Before
the U.S. House of Representatives, April 5, 2006
Its
been three years since the U.S. launched its war against Saddam
Hussein and his weapons of mass destruction. Of course now almost
everybody knows there were no WMDs, and Saddam Hussein posed no
threat to the United States. Though some of our soldiers serving
in Iraq still believe they are there because Saddam Hussein was
involved in 9/11, even the administration now acknowledges there
was no connection. Indeed, no one can be absolutely certain why
we invaded Iraq. The current excuse, also given for staying in
Iraq, is to make it a democratic state, friendly to the United
States. There are now fewer denials that securing oil supplies
played a significant role in our decision to go into Iraq and
stay there. That certainly would explain why U.S. taxpayers are
paying such a price to build and maintain numerous huge, permanent
military bases in Iraq. Theyre also funding a new billion-dollar
embassy the largest in the world.
The significant
question we must ask ourselves is: What have we learned from three
years in Iraq? With plans now being laid for regime change in
Iran, it appears we have learned absolutely nothing. There still
are plenty of administration officials who daily paint a rosy
picture of the Iraq we have created. But I wonder: If the past
three years were nothing more than a bad dream, and our nation
suddenly awakened, how many would, for national security reasons,
urge the same invasion? Would we instead give a gigantic sigh
of relief that it was only a bad dream, that we need not relive
the three-year nightmare of death, destruction, chaos and stupendous
consumption of tax dollars? Conceivably we would still see oil
prices under $30 a barrel, and most importantly, 20,000 severe
U.S. casualties would not have occurred. My guess is that 99%
of all Americans would be thankful it was only a bad dream, and
would never support the invasion knowing what we know today.
Even with
the horrible results of the past three years, Congress is abuzz
with plans to change the Iranian government. There is little resistance
to the rising clamor for democratizing Iran, even
though their current president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is an elected
leader. Though Iran is hardly a perfect democracy, its system
is far superior to most of our Arab allies about which we never
complain. Already the coordinating propaganda has galvanized the
American people against Iran for the supposed threat it poses
to us with weapons of mass destruction that are no more present
than those Saddam Hussein was alleged to have had. Its amazing
how soon after being thoroughly discredited over the charges levied
against Saddam Hussein the Neo-cons are willing to use the same
arguments against Iran. Its frightening to see how easily
Congress, the media, and the people accept many of the same arguments
against Iran that were used to justify an invasion of Iraq.
Since 2001
we have spent over $300 billion, and occupied two Muslim nations Afghanistan
and Iraq. Were poorer but certainly not safer for it. We
invaded Afghanistan to get Osama bin Laden, the ring leader behind
9/11. This effort has been virtually abandoned. Even though the
Taliban was removed from power in Afghanistan, most of the country
is now occupied and controlled by warlords who manage a drug trade
bigger than ever before. Removing the Taliban from power in Afghanistan
actually served the interests of Iran, the Talibans archenemy, more than our own.
The longtime
Neo-con goal to remake Iraq prompted us to abandon the search
for Osama bin Laden. The invasion of Iraq in 2003 was hyped as
a noble mission, justified by misrepresentations of intelligence
concerning Saddam Hussein and his ability to attack us and his
neighbors. This failed policy has created the current chaos in
Iraq chaos that many describe as a civil war. Saddam Hussein
is out of power and most people are pleased. Yet some Iraqis,
who dream of stability, long for his authoritarian rule. But once
again, Saddam Husseins removal benefited the Iranians, who
consider Saddam Hussein an archenemy.
Our obsession
with democracy which is clearly conditional, when one looks
at our response to the recent Palestinian elections will allow
the majority Shia to claim leadership title if Iraqs election
actually leads to an organized government. This delights the Iranians,
who are close allies of the Iraqi Shia.
Talk about
unintended consequences! This war has produced chaos, civil war,
death and destruction, and huge financial costs. It has eliminated
two of Irans worst enemies and placed power in Iraq with
Irans best friends. Even this apparent failure of policy
does nothing to restrain the current march toward a similar confrontation
with Iran. What will it take for us to learn from our failures?
Common sense
tells us the war in Iraq soon will spread to Iran. Fear of imaginary
nuclear weapons or an incident involving Iran whether planned
or accidental will rally the support needed for us to move on
Muslim country #3. All the past failures and unintended consequences
will be forgotten.
