Our government
intervention in the economy and in the private affairs of citizens,
and the internal affairs of foreign countries, leads to uncertainty
and many unintended consequences. Here are some of the consequences
about which we should be concerned.
I predict
U.S. taxpayers will pay to rebuild Palestine, both the West Bank
and the Gaza, as well as Afghanistan. U.S. taxpayers paid to bomb
these areas, so we will be expected to rebuild them.
Peace, of
sorts, will come to the Middle East, but will be short-lived.
There will be big promises of more U.S. money and weapons
flowing to Israel and to Arab countries allied with the United
States.
U.S. troops
and others will be used to monitor the "peace."
In time,
an oil boycott will be imposed, with oil prices soaring to historic
highs.
Current Israeli-United
States policies will solidify Arab Muslim nations in their
efforts to avenge the humiliation of the Palestinians. That will
include those Muslim nations that in the past have fought against
each other.
Some of our
moderate Arab allies will be overthrown by Islamic fundamentalists.
The U.N.
will continue to condemn, through resolutions, Israeli-U.S. policies
in the Middle East, and they will be ignored.
Some European
countries will clandestinely support the Muslim countries and
their anti-Israel pursuits.
China, ironically
assisted by American aid, much more openly will sell to militant
Muslims the weapons they want, and will align herself with the
Arab nations.
The United
States, with Tony Blair as head cheerleader, will attack Iraq
without proper authority, and a major war, the largest since World
War II, will result.
Major moves
will be made by China, India, Russia, and Pakistan in Central
Asia to take advantage of the chaos for the purpose of grabbing
land, resources, and strategic advantages sought after for years.
