The search
engine, Google, has been both praised and criticized in recent
days for its responses to statist efforts to control this system
of open communication. On the one hand, when other search engines
quickly acceded to Justice Department demands to turn over information
on their customers, Google was widely commended for refusing to
do so. Google has also been in the forefront of resistance to
efforts by the European Union to regulate politically incorrect
Internet content. At the same time, however, Google was criticized
when it announced that, as a condition to being allowed to operate
in China, it had agreed with the Chinese government to remove
politically undesirable information from its system in that country.
I must admit
to initially being disappointed with Google’s decision concerning
China. I had the same kind of empty feeling as I do when a decent
person I know decides to go into politics. If this marvelous search
engine can make concessions to the Chinese government as a condition
for doing business, what precedents might this forebode for Google’s
relations with other governments that want to co-opt this system
to control information for political ends? Such a future would
be wholly contrary to what Google and the Internet are about.
The image of Galileo forced to recant his views in order to
avoid greater punishment from a theocratic state – immediately
came to mind, where it lingers still.
But in reconsidering
Google’s decision, I see potential benefits to the cause of liberty
that go far beyond the superficial interest in making money. This
optimism arises from the uncertainties that lie hidden in complex
systems. The study of chaos informs us that our inability to identify
and measure the seemingly endless factors at work within a complex
world, makes outcomes increasingly unpredictable with the passage
of time.
There are
few matters more complex and unpredictable than the interconnected
interplay of information. Even within the relatively simple organization
of a brainstorming group, one can experience how one person’s
observation generates a multitude of responses from others which,
in their turn, produce further comments. Through such responses,
revisions, and iterations, a constantly renewing creative synthesis
leads to results that no one member of the group was capable of
anticipating or creating.
Information
is dynamic, not static or neutral. It has a way of generating
critical masses which, analogous to the physical world, are capable
of producing chain reactions. While this energy includes ideas,
it also transcends abstract thought. For reasons that relate to
their interests, intellectuals tend to give ideas the dominant
role in social change. Ideas do have consequences, and
libertarians, in particular, are fond of reminding us of Richard
Weaver’s observation of that fact. But if the quality of life
depended solely upon the force of ideas, we would likely now be
a society of cannibals, with Hillary Clinton writing best-selling
cookbooks on serving our fellowman!
Numerous
other influences, whose identities and effects we find it difficult
to discern, are also at work upon the human condition. There is
an unseen interrelatedness of factors in any complex system that
is bound to foster what our conscious minds have learned to accept
as “unforeseen consequences.” This is the social lesson to be
taken from the study of chaos and complexity.
To draw an
historic parallel to Google’s situation, we might recall how Guttenberg’s
invention of movable type greatly expanded the information available
to ordinary men and women. In turn, this increased information
contributed to the Renaissance, the Enlightenment, the Reformation,
and the scientific and industrial revolutions. But even these
creative epochs were underlain by other influences about which
historians have offered varied interpretations. Why did the Renaissance
blossom in Italy and not Sweden? Why is the cradle of the industrial
revolution to be found in England and America rather than Russia
and Spain? Who could have predicted the answers to such questions
from the invention of movable type alone, whose role was essential,
albeit not sufficient, to the emergence of such periods
of greatness?
We have been
taught that “necessity is the mother of invention.” If that is
the case, why have the greatest number of inventions not emanated
from so-called primitive cultures, where “need” might be greater
than in such places as Menlo Park, New Jersey, where Thomas Edison
out-invented the entirety of mankind to produce the technological
foundations of modern culture? We know that ancient civilizations
had fairly sophisticated technologies: the third century (A.D.)
Greek, Hero, invented a steam engine; early Egyptians and Central
and South Americans developed mechanics capable of building great
pyramids; archeological finds in the Middle East have led some
historians to speculate that one second century (B.C.) society
might have produced a rudimentary form of electricity; while ancient
Roman engineering continues in use today. Why did none of these
societies produce the cornucopia of the industrial revolution?
What unseen forces combine to direct the course of events in our
lives?
