Why Health Insurance?
by Robert Blumen
by Robert Blum
Previously
by Robert Blumen: Is
Gold Money?
"It can
happen to anyone," Obama said in his weekly address. "In the United
States of America, no one should have to worry that they'll go without
health insurance – not for one year, not for one month, not for
one day. And once I sign my health reform plan into law – they won't."
–
CNNMoney.com
According to
President Obama, a health insurance crisis is upon us. He
states in the New York Times that there are 46 million
Americans who don’t have insurance, in some cases for as much as
one day.
This exemplifies
how the current debate about health care has turned into a debate
about the insurance which will pay for the care, not on how people
will obtain the care itself. Even on Mises.org,
Dr. Robert Murphy devotes
a considerable portion of his analysis to the problems with insurance.
But that’s not the end of it. It is usually assumed without question
that a fourth party (either the employer or government) will pay
for the insurance premiums.
The most common
ways that we pay for goods and services are cash out of current
income, obtaining credit, or paying out of saved cash reserves.
There are two parties in the transaction: the buyer and the seller.
It makes sense for most of us to use insurance in a small number
of purchases. The more common examples for individual and families
are: residential property destruction, auto-related (liability for
injury; theft), and accidental death or permanent disability.
But when it
comes to health care, why is most of the discussion about ways to
reform the current four-party system, not about reducing the number
of parties involved from four to three or even two? Why is a cash-payment
system direct from the patient to the provider not featured in most
of the prominent reform plans?
I believe that
the word insurance has come to mean the same thing as health
care in the minds of most Americans. In the current climate
of opinion, it goes without saying that a third party (know as an
insurance company, but not really an insurer in the strict sense)
should pay most health care expenses. The idea of cash payment –
the way we pay for most services – is inconceivable. While the pathologies
of the current health care system and possibilities for reform are
a huge topic, I will attempt to address only a small corner of the
issue: the preoccupation with three- and four-party payment systems.
First I will
explain what insurance is, what it is not, why the insurance model
only works for some purchases but not for others, and why most existing
insurance plans are not really insurance.
Let's look
at the definition
of insurance:
Insurance,
in law and economics, is a form of risk management primarily used
to hedge against the risk of a contingent loss. Insurance is defined
as the equitable transfer of the risk of a loss, from one entity
to another, in exchange for a premium, and can be thought of as
a guaranteed and known small loss to prevent a large, possibly
devastating loss.
Only some future
events are insurable. Insurable risks share certain characteristics:
the risk of a single loss is small, the insured cannot cause the
insurable event to occur, the magnitude of a potential loss would
be too great for the insured to afford, and when the risk is spread
over a large number of similar cases, the premium for each insured
is affordable.
For market
conditions to make insurance a sensible model, a risk must meet
all of these characteristics. It would not make sense to obtain
insurance against a certain expense – even it were possible – because
the premium paid to the insurer would be equal, or greater than,
the expense itself. Your house burning down is an insurable risk,
while your car running out of gas or your pantry running out of
grocery supplies are not.
Let's segment
health care expenses into insurable and non-insurable categories:
|
predictable
care
|
annual
physicals, teeth cleaning, a chronic but manageable condition,
e.g. a medication or regular chiropractor visits, planned
events such as giving birth
|
Not insurable
|
|
unpredictable
non-serious care
|
minor
injury, tooth cavity, a cut
|
Not worth
the overhead to insure.
|
|
unpredictable
but serious health emergencies
|
getting
hit by a car, a life-threatening illness
|
Insurable
|
The first two
of these categories are clearly not insurable because the risk of
an event is close to 100%. In the second case, the cost does not
warrant obtaining insurance. The third category is the best suited
for the insurance model, presuming that the cost of obtaining care
for an accident or illness is necessarily too great for an individual
to afford.
One of the
many bad side effects of the current system is that the meaning
of the word insurance has become corrupted in public discourse.
