The foreign
policies of America are going down to disastrous defeat all over
the world. Americans will soon wake up to defeat after defeat. The
basic reason for these defeats is that the West under American leadership
is simply incapable of controlling the rest of the world. Too many
people live in too large an area with too many political cross-currents
for any one nation or even a group of nations to be able to have
mastery over. Within the many areas and countries that the U.S.
is trying to subdue and run are too many people with knowledge of
how to fight, the means to fight, and the will to fight. The world
has too many other large nations, such as Russia and China, that
can check America and the West in many possible ways and at every
turn that suits them as the West seeks to run countries on or near
their borders. Within the Western alliance, there are fractures
that prevent united action. There are entire continents such as
South America and Africa where events can, have, and will go out
of American control.
America in
every way is simply unequal to the task of ruling the world. It
can’t do it physically since it lacks the raw resources or power.
It can’t do it mentally since it lacks the spirit or will. It can’t
do it morally since it lacks the moral high ground. It can’t do
it financially since it lacks the wealth. If it keeps on trying
to run the world, it can only meet with more defeats than it already
is running into.
And there is
no need for America the state to run the world. Our security does
not depend on it. Nor is it right to spread a vision of what some
or even many Americans think are right values via the forces of
the state.
Preventing
mass airplane terror is a win and a welcome win. That win did not
come about by American foreign policy or by a war against terror
expressed by American or Israeli troops on foreign soil. No doubt
it came through intelligence methods and infiltration of terror
networks. These are better methods than invasions, threats, sanctions,
and similar pressures and methods that states employ.
Neoconservative
baloney
The myth of
America being a superpower that can remake the world is just that,
a myth. Neoconservatives had a dream. They came to power. They turned
that dream into a nightmare. They have taken America down to defeat
after defeat. They are still dreaming their dreams and still leading
the country downwards. Faced with bitter losses, they will now accuse
America of not trying hard enough. They will say that we should
unleash even greater power and weaponry. They will claim that the
military has been stabbed in the back. They will shout that their
policies were not put into practice effectively, or that they were
sabotaged by weak-willed or ineffectual politicians. They will seek
even more power. They will blame everyone and everything they can
think of. They will fill the air with their denunciations and obfuscations.
They will call us critics defeatists. They will bemoan the toll
already paid in blood, as if that were reason to spill even more
blood. But the reasons for defeat lie in a basic reality that neoconservative
policies failed to reckon with: America cannot run the world.
Why do Americans
support the wild-eyed neoconservative policies? Some Americans are
warmongers. Some are mute followers of their leaders. Some believe
pragmatically that the President knows what he is doing. Some believe
that this is World War III. Some believe that it is a Christian
duty to save the world even if it involves collective military might.
And so on. Defeats we can hope will alter these attitudes and beliefs,
all of which are entirely wrong. War does not bring peace. Mute
submission is suicide. The President has no idea what he is doing.
This is not World War III. And Christians should not support armed
interventions on behalf of what they think are good causes. Christians
should not be supporting wars right and left.
Americans should
hold fast to one self-evident truth and not listen to neoconservative
humbug. The truth is that this country cannot rule the world by
army, navy, marine, and air force power, threat, warfare, and intimidation.
Nor can it even diminish terror by these conventional means. Superpower
methods are useless in the aim of world rule. They are worse than
useless. They backfire. If Americans continue to listen and follow
current foreign policies, if they keep buying into the neoconservative
propaganda, then they will suffer even more defeats.
Defeats
Afghanistan
is a defeat and a snare. That war did not put Usama bin Laden out
of business. It did not put local insurgencies out of business.
The West ties down forces trying to hold a lid on a situation it
can’t control in the long run. Russia couldn’t hold this country
and the West can’t either. Trying to do so begets Western losses
with no tangible long-run benefits. Men and women die and sustain
injury. Wealth is dissipated. American debts rise while Afghani
conflict continues. Warlords keep battling or fattening their purses.
A fragile democracy there and others elsewhere struggle against
insurgencies or don’t measure up to American goals. The clock ticks
on to a more visible Western defeat in Afghanistan, but the defeat
is already there. What is it that the West has won?
Afghanistan
was under Taliban rule which was tied in with Pakistan’s support.
The Taliban probably still have Pakistani support. American defeat
in Afghanistan is also defeat in Pakistan. Someday the lid will
blow off Pakistan as it did in Iran. What will America do then?
Iraq is a defeat
and a snare. The country has a severe civil war going on. Americans
sit in the middle of it all, powerless to enforce the American will,
whatever that will is. All the king’s horses and all the king’s
men cannot put Iraq together again.