Even with
deteriorating support for the Iraq war, new information, well-planned
propaganda, or a major incident will override the skepticism and
heartache of our frustrating fight. Vocal opponents of an attack
on Iran again will be labeled unpatriotic, unsupportive of the
troops, and sympathetic to Irans radicals.
Instead of
capitulating to these charges, we should point out that those
who maneuver us into war do so with little concern for our young
people serving in the military, and theoretically think little
of their own children if they have any. Its hard to conceive
that political supporters of the war would consciously claim that
a pre-emptive war for regime change, where young people are sacrificed,
is only worth it if the deaths and injuries are limited to other
peoples children. This, Im sure, would be denied
which means their own children are technically available for this
sacrifice that is so often praised and glorified for the benefit
of the families who have lost so much. If so, they should think
more of their own children. If this is not so, and their children
are not available for such sacrifice, the hypocrisy is apparent.
Remember, most Neo-con planners fall into the category of chicken-hawks.
For the past
3 years its been inferred that if one is not in support
of the current policy, one is against the troops and supports
the enemy. Lack of support for the war in Iraq was said to be
supportive of Saddam Hussein and his evil policies. This is an
insulting and preposterous argument. Those who argued for the
containment of the Soviets were never deemed sympathetic to Stalin
or Khrushchev. Lack of support for the Iraq war should never be
used as an argument that one was sympathetic to Saddam Hussein.
Containment and diplomacy are far superior to confronting a potential
enemy, and are less costly and far less dangerous especially
when theres no evidence that our national security is being
threatened.
Although
a large percentage of the public now rejects the various arguments
for the Iraq war, 3 years ago they were easily persuaded by the
politicians and media to fully support the invasion. Now, after
3 years of terrible pain for so many, even the troops are awakening
from their slumber and sensing the fruitlessness of our failing
effort. Seventy-two percent of our troops now serving in Iraq
say its time to come home, yet the majority still cling
to the propaganda that were there because of 9/11 attacks,
something even the administration has ceased to claim. Propaganda
is pushed on our troops to exploit their need to believe in a
cause thats worth the risk to life and limb.
I smell an
expanded war in the Middle East, and pray that Im wrong.
I sense that circumstances will arise that demand support regardless
of the danger and cost. Any lack of support, once again, will
be painted as being soft on terrorism and al Qaeda. We will be
told we must support Israel, support patriotism, support the troops,
and defend freedom. The public too often only smells the stench
of war after the killing starts. Public objection comes later
on, but eventually it helps to stop the war. I worry that before
we can finish the war were in and extricate ourselves, the
patriotic fervor for expanding into Iran will drown out the cries
of, enough already!
The agitation
and congressional resolutions painting Iran as an enemy about
to attack us have already begun. Its too bad we cant
learn from our mistakes.
This time
there will be a greater pretense of an international effort sanctioned
by the UN before the bombs are dropped. But even without support
from the international community, we should expect the plan for
regime change to continue. We have been forewarned that all
options remain on the table. And theres little reason
to expect much resistance from Congress. So far theres less
resistance expressed in Congress for taking on Iran than there
was prior to going into Iraq. Its astonishing that after
three years of bad results and tremendous expense theres
little indication we will reconsider our traditional non-interventionist
foreign policy. Unfortunately, regime change, nation-building,
policing the world, and protecting our oil still constitute
an acceptable policy by the leaders of both major parties.
Its
already assumed by many in Washington I talk to that Iran is dead
serious about obtaining a nuclear weapon, and is a much more formidable
opponent than Iraq. Besides, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad threatened to
destroy Israel and that cannot stand. Washington sees Iran as
a greater threat than Iraq ever was, a threat that cannot be ignored.
Irans
history is being ignored, just as we ignored Iraqs history.
This ignorance or deliberate misrepresentation of our recent relationship
to Iraq and Iran is required to generate the fervor needed to
attack once again a country that poses no threat to us. Our policies
toward Iran have been more provocative than those towards Iraq.
Yes, President Bush labeled Iran part of the axis of evil and
unnecessarily provoked their anger at us. But our mistakes with
Iran started a long time before this president took office.
