Iran Is Iraq X 2
by Gordon Prather
announcing the president's decision to nominate John Bolton to be
ambassador to the United Nations, Condi Rice noted that, as under-secretary
of state for arms control and international security, Bolton "has
held primary responsibility" within the Bush-Cheney administration
"for stemming the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction."
principal achievement? "John helped build a coalition of more than
60 countries to help combat the spread of WMD through the president's
Proliferation Security Initiative."
as you probably know, the only true "weapon of mass destruction"
is a nuke.
perversely, our future ambassador to the U.N. has been "point man"
in the Bush administration's campaign to undermine the Treaty
on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and to discredit
and/or supersede the International Atomic Energy Agency,
the U.N. organization assigned by the Treaty to verify compliance
by all its signatories.
his first State of the Union message, President Bush essentially
accused North Korea, Iran and Iraq of having nuke programs, conducted
in violation of the NPT, right under the noses and other sensors
of the IAEA.
particular, under the Agreed Framework of 1994, all existing North
Korean "nuclear" activities had been "frozen" – under IAEA lock
and seal – in return for a promise of free nuclear power plants
and an interim supply of free fuel oil.
if Bush was to impose "regime change" on Iraq, Iran and North Korea
on the pretext they had nukes, the IAEA nuke proliferation-prevention
regime had to be discredited or superseded.
first Bush unilaterally abrogated the Agreed Framework – whereupon
North Korea, predictably, withdrew from the NPT and resumed producing
and recovering weapons-grade plutonium.
Bush announced in late 2002 his own National Strategy to Combat
Weapons of Mass Destruction, from which Bolton developed the aforementioned
Proliferation Security Initiative.
to Bolton, the PSI was necessary because "proliferators and those
facilitating the procurement of deadly capabilities are circumventing
existing laws, treaties and controls against WMD proliferation."
Bolton had in mind Israel, Pakistan and India. But none of them
are NPT signatories; none of them are subject to full-scope IAEA-NPT
how does Bolton expect his PSI to succeed where the IAEA has allegedly
the particular case of North Korea – no longer subject to the NPT
and the IAEA Safeguards regime – how did Bolton propose to prevent
their turning their weapons-grade plutonium into nukes?
how about preventing North Korea from transferring their plutonium
nukes – or the makings, thereof – to another state or to a terrorist
appropriate actions to 1) stop and/or search in their internal
waters, territorial seas or contiguous zones (when declared) vessels
that are reasonably suspected of carrying such cargoes to or from
states or non-state actors of proliferation concern and to seize
such cargoes that are identified, and 2) enforce conditions on
vessels entering or leaving their ports, internal waters or territorial
seas that are reasonably suspected of carrying such cargoes, such
as requiring that such vessels be subject to boarding, search
and seizure of such cargoes prior to entry.
U.S. "intelligence community"?
Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the U.S. Regarding
Weapons of Mass Destruction is due to report to the president by
the end of this month.
to the New York Times, the nine-member bipartisan presidential
panel, led by Laurence Silberman, a retired federal judge, and Charles
S. Robb, a former governor and senator from Virginia, had unrestricted
access to the most senior people and the most sensitive documents
of the intelligence agencies.
you know, with respect to Iraq, the U.N. inspectors had it right;
our "intelligence community" had it all wrong.
understandable that the panel is expected to be sharply critical
of American intelligence with respect to North Korea's nuclear programs.
Since Bush provoked North Korea into withdrawing from the NPT, there
have been no IAEA inspectors on the ground in North Korea to provide
according to the New York Times, one person privy to the panel's
deliberations and conclusions characterized American intelligence
on Iran as "scandalous."
could that be? If our intelligence weenies want to learn everything
there is to know about Iran's nuclear programs, surely they learned
their lesson in Iraq. All they have to do is go to the IAEA's website,
click on "In Focus: IAEA and Iran," and read the IAEA's exhaustive
is, if Ambassador Bolton – or his PSI replacement – will let them.
James Gordon Prather [send
him mail] has served as a policy-implementing official for national
security-related technical matters in the Federal Energy Agency,
the Energy Research and Development Administration, the Department
of Energy, the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Department
of the Army. Dr. Prather also served as legislative assistant for
national security affairs to U.S. Sen. Henry Bellmon, R-Okla.
ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee and member of the
Senate Energy Committee and Appropriations Committee. Dr. Prather
had earlier worked as a nuclear weapons physicist at Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory in California and Sandia National Laboratory
in New Mexico.
© 2005 Gordon Prather