Lebanon is
a defeat and a snare. Israel launches an invasion. The U.S. approves
and supports it. However, the war reveals the weakness of Israel’s
armed forces, not only politically but also militarily, just as
the Iraq War revealed the weakness of American armed forces to control
a country. Hizbullah parries Israel with a force only a fraction
of Israel’s. Hizbullah, which is no moral paragon, makes itself
look good beside Israel’s blunderbuss approach that inflicts damage
in all directions. There is no Israeli lightning war this time around.
After weeks, Israel has penetrated Lebanon only a few miles. Iran
sits safely at a distance observing how weak Israel really is. In
the long run, can the State of Israel survive? Can it survive by
brute force? I don’t think so, not in its current form. Lebanon
will be counted as a turning point in which Israel’s enemies not
only tasted blood but got the measure of their opponent, when the
tide began to turn in their favor, when they rallied more sympathy
for their cause, and even when they began to make headway in overturning
Arab governments in favor of Islamic fundamentalist regimes. An
Israeli defeat is an American defeat, whether or not America gave
the green light for the initial invasion.
All over this
world are trouble spots and more potential defeats. Thailand is
or will be having war. Somalia experiences war and Ethiopia intervenes.
China will sooner or later make a move of some sort on Taiwan. North
Korea threatens South Korea. Venezuela links up to Cuba and Iran
while threatening trouble elsewhere in South America. Brazil has
severe problems. One can go on and on and on. America cannot control
all of these situations. It cannot police the world. It cannot run
the world. Neither can the major countries that run the United Nations
Security Council, and it is a good thing they can’t.
Will Americans
learn?
Defeat will
not go down American throats easily. It may not go down at all.
I do not know. But where character and brains most count are in
times of defeat and loss. America failed to learn the lessons of
stalemate in Korea and defeat in Vietnam. I have no great hope that
it will learn from the current episodes. When the hand is burned
on a hot stove, one learns not to touch it again. Will America learn
not to touch the multitude of world trouble spots? I doubt it. There
will be excuses and rationalizations instead. A basic problem is
that foreign policy is the main toy of Presidents and Congresses.
They can’t resist playing with it. They like to. They don’t get
burned. We do. The basic problem is that Americans support their
Presidents and Congresses with money, bodies, and wills. They should
not. If this is the only way that Americans can get satisfaction,
by displays of brawn all over the world, then they are doomed to
defeat. The Lilliputians will tie the American Gulliver down and
cut him up into little pieces. America should not be trying to save
the world via armed force.
New directions
What is to
be done? Many Americans worry about Islamic fundamentalist regimes
coming to power, such as the Taliban in Afghanistan. Bin Laden or
his deputies might soon be running Somalia or some other country.
We need to distinguish the American state from individual Americans.
The state’s actions need to be severely constrained. The correct
foreign policies in situations like these for the state are (a)
patience, (b) non-intervention, (c) peaceful engagement, and (d)
appropriate defense of America. The last resort should be war and
only when a country directly engages the U.S. in war. Individuals
should maintain their own moral high ground so that they can apply
moral pressure against injustices and so that they can engage in
voluntary individual (not state) action against them. The general
idea is to shrink the state’s role in foreign policy (state to state),
and allow individuals to engage foreign people in voluntary relationships
if they wish to, but still within the boundaries of just and justifiable
actions. State’s policies should be more passive than is today the
case, and individual policies should be as active or passive as
individuals see fit (within the limits of being just.)
If Christians
wish to remake the world, they can do so with proper and traditional
means as individuals (which includes voluntary organizations). If
pirates attack ships in Indonesian waters, the shippers can use
mercenaries if they wish for protection. Piracy need not lead to
extension of the U.S. war against terror to Indonesian waters. If
separatists in Thailand blow up a train and Americans want to take
sides and fight in Thailand, that is their prerogative as individuals,
not that I’m recommending it. They might even fight each other,
or they might find Thais fighting them. And if so, the Thais should
understand that America the state is not going to protect any of
its citizens who undertake such ventures in foreign countries. They
are actions of individuals. Situations can rapidly become complex,
and this is a good reason why the American state should stay out
of foreign situations. It is not proper for the U.S. state to choose
up sides and commit the nation to one side or the other in foreign
struggles, even if they involve Americans. It makes no sense to
extend the protection of the American state, for example, to every
American wherever they are in the world in ways that drag the state
into local conflicts and wars. An American who travels should be
responsible for his own protection. If Americans could carry guns,
they would be a lot safer. And if they wore an emblem that signified
they were under the protection of a credible protection company
that would seek justice for any harm done, that would be better
than running to an Embassy in case of trouble or waiting for the
Marines to land. It would be better than terrorists, insurgents,
and rebels being able to drag the U.S. into wars of their choosing.
The American
state should lay back and sit still, first for 5 years, then 10
years, then 20 years, and longer. Americans need a long, long respite.
We need to recover our sense of proportion. We need to learn how
to think and see straight again. We need to solve our own problems.