In 1953 our
CIA, with help of the British, participated in overthrowing the
democratic elected leader, Mohammed Mossadegh. We placed the Shah
in power. He ruled ruthlessly but protected our oil interests,
and for that we protected him that is until 1979. We even
provided him with Irans first nuclear reactor. Evidently
we didnt buy the argument that his oil supplies precluded
a need for civilian nuclear energy. From 1953 to 1979 his authoritarian
rule served to incite a radical Muslim opposition led by the Ayatollah
Khomeini, who overthrew the Shah and took our hostages in 1979.
This blowback event was slow in coming, but Muslims have long
memories. The hostage crisis and overthrow of the Shah by the
Ayatollah was a major victory for the radical Islamists. Most
Americans either never knew about or easily forgot our unwise
meddling in the internal affairs of Iran in 1953.
During the
1980s we further antagonized Iran by supporting the Iraqis in
their invasion of Iran. This made our relationship with Iran worse,
while sending a message to Saddam Hussein that invading a neighboring
country is not all that bad. When Hussein got the message from
our State Department that his plan to invade Kuwait was not of
much concern to the United States he immediately proceeded to
do so. We in a way encouraged him to do it almost like we encouraged
him to go into Iran. Of course this time our reaction was quite
different, and all of a sudden our friendly ally Saddam Hussein
became our archenemy. The American people may forget this flip-flop,
but those who suffered from it never forget. And the Iranians
remember well our meddling in their affairs. Labeling the Iranians
part of the axis of evil further alienated them and contributed
to the animosity directed toward us.
For whatever
reasons the Neo-conservatives might give, they are bound and determined
to confront the Iranian government and demand changes in its leadership.
This policy will further spread our military presence and undermine
our security. The sad truth is that the supposed dangers posed
by Iran are no more real than those claimed about Iraq. The charges
made against Iran are unsubstantiated, and amazingly sound very
similar to the false charges made against Iraq. One would think
promoters of the war against Iraq would be a little bit more reluctant
to use the same arguments to stir up hatred toward Iran. The American
people and Congress should be more cautious in accepting these
charges at face value. Yet it seems the propaganda is working,
since few in Washington object as Congress passes resolutions
condemning Iran and asking for UN sanctions against her.
There is
no evidence of a threat to us by Iran, and no reason to plan and
initiate a confrontation with her. There are many reasons not
to do so, however.
Iran does
not have a nuclear weapon and theres no evidence that she
is working on one only conjecture.
If Iran had
a nuclear weapon, why would this be different from Pakistan, India,
and North Korea having one? Why does Iran have less right to a
defensive weapon than these other countries?
If Iran had
a nuclear weapon, the odds of her initiating an attack against
anybody which would guarantee her own annihilation are zero.
And the same goes for the possibility she would place weapons
in the hands of a non-state terrorist group.
Pakistan
has spread nuclear technology throughout the world, and in particular
to the North Koreans. They flaunt international restrictions on
nuclear weapons. But we reward them just as we reward India.
We needlessly
and foolishly threaten Iran even though they have no nuclear weapons.
But listen to what a leading Israeli historian, Martin Van Creveld,
had to say about this: Obviously, we dont want Iran
to have a nuclear weapon, and I dont know if theyre
developing them, but if theyre not developing them, theyre
crazy.
Theres
been a lot of misinformation regarding Irans nuclear program.
This distortion of the truth has been used to pump up emotions
in Congress to pass resolutions condemning her and promoting UN
sanctions.
IAEA Director
General Mohamed ElBaradei has never reported any evidence of undeclared
sources or special nuclear material in Iran, or any diversion
of nuclear material.
We demand
that Iran prove it is not in violation of nuclear agreements,
which is asking them impossibly to prove a negative. ElBaradei
states Iran is in compliance with the nuclear NPT-required IAEA
safeguard agreement.
We forget
that the weapons we feared Saddam Hussein had were supplied to
him by the U.S., and we refused to believe UN inspectors and the
CIA that he no longer had them.
Likewise,
Iran received her first nuclear reactor from us. Now were
hysterically wondering if someday she might decide to build a
bomb in self-interest.
