The current
Tibetan rebellion against Chinese rule has captured world attention
and sympathy. Protests from Katmandu to New York have ensured
it stays on TV screens almost everywhere – except China, of
course.
China’s
government, which has been preparing a massive, carefully orchestrated
Olympic summer extravaganza in Beijing, has been deeply embarrassed
and lost a great deal of face. The latest Tibetan "intifada"
erupted just after China’s party congress was celebrating the
nation’s economic upsurge and orderly development.
Who is
right about Tibet? Beijing claims Tibet has always been and
remains an integral part of China. The Dalai Lama, insists Beijing,
is a dangerous "splittist" fomenting rebellion with
Western help. Chinese civilians have been attacked by Tibetan
mobs, says Beijing.
The Dalai
Lama, his followers, and international supporters assert China
is conducting "cultural genocide" in Tibet by bringing
in settlers and drowning its ancient Buddhist traditions in
a flood of Han Chinese newcomers.
Is Tibet
historically part of China, as Beijing claims? Yes and no. The
thirteenth century Mongol emperors adopted Tibetan Buddhism
as their new state religion and hailed the Dalai Lama as their
"teacher" and spiritual guide. When the Ming Dynasty
took power in China around 1370, it adopted and continued this
"priest-ruler" relationship.
Tibet’s
Buddhist theocracy recognized the ultimate political mastery
of China’s emperor, while he recognized the spiritual primacy
of the Dalai Lama in Lhasa and Tibet’s total autonomy. Lhasa
became the Vatican for the Mongol Empire and China’s Ming Empire.
In 1913,
while China was in chaos, Tibet, backed by the British Empire,
declared independence. War-torn China had no chance to reassert
its claim to Tibet until the end of the civil war in May, 1950.
Four months later, China’s People’s Army invaded Tibet and declared
it "reunited" to China. Many Tibetans, particularly
the warlike Champa, resisted furiously. A year earlier, Chinese
troops had invaded and crushed the independent, four-year old
Muslim Republic of East Turkistan – today called Xinjiang –
whose Turkic-Mongol Uighurs, long fought Chinese rule and Han
Chinese immigration.
The world
laments for the Tibetan cause, but utterly ignores the unfashionable
cause of Tibet’s northern neighbors, the Uighurs. After 2001,
the Bush Administration even branded Muslim Uighur resistance
movements "terrorists."
How many
Tibetans are there? China has obscured census figures. When
I met with the Dalai Lama, who inspired my book, "War at
the Top of the World" – which is in part about Tibet –
he told me there were over seven million Tibetans. About three
million are in Tibet proper, and the rest in the neighboring
Chinese provinces of Sichuan, Gansu and Qinghai, to which protests
have spread. The last two Chinese provinces used to form part
of historical Tibet.
A primary
cause of the Tibetan "intifada" is continuing settlement
by Han Chinese. After what I call "ethnic inundation,"
ethnic Chinese settlers now outnumber Tibetans. The same process
of inundation occurred in Inner Mongolia, whose people are ethnically
close to Tibetans.
But we
should be aware that China has also uplifted Tibet from frightful
poverty and medieval superstition, brought education, hospitals,
electricity, roads, and ended widespread serfdom. Last year,
a remarkable new high altitude rail line linked Lhasa to Beijing.
When I
last visited Tibet in 1993, people came up and begged me with
tears in their eyes for a photo of their beloved exiled Dalai
Lama. I saw anti-Chinese demonstrations in Lhasa, and regiments
of Chinese paramilitary police and soldiers. Resistance has
simmered for decades. Now, the pot has boiled over.
So far,
China, keenly aware of the upcoming Olympics and its world image,
has been fairly restrained in suppressing the uprising. As of
this writing, the uprising appears to be abating. But if it
flares anew and gets out of hand, China will use much more force.
Another
danger: China’s giant rival, India, would dearly like to drive
China from the strategic Tibetan Plateau, which looms over northern
India. China has built a score of air and missile bases in Tibet
that deeply alarm India. Growing unrest could tempt India to
back Tibetan resistance. In the late 1940’s, India also had
its eye on Tibet but lacked the military power to take action.
But it seems likely that had not China annexed Tibet, it would
have become an Indian protectorate, like those other forgotten
Himalayan kingdoms, Bhutan, Sikkim and Ladakh (known as "little
Tibet").
Any Indian
or American move to destabilize Chinese rule over Tibet would
be met with a fierce response from Beijing, which considers
the Tibetan plateau its most militarily sensitive region after
the coastal stretch of territory opposite Taiwan and the Beijing
military region.
So
what can the world do? Some EU members urge boycotting the Olympic
opening ceremonies. Similar calls are coming from North America.
Others demand outright trade sanctions.
Such overt
action won’t work. China will never voluntarily relinquish control
of Tibet. No one is going to tell China what to do. A face-saving
compromise needs to be found for this confrontation.
The
best solution is the one proposed by the Dalai Lama: Beijing
restores the old "priest-ruler" relationship. Tibet
recognizes China’s political mastery and military presence,
China accepts Tibet’s genuine internal autonomy, ceases Han
immigration, and allows the Dalai Lama to return.
As globalization
plays an ever larger role in China’s economy, its positive image
abroad is extremely important. Stomping on Tibet is counterproductive.
Beijing should respond with patience, and accord the Dalai Lama,
a fierce pacifist and great soul, the same reverence and respect
as did the Mongol and Ming emperors.