The way that the word is used in the current debate means, approximately,
"a third-party payer who will provide unlimited health care at minimal
or no cost to the patient." I frequently hear people ask, "how can
someone with an illness obtain insurance?" What the sick person
needs is care, not (necessarily) insurance. In any case it would
not make sense for an insurer to provide a policy to someone who
is already sick.
When I blogged
about this recently, I received several emails with questions
along the lines of, "I have medical expenses that I cannot
afford, therefore I need insurance." But insurance as such
can only replace large unpredictable risks with small but known
payments by distributing the small risk over a large pool of insured.
Insurance cannot solve the problem of funding all routine or regular
care because distributing a fixed and even expense does not reduce
the cost – it probably increases the cost. A policy that covered
predictable and recurring care would have to charge at least as
much as the care itself, and then some to account for the overhead
of claims processing. The insurance company must prevent fraud and
ensure that the care they are paying for is necessary. This imposes
additional monitoring costs. For the people who emailed me, a policy
would only reduce costs if someone else paid the premium.
It is not necessarily the case that costs of care under a cash
payment system would be the same as they are now. Under a cash payment
system prices would have to be lower, for several reasons: people
would become price-sensitive in their consumption decisions; third
party monitoring costs would be eliminated in most cases; and providers
would have to compete on the basis of price.
See this
discussion of health care in India for some insight into how
a cash paying system might function.
While the current
four-party system is not the only reason that costs are as high
as they are, it is one reason. So we are stuck in a loop where costs
are high because we have insurance but we must have insurance because
costs are high. For more information about the history of the four-party
system, I recommend the excellent paper The
Modern Health Care Maze: Development and Effects of the Four-Party
System by Kroncke and White.
Also, most
people do not perceive the costs of the current system accurately.
I believe that employer-provided plans are partly at fault for this.
Because the plans are nominally paid for by the employer, they create
an illusion that care is provided at no cost to the insured. Most
employed workers do not understand that they pay for their health
plan through reduced wages. The tax system is also partially
responsible for this system because the employer's expense is tax
deductible, but the employee’s purchase of a similar plan out of
their after-tax income is not.
People are
for the most part unaware how much lower their wages are due to
employer-provided plans. If your employer is providing a family
plan that costs several hundred dollars per month, this is costing
you thousands of dollars annually in lower wages. Having your employer
purchase a policy on your behalf also creates the well-known issue
of lack of portability when you change jobs. I wonder how many people
do not change to a better-paying or otherwise more attractive job
due to the portability issue.
Without benefits,
the present employer costs would have to go back into wages. In
my experience trying to explain this point, it is an unfamiliar
concept and many people are skeptical. The most common response
I get is that employers have the ability to simply lower wages by
cutting benefits without increasing the cash component of wages,
as if the level of wages is totally discretionary on the part of
the employer. Economic reasoning is required to understand that
the total wage consists of cash payments paid directly to the worker
plus expenses incurred on the worker’s behalf by the employer. The
opportunity cost of providing employee benefits is less money available
for the payment of wages. (If you are not familiar with this idea,
see a text on the marginal product theory of wages, for example,
Man Economy
and State, Chapter 7).
Another cost
of the three- and four-party system is the needs and requirements
of intermediaries who come in between the consumer and the provider.
The provision of care now must satisfy not only (or maybe not at
all) the consumer, but the insurer, the employer, and actual or
potential attorneys and regulators. Another advantage of a cash
payment system would be the elimination of these intermediaries.
The
present debate about health care reform must not remain a debate
about insurance reform. We should be talking about what is the best
system for everyone to obtain care at a reasonable price. Insurance
plans with high deductibles and low premiums might be part of the
solution. But the word insurance should not be used to mean
the same thing as care itself.
All of the
energy that is presently expended arguing about insurance has crowded
out the more fruitful discussion of alternative payment models,
including a cash payment system directly from consumer to provider.
Contrary to Obama’s statement, people would not worry so much about
health insurance if health care itself were a normal good that they
could afford out of current income.
October
27, 2009
Robert
Blumen [send him mail]
is an independent software developer based in San Francisco.
Copyright
© 2009 by LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in
part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
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