Anti-Iran
voices, beating the drums of confrontation, distort the agreement
made in Paris and the desire of Iran to restart the enrichment
process. Their suspension of the enrichment process was voluntary,
and not a legal obligation. Iran has an absolute right under the
NPT to develop and use nuclear power for peaceful purposes, and
this is now said to be an egregious violation of the NPT. Its
the U.S. and her allies that are distorting and violating the
NPT. Likewise our provision of nuclear materials to India is a
clear violation of the NPT.
The demand
for UN sanctions is now being strongly encouraged by Congress.
The Iran Freedom Support Act, HR 282, passed in the
International Relations Committee; and recently the House passed
H Con Res 341, which inaccurately condemned Iran for violating
its international nuclear non-proliferation obligations. At present,
the likelihood of reason prevailing in Congress is minimal. Let
there be no doubt: The Neo-conservative warriors are still in
charge, and are conditioning Congress, the media, and the American
people for a pre-emptive attack on Iran. Never mind that Afghanistan
has unraveled and Iraq is in civil war: serious plans are being
laid for the next distraction which will further spread this war
in the Middle East. The unintended consequences of this effort
surely will be worse than any of the complications experienced
in the three-year occupation of Iraq.
Our offer
of political and financial assistance to foreign and domestic
individuals who support the overthrow of the current Iranian government
is fraught with danger and saturated with arrogance. Imagine how
American citizens would respond if China supported similar efforts
here in the United States to bring about regime change! How many
of us would remain complacent if someone like Timothy McVeigh
had been financed by a foreign power? Is it any wonder the Iranian
people resent us and the attitude of our leaders? Even though
ElBaradei and his IAEA investigations have found no violations
of the NPT-required IAEA safeguards agreement, the Iran Freedom
Support Act still demands that Iran prove they have no nuclear
weapons refusing to acknowledge that proving a negative is impossible.
Let there
be no doubt, though the words regime change are not
found in the bill thats precisely what they are talking
about. Neo-conservative Michael Ledeen, one of the architects
of the Iraq fiasco, testifying before the International Relations
Committee in favor of the IFSA, stated it plainly: I know
some Members would prefer to dance around the explicit declaration
of regime change as the policy of this country, but anyone looking
closely at the language and context of the IFSA and its close
relative in the Senate, can clearly see that this is in fact the
essence of the matter. You cant have freedom in Iran without
bringing down the Mullahs.
Sanctions,
along with financial and political support to persons and groups
dedicated to the overthrow of the Iranian government, are acts
of war. Once again were unilaterally declaring a pre-emptive
war against a country and a people that have not harmed us and
do not have the capacity to do so. And dont expect Congress
to seriously debate a declaration of war resolution. For the past
56 years Congress has transferred to the executive branch the
power to go to war as it pleases, regardless of the tragic results
and costs.
Secretary
of State Rice recently signaled a sharp shift towards confrontation
in Iran policy as she insisted on $75 million to finance propaganda,
through TV and radio broadcasts into Iran. She expressed this
need because of the so-called aggressive policies
of the Iranian government. Were seven thousand miles from
home, telling the Iraqis and the Iranians what kind of government
they will have, backed up by the use of our military force, and
we call them the aggressors. We fail to realize the Iranian people,
whatever faults they may have, have not in modern times aggressed
against any neighbor. This provocation is unnecessary, costly,
and dangerous.
Just as the
invasion of Iraq inadvertently served the interests of the Iranians,
military confrontation with Iran will have unintended consequences.
The successful alliance engendered between the Iranians and the
Iraqi majority Shia will prove a formidable opponent for us in
Iraq as that civil war spreads. Shipping in the Persian Gulf through
the Straits of Hormuz may well be disrupted by the Iranians in
retaliation for any military confrontation. Since Iran would be
incapable of defending herself by conventional means, it seems
logical that some might resort to a terrorist attack on us. They
will not passively lie down, nor can they be destroyed easily.
One of the
reasons given for going into Iraq was to secure our
oil supply. This backfired badly: Production in Iraq is down 50%,
and world oil prices have more than doubled to $60 per barrel.
Meddling with Iran could easily have a similar result. We could
see oil over $120 a barrel, and $6 gas at the pump. The obsession
the Neo-cons have with remaking the Middle East is hard to understand.
