The
New York Times Company’s Self-Inflicted Insolvency
by
Eric Englund
by Eric Englund
The New
York Times Company is committed to the creation of long-term shareholder
value through investment and constancy of purpose.
~ Investor Relations
The New York
Times Company is in deep financial trouble. For fiscal-year 2008,
The New York Times announced,
on January 28, 2009, that it had generated a net loss of nearly
$58 million. Within weeks, on February 19, 2009, the Times’ board
of directors announced
it was outright suspending the quarterly dividend. Accordingly,
this once-mighty company’s stock is now trading at under $4 per
share on the New York Stock Exchange. Conventional wisdom has it
that the creative destruction of the marketplace is rendering print
media into the dustbin of history. This does not explain, however,
The New York Times’ financial woes; as it is much more
than just a print media company. The truth of the matter is The
New York Times sits on the brink of bankruptcy due to incompetent
and destructive financial management which has left its balance
sheet in tatters.
When a publicly
traded company announces that it had a losing year, it is typically
not viewed as good news. Yet, The New York Times’ net loss for fiscal-year
2008 is an anomaly. Since fiscal-year 2000, the Times has operated
profitably for seven of the past nine years. In fact, since 2000,
this company’s cumulative net profit has amounted to $1,598,062,000
(which averages out, over a nine-year period, to an annual net profit
of approximately $177.6 million). From an operations standpoint,
this is a respectable performance.
So how can
such a profitable company end up becoming insolvent? Before answering
this question, let’s look at the latest available financial statement
for the New York Times Company – as found in the September 28, 2008
third-quarter 10-Q.
The following points convey my analysis of The New York Times Company’s
balance sheet and it is a frightening sight indeed – please note
that I adhere to a conservative method of financial analysis which
dictates that intangible assets are always fully discounted:
- On an as-given
basis, The New York Times’ working capital position stood at negative
$371,828,000. When fully discounting current deferred tax
assets of $80,617,000, the working capital position drops to negative
$452,445,000.
- As presented
in the balance sheet, this company’s net worth stood at $797,072,000.
Upon fully discounting all intangible assets, including goodwill
and deferred tax assets, I derived an allowable net worth of negative
$171,419,000.
- Cash stood
at $45,848,000. This is a paltry cash position for a company that
consistently generates over $3 billion in annual revenues.
- The Times
has tapped into its $800,000,000 revolving credit facilities to
the tune of $397,850,000.
When a company
has a negative working capital position, a negative tangible net
worth, a low cash position, and heavy short-term bank borrowings,
it is reasonable to conclude such a company is insolvent.
To be sure,
it is quite the conundrum as to how a consistently profitable company,
during this decade, can end up with such an emaciated balance sheet.
The mystery disappears altogether once you look at The New York
Times Company’s reckless dividend and stock buyback programs. Since
2000, the Times has repurchased $1,951,727,000 worth of its common
stock. Always and everywhere, stock buybacks result in a depletion
of cash, working capital, and net worth (please see two other articles,
here
and here,
in which I express my absolute distaste for stock buybacks). As
for dividends, since 2000, The New York Times has paid out $827,874,000
in dividends. Fundamentally, I have no problem with a company paying
out dividends. When a company, on the other hand, is aggressively
buying back its own stock, it strikes me as irresponsible balance
sheet management to further deplete cash, working capital, and equity
by also paying out a dividend. It appears, ultimately, that The
New York Times’ executive management was attempting to manage its
stock price. With its common stock presently hovering at $4 per
share, management has failed miserably here. Stock-price management,
clearly, can be deadly to a company’s financial health.
So let’s do
some simple math. Since 2000, The New York Times Company has generated
a respectable cumulative net income of $1,598,062,000. Yet management,
over the same period, has paid out $2,779,601,000 for stock buybacks
and dividends. This means, during the present decade, stock buybacks
and dividends have exceeded cumulative net income by an astonishing
$1,181,539,000. Is it any wonder The New York Times’ balance sheet
is such a train-wreck? Operationally, this company has done well
during the past nine years. Conversely, the company’s balance sheet
has been hideously mismanaged by an incompetent executive management
team – as supervised by a grossly negligent board of directors.
The
New York Times, most certainly, is encountering a difficult operating
environment. The internet has posed a serious challenge to companies
involved in print media. Advertising revenues, moreover, are dropping
dramatically due to the current economic depression. Nonetheless,
had executive management been prudent and conservative with respect
to balance sheet management, the Times would have had a war chest
full of cash, strong working capital, and strong equity; thus, allowing
it the financial flexibility to survive these very challenging times.
As things stand today, in my opinion, the Times’ strategic alternatives
are probably limited to either seeking an acquirer or reorganizing
under Chapter 11 Bankruptcy.
In closing,
it is appropriate to bring The New York Times’ op-ed columnist,
Maureen Dowd, into the picture. She recently savaged executives
from A.I.G., Bank of America, Citigroup, Merrill Lynch and the U.S.
automakers; deeming them to be incompetent, self-serving charlatans.
In this January 28, 2009 op-ed piece titled Wall
Street’s Socialist Jet-Setters, she calls these executives
"boobs," "dumb," "obtuse," and "…careless
ghouls who murdered the economy." So Ms. Dowd, what do you
think of the executives who "murdered" The New York Times
Company’s balance sheet? What names would you like to call them?
Shall we bring
on the shackles? Shall we bring on the show trials?
February
25, 2009
Eric
Englund [send him mail], who
has an MBA from Boise State University, lives in the state of Oregon.
He is the publisher of The
Hyperinflation Survival Guide by Dr. Gerald Swanson. You
are invited to visit his website.
Copyright
© 2009 Eric Englund
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