No nation can keep fighting forever without having a nervous breakdown.
We need to
lay back and sit still because oppressive regimes have a way of
self-destructing over time. This happened to the Soviet Union (and
it’s the path that the U.S. is on). There is a reason. The more
that a regime tries to control, the higher become its costs of control.
But also the benefits of citizen resistance rise as the regime becomes
more oppressive. At some point, if the regime goes too far, the
citizens make a change. It depends on their pain threshold and dissatisfaction
levels. This is something that outsiders can’t gauge. We should
know about this. Americans once had a low threshold of pain and
threw off the British rule.
Nonintervention
has the enormous benefit of giving foreign peoples no excuse to
be against America as a state. If our state has done nothing to
earn their hatred or enmity, then they have no just cause against
us. This will diminish attacks on us inasmuch as many attacks are
for what enemies regard as just causes even if those attacked see
matters in the opposite light. Nonintervention will not end all
attacks or problem situations, however. One can imagine all sorts
of such difficult cases even if the U.S. becomes more passive, but
they will be clearer and easier to manage if our state is minding
its own business. That’s what nonintervention means: Mind your own
business, America.
If Islamic
regimes oppress their people (or we believe they do), we should
be patient and not intervene as a state. Anyway, we have little
choice but to wait for the inevitable alteration in the country’s
politics because collective intervention makes matters worse. We
should be passive as a state, but active as individuals if we wish
to. North Vietnam conquered South Vietnam despite American intervention,
but now that country engages the U.S. in trade and other ways. If
Iranians become dissatisfied enough with their rulers, they will
change what they have. The U.S. surely can’t do it for them without
further defeat. The U.S. once intervened to put in a puppet, the
Shah of Iran, and the Iranians, or some of them, never forgot it.
Our CIA’s intervention, among many others, led to the troubles we
now face. If there is injustice in Iran that the Iranians complain
about, Americans as individuals can support them if they see fit
and speak out. If Iranians want money to support their cause, it
is the right of any American to support them if the cause is just
and the actions to support it are just. Knowing these things may
not be easy, but that is what conscience requires. Pressures should
build up from below, not from above by the concerted state actions
we are used to seeing.
The evidence
is in. State interventions solve nothing. They lead only to further
conflicts. No person needs to sit on his hands in the face of international
evils. There is plenty of work to be done to identify them. People
can organize and speak out. They can apply moral pressures. Some
international organizations do this already, and they make a difference.
People can communicate with other peoples as individuals (including
voluntary groups) and support them in many ways, even including
smuggling, supplying arms, and fighting There are many ways to effect
changes. Muscular state policies have failed. What is left except
the actions of individuals? If this sort of free market foreign
policy sounds visionary and strange, it is. This is what bin Laden
is doing. He is conducting his own war against the United States
and its citizens. But his actions are terribly wrong and unjust.
I am not commending private marauders, pirates, terrorists, and
thieves that prey upon innocents. I am commending private actions
that are just, and that creates a large constraint and poses difficult
problems for anyone who uses force.
Patience means
that the state (not necessarily individuals) takes a much longer-run
view than it is accustomed to and sits still and waits for the natural
forces of change to occur. It means the state sees what its leaders
think is evil or bad and does not do anything about it through sanctions,
threat, armed force, interventions, and alliances. The state should
simply not be leading the country into foreign adventures. The situations
the state and the country face are not like calling the police because
our neighbor gives his wife a black eye. A state that acts like
a policeman in foreign nations faces resistance from other states
and peoples. The state’s international tools are limited, and the
ones we have been taught to think work do not work well over the
long haul. There is no end of injustices in this world, and the
state cannot successfully commit the American people to rectify
them militarily or by the standard means that have gotten us into
so much trouble in the past.
Militarism
must end
Americans have
shed enormous amounts of blood. They have spent enormous wealth.
Why? Defense or national security was only part of it and not even
the major root cause. One intervention led to another and yet another
on a growing scale. That was the main reason. The main reason was
that U.S. policy is militarism. According to one definition,
militarism is a national policy of maintaining large armed forces
and being willing to use them aggressively to defend or promote
national interests. This describes America. U.S. militarism is destroying
America.
President
Eisenhower in 1961 warned the American people: "In the councils
of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted
influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial
complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power
exists and will persist." Immediately thereafter, Presidents
Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon committed the nation to the Vietnam
War. Every President since has committed the nation to intervention
and war in foreign lands. There is no end in sight. For wrong reasons,
Americans now support what Ike foresaw would be a "disastrous"
rise and misuse of power. The returns are coming in. They are defeats.
American militarism will end or else America will end.
August
14, 2006
Michael
S. Rozeff [send him mail]
is the Louis M. Jacobs Professor of Finance at University at Buffalo.