One thing that is easy to understand is none of those who planned
these wars expect to fight in them, nor do they expect their children
to die in some IED explosion.
Exactly when
an attack will occur is not known, but we have been forewarned
more than once that all options remain on the table. The sequence
of events now occurring with regard to Iran is eerily reminiscent
of the hype prior to our pre-emptive strike against Iraq. We should
remember the saying: Fool me once shame on you, fool me
twice, shame on me. It looks to me like the Congress and
the country is open to being fooled once again.
Interestingly,
many early supporters of the Iraq war are now highly critical
of the President, having been misled as to reasons for the invasion
and occupation. But these same people are only too eager to accept
the same flawed arguments for our need to undermine the Iranian
government.
The Presidents
2006 National Security Strategy, just released, is every bit as
frightening as the one released in 2002 endorsing pre-emptive
war. In it he claims: We face no greater challenge from
a single country than from Iran. He claims the Iranians
have for 20 years hidden key nuclear activities though
the IAEA makes no such assumptions nor has the Security Council
in these 20 years ever sanctioned Iran. The clincher in the National
Security Strategy document is if diplomatic efforts fail, confrontation
will follow. The problem is the diplomatic effort if one
wants to use that term is designed to fail by demanding
the Iranians prove an unprovable negative. The West led
by the U.S. is in greater violation by demanding Iran not
pursue any nuclear technology, even peaceful, that the NPT guarantees
is their right.
The President
states: Irans desire to have a nuclear weapon is unacceptable.
A desire is purely subjective, and cannot be substantiated
nor disproved. Therefore all that is necessary to justify an attack
is if Iran fails to prove it doesnt have a desire
to be like the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France,
Pakistan, India, and Israel whose nuclear missiles surround
Iran. Logic like this to justify a new war, without the least
consideration for a congressional declaration of war, is indeed
frightening.
Common sense
tells us Congress, especially given the civil war in Iraq and
the mess in Afghanistan, should move with great caution in condoning
a military confrontation with Iran.
Cause
for Concern
Most Americans
are uninterested in foreign affairs until we get mired down in
a war that costs too much, last too long, and kills too many U.S.
troops. Getting out of a lengthy war is difficult, as I remember
all too well with Vietnam while serving in the U.S. Air Force
from 1963 to 1968. Getting into war is much easier. Unfortunately
the Legislative branch of our government too often defers to the
Executive branch, and offers little resistance to war plans even
with no significant threat to our security. The need to go to
war is always couched in patriotic terms and falsehoods regarding
an imaginary eminent danger. Not supporting the effort is painted
as unpatriotic and wimpish against some evil thats about
to engulf us. The real reason for our militarism is rarely revealed
and hidden from the public. Even Congress is deceived into supporting
adventurism they would not accept if fully informed.
If we accepted
the traditional American and constitutional foreign policy of
non-intervention across the board, there would be no temptation
to go along with these unnecessary military operations. A foreign
policy of intervention invites all kinds of excuses for spreading
ourselves around the world. The debate shifts from non-intervention
versus interventionism, to where and for what particular reason
should we involve ourselves. Most of the time its for less
than honorable reasons. Even when cloaked in honorable slogans
like making the world safe for democracy the unintended consequences
and the ultimate costs cancel out the good intentions.
One of the
greatest losses suffered these past 60 years from interventionism
becoming an acceptable policy of both major parties is respect
for the Constitution. Congress flatly has reneged on its huge
responsibility to declare war. Going to war was never meant to
be an Executive decision, used indiscriminately with no resistance
from Congress. The strongest attempt by Congress in the past 60
years to properly exert itself over foreign policy was the passage
of the Foley Amendment, demanding no assistance be given to the
Nicaraguan contras. Even this explicit prohibition was flaunted
by an earlier administration.
Arguing over
the relative merits of each intervention is not a true debate,
because it assumes that intervention per se is both moral and
constitutional. Arguing for a Granada-type intervention because
of its success, and against the Iraq war because of
its failure and cost, is not enough. We must once again understand
the wisdom of rejecting entangling alliances and rejecting nation-building.
We must stop trying to police the world and instead embrace non-interventionism
as the proper, moral, and constitutional foreign policy.
