An empire
built on debt, is an empire built on sand.
The US
government now owes a staggering $10 trillion. American consumers
owe $14 trillion. Welcome to the United States of debt. Twenty-four
trillion dollars is a gargantuan sum, even for the mighty US
economy. It is now clear that America’s once lauded "prosperity"
was built on runaway debt rather than productivity or innovation.
At the
end of the 19th Century, the dying, debt-ridden Ottoman
Empire became known as "the sick man of Europe." Under
the Bush administration, the United States has become the Sick
Man of North America.
Like the
British Empire after 1945, the United States has gone bankrupt
thanks to a national orgy of borrowing, the replacement of manufacturing
by financial manipulation, two ruinous foreign wars, and a government
whose stunning incompetence and ignorance was exceeded only
by its reckless imperial arrogance.
The financial
panic that has gripped the globe, and the ignominious collapse
of once mighty Wall Street, proved the American colossus had
feet of clay. Washington’s furious printing of untold billions
of new dollars to prop up its sinking economy, finance this
year’s staggering $1 trillion deficit, and pay gargantuan foreign
debts looks very likely in the long term to unleash a storm
of dangerous inflation that will infect the world’s financial
system.
Short-term
the current financial crisis will have a deflationary effect,
but in years to come the full effects of devalued US currency
must bring serious inflation.
Recall
the great economist John Maynard Keynes warned that the quickest
way to destroy a nation was by wrecking its currency through
inflation.
The world
balance of power is already shifting. For example, Pakistan’s
new president, Asif Zardari, just went cap in hand to China,
seeking $4–6 billion in emergency loans. Pakistan is on the
verge of bankruptcy and may shortly default on its debt, risking
social chaos.
But Pakistan’s
patron, the United States, which has been paying that nation’s
politicians and army $1.2 billion per annum to support the occupation
of Afghanistan, has no cash to spare for Pakistan. So Pakistan
is turning to China, which has $19 trillion in foreign exchange
reserves – the world’s largest. Beijing cautiously responded
it would help old ally Islamabad "within our capabilities."
The US-led
occupation of Afghanistan is likely to be adversely affected
by Washington’s new pauper status just at a time when the war
is going very badly for the American-led occupation.
Bankrupt
people, companies, and nations have to sell assets to meet their
debt obligations. China and Japan alone hold over $1.5 trillion
of US government securities in the form of US Treasury notes
and bonds (which are really IOU’s).
Nervous
Chinese and Japanese central bankers now want real assets rather
than more paper. So there is talk of America’s Asian creditors
demanding their IOU’s be converted into shares in US corporations
and property.
Sovereign
wealth funds from the Arab oil states and Singapore may soon
demand chunks of premier US corporations and property. This
is ironical, given all the previous hue and cry in the US about
"Arabs" having too much influence due to oil sales.
In the
19th century, European imperial powers used to force
loans on China, Egypt, the Gulf, Iran, and Latin America. When
the locals could not pay off these debts, parts of their territory
was seized. Russia was forced to sell Alaska to the US for next
to nothing when it could not repay its debts.
China’s
coast was carved up by the British, French, Germans, Russians,
Americans and Japanese. These imperial foreclosures created
the trading "concessions" of Hong Kong, Shanghai,
Tsingtao, Tianjin, and Port Arthur.
Now, it’s
payback time for China. How ironic that the Chinese Communists
have ended up with a so-far sound financial system while the
Wall Street bandit capitalists have gone bust and are groveling
for foreign loans.
To
help pay its monster debts, I suggest Washington consider selling
Louisiana back to France. Canada, whose banking system remains
solid, ought to pick up Florida for a song. Switzerland would
do well to spend some if its gold and buy Vermont and New Hampshire.
Mexico
will want to buy Texas, Arizona and New Mexico. Russia, of course,
will buy back Alaska and Washington State. China will purchase
California. San Francisco will become "New Shanghai"
and Los Angeles, "New Beijing."
Japan will
buy up Oregon, Montana, and Hawaii. Holland will repossess New
York State, and Germany will buy Pennsylvania and Minnesota.
Just kidding,
of course, but this joshing shows how bad things have become
for poor old Uncle Sam.
Pakistan’s
move into China’s financial embrace is a harbinger of things
to come. Unless the US quickly repairs its economy, its world
power could slip away as quickly as postwar Britain’s, leaving
China, Japan, Russia, the EU, the Arab oil states, and India
as the world’s new superpowers.
This may
not be so awful. All power, as Briton’s Lord Acton famously
said, corrupts; and absolute power corrupts absolutely. As the
world’s sole superpower, the US under the Bush administration
became totally corrupted by imperial hubris, financial fraud,
lust for resources, and greed.
A world
with more balanced, diffused power may be preferable. But such
profound historical change is always dangerous and unpredictable.
Right now, China looks like top dog. Mao must be smiling.
Who would
have ever imagined the "godless Red Chinese hordes"
would end up propping up America’s sleazy economy?