And while
you are contemplating such questions, ask yourself why the United
States government was unable to predict that its creation, the
Internet, would become – like Guttenberg’s invention – the principal
catalyst for a fundamental transformation of social organizations;
collapsing centralized, vertically-structured institutions into
decentralized, horizontal networks?
Most of us
– libertarians included – accord political systems a far greater
capacity for planning and efficacy than is deserved. The dreary
history of state economic planning confirms in practice what the
study of chaos explains in theory: complex systems produce unpredictable
consequences. This is a lesson being relearned from the collapse
of government levees in New Orleans. While politicians and their
ideologues preferred to focus attention on such irrelevancies
as racist motivations, the destruction of this city arose from
the incapacity of the state or anyone else – to predict, and
thus control, the course of complex behavior.
Through its
insistence upon metastasizing itself into virtually every facet
of human life, the modern state has painted itself into a corner
from which it is unable to escape. Technology is putting more
information and decision-making capacity into the hands of individuals,
thus contributing to the decline of centralized systems, particularly
the state. The efforts of governments – such as the European Union to control Internet content amount to little more than a rear
guard action to protect retreating forces. The Internet, cell-phones,
fax machines, podcasting, digital cameras, voice-over IP, and
other technologies, allow people to directly communicate with
one another in ways that are making political boundaries meaningless.
These systems speed up the transmission of information beyond
the sluggish capacities of the bureaucratic state to keep up.
Political
systems are in a position not unlike that of a motorist driving
on a major highway in a blinding blizzard, being unable to either
stop or proceed without great danger. If the state fights the
technological changes, its society will be unable to sustain itself
in a dynamically changing world. Such undesirable consequences
led to the collapse of the highly-structured Soviet Union. On
the other hand, to the degree the state tolerates such transforming
influences, it renders its own systems increasingly irrelevant,
as power becomes more and more decentralized into the hands of
individuals and autonomous groups.
This is the
dilemma facing the state, as well as those dependent upon its
centrally-structured coercive authority. This is why the “war
on terror” is but a desperate effort by the institutional establishment
to forcibly resist such processes of change in an effort to restore
the collapsing edifice of state power.
I might have
been more troubled by Google’s decision to meet the Chinese government’s
demands had it not been for the fact that the company thought
the matter of enough import to issue a public statement. Far too
many businesses – for whom “bottom line” considerations translate
only into money would be content to accept such conditions with
nary a twitch of concern. Such are the firms Lenin had in mind
when he declared that “the Capitalist will sell us the rope with
which we will hang them.” Google, on the other hand, recognized
dangers to its very purposes that were implicit in a practice
“that restricts information in any way,” and asked whether such
restraints “could be consistent with our mission and values.”
Deep within
the labyrinthine interconnectedness of complex systems lie forces
that make our world unpredictable and uncertain. Once Google’s
tool for the proliferation of information reaches the Chinese
people – even with its political blindfolds attached – computer
hackers will discover ways to circumvent governmental policy –
as, indeed, they have already been doing. Information has ways
of reaching those who want it, and there is no reason to believe
that its free flow will be any less disruptive to the Chinese
political structure than it is to Western systems. Because information
has an inherently marginal character to it – distinguishing the
unique from the common, the novel from the customary – it has
a centrifugal, decentralizing force that will likely prove inimical
to China’s system of centralized authority.
I
support Google’s decision for no better reason than that its presence,
in China, will serve to stir the pot – or, the iron rice bowl
– and likely produce consequences that no one – Google included
– will be able to predict. What if Google should prove to be the
kind of catalyst that made Guttenberg the midwife of Western civilization?
What if – contrary to all expectations, and for reasons as inexplicable
as the centrality of Manchester to the industrial revolution –
China should evolve into an anarchistic society? I do not predict
such a result, anymore than the United States government predicted
that the Internet would facilitate a collapse of political authority.
But in the presence of a search engine whose very purpose is to
put into the hands of individuals a means of providing for the
cross-fertilization of information and ideas, I would not be making
any long-term investments in Chinese power futures.