The best
reason to oppose interventionism is that people die, needlessly,
on both sides. We have suffered over 20,000 American casualties
in Iraq already, and Iraq civilian deaths probably number over
100,000 by all reasonable accounts. The next best reason is that
the rule of law is undermined, especially when military interventions
are carried out without a declaration of war. Whenever a war is
ongoing, civil liberties are under attack at home. The current
war in Iraq and the misnamed war on terror have created an environment
here at home that affords little constitutional protection of
our citizens rights. Extreme nationalism is common during
wars. Signs of this are now apparent.
Prolonged
wars, as this one has become, have profound consequences. No matter
how much positive spin is put on it, war never makes a society
wealthier. World War II was not a solution to the Depression as
many claim. If a billion dollars is spent on weapons of war, the
GDP records positive growth in that amount. But the expenditure
is consumed by destruction of the weapons or bombs it bought,
and the real economy is denied $1 billion to produce products
that would have raised someones standard of living.
Excessive
spending to finance the war causes deficits to explode. There
are never enough tax dollars available to pay the bills, and since
there are not enough willing lenders and dollars available, the
Federal Reserve must create enough new money and credit for buying
Treasury Bills to prevent interest rates from rising too rapidly.
Rising rates would tip off everyone that there are not enough
savings or taxes to finance the war. This willingness to print
whatever amount of money the government needs to pursue the war
is literally inflation. Without a fiat monetary system wars would
be very difficult to finance, since the people would never tolerate
the taxes required to pay for it. Inflation of the money supply
delays and hides the real cost of war. The result of the excessive
creation of new money leads to the higher cost of living everyone
decries and the Fed denies. Since taxes are not levied, the increase
in prices that results from printing too much money is technically
the tax required to pay for the war.
The tragedy
is that the inflation tax is borne more by the poor and the middle
class than the rich. Meanwhile, the well-connected rich, the politicians,
the bureaucrats, the bankers, the military industrialists, and
the international corporations reap the benefits of war profits.
A sound economic
process is disrupted with a war economy and monetary inflation.
Strong voices emerge blaming the wrong policies for our problems,
prompting an outcry for protectionist legislation. Its always
easier to blame foreign producers and savers for our inflation,
lack of savings, excess debt, and loss of industrial jobs. Protectionist
measures only make economic conditions worse. Inevitably these
conditions, if not corrected, lead to a lower standard of living
for most of our citizens.
Careless
military intervention is also bad for the civil disturbance that
results. The chaos in the streets of America in the 1960s while
the Vietnam War raged, aggravated by the draft, was an example
of domestic strife caused by an ill-advised unconstitutional war
that could not be won. The early signs of civil discord are now
present. Hopefully we can extricate ourselves from Iraq and avoid
a conflict in Iran before our streets explode as they did in the
60s.
In a way
its amazing theres not a lot more outrage expressed
by the American people. Theres plenty of complaining but
no outrage over policies that are not part of our American tradition.
War based on false pretenses, 20,000 American casualties, torture
policies, thousands jailed without due process, illegal surveillance
of citizens, warrantless searches, and yet no outrage. When the
issues come before Congress, Executive authority is maintained
or even strengthened while real oversight is ignored.
Though many
Americans are starting to feel the economic pain of paying for
this war through inflation, the real pain has not yet arrived.
We generally remain fat and happy, with a system of money and
borrowing that postpones the day of reckoning. Foreigners, in
particular the Chinese and Japanese, gladly participate in the
charade. We print the money and they take it, as do the OPEC nations,
and provide us with consumer goods and oil. Then they loan the
money back to us at low interest rates, which we use to finance
the war and our housing bubble and excessive consumption. This
recycling and perpetual borrowing of inflated dollars allows us
to avoid the pain of high taxes to pay for our war and welfare
spending. Its fine until the music stops and the real costs
are realized, with much higher interest rates and significant
price inflation. Thats when outrage will be heard, and the
people will realize we cant afford the humanitarianism
of the Neo-conservatives.
The notion
that our economic problems are principally due to the Chinese
is nonsense. If the protectionists were to have their way, the
problem of financing the war would become readily apparent and
have immediate ramifications none good. Todays economic
problems, caused largely by our funny-money system, wont
be solved by altering exchange rates to favor us in the short
run, or by imposing high tariffs. Only sound money with real value
will solve the problems of competing currency devaluations and
protectionist measures.
