory could not,
it seems, summon up the simple phrase, “I was wrong.”
One must
feel a certain sympathy for Tony Blair’s Icarus-like fall to
earth. But his sorry end was of his own doing, and well deserved.
Tony Blair met his Waterloo in Iraq. He will not be the last.