Economic
interests almost always are major reasons for wars being fought.
Noble and patriotic causes are easier to sell to a public who
must pay and provide cannon fodder to defend the financial interests
of a privileged class.
The fact
that Saddam Hussein demanded Euros for oil in an attempt to undermine
the U.S. dollar is believed by many to be one of the ulterior
motives for our invasion and occupation of Iraq. Similarly, the
Iranian oil burse now about to open may be seen as a threat to
those who depend on maintaining the current monetary system with
the dollar as the worlds reserve currency.
The theory
and significance of peak oil is believed to be an
additional motivating factor for the U.S. and Great Britain wanting
to maintain firm control over the oil supplies in the Middle East.
The two nations have been protecting our oil interests
in the Middle East for nearly a hundred years. With diminishing
supplies and expanding demands, the incentive to maintain a military
presence in the Middle East is quite strong. Fear of China and
Russia moving into this region to assume more control alarms those
who dont understand how a free market can develop substitutes
to replace diminishing resources. Supporters of the military effort
to maintain control over large regions of the world to protect
oil fail to count the real costs once the DOD budget is factored
in. Remember, invading Iraq was costly and oil prices doubled.
Confrontation in Iran may evolve differently, but we can be sure
it will be costly and oil prices will rise.
There are
long-term consequences or blowback from our militant policy of
intervention around the world. They are unpredictable as to time
and place. 9/11 was a consequence of our military presence on
Muslim holy lands; the Ayatollah Khomeinis success in taking
over the Iranian government in 1979 was a consequence of our CIA
overthrowing Mossadegh in 1953. These connections are rarely recognized
by the American people and never acknowledged by our government.
We never seem to learn how dangerous interventionism is to us
and to our security.
There are
some who may not agree strongly with any of my arguments, and
instead believe the propaganda: Iran and her President, Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad, are thoroughly irresponsible and have threatened to
destroy Israel. So all measures must be taken to prevent Iran
from getting nukes thus the campaign to intimidate and confront
Iran.
First, Iran
doesnt have a nuke and is nowhere close to getting one,
according to the CIA. If they did have one, using it would guarantee
almost instantaneous annihilation by Israel and the United States.
Hysterical fear of Iran is way out of proportion to reality. With
a policy of containment, we stood down and won the Cold War against
the Soviets and their 30,000 nuclear weapons and missiles. If
youre looking for a real kook with a bomb to worry about,
North Korea would be high on the list. Yet we negotiate with Kim
Jong Il. Pakistan has nukes and was a close ally of the Taliban
up until 9/11. Pakistan was never inspected by the IAEA as to
their military capability. Yet we not only talk to her, we provide
economic assistance though someday Musharraf may well be overthrown
and a pro-al Qaeda government put in place. We have been nearly
obsessed with talking about regime change in Iran, while ignoring
Pakistan and North Korea. It makes no sense and its a very
costly and dangerous policy.
The conclusion
we should derive from this is simple: Its in our best interest
to pursue a foreign policy of non-intervention. A strict interpretation
of the Constitution mandates it. The moral imperative of not imposing
our will on others, no matter how well intentioned, is a powerful
argument for minding our own business. The principle of self-determination
should be respected. Strict non-intervention removes the incentives
for foreign powers and corporate interests to influence our policies
overseas. We cant afford the cost that intervention requires,
whether through higher taxes or inflation. If the moral arguments
against intervention dont suffice for some, the practical
arguments should.
Intervention
just doesnt work. It backfires and ultimately hurts American
citizens both at home and abroad. Spreading ourselves too thin
around the world actually diminishes our national security through
a weakened military. As the superpower of the world, a constant
interventionist policy is perceived as arrogant, and greatly undermines
our ability to use diplomacy in a positive manner.
Conservatives,
libertarians, constitutionalists, and many of todays liberals
have all at one time or another endorsed a less interventionist
foreign policy. Theres no reason a coalition of these groups
might not once again present the case for a pro-American, non-militant,
non-interventionist foreign policy dealing with all nations. A
policy of trade and peace, and a willingness to use diplomacy,
is far superior to the foreign policy that has evolved over the
past 60 years.
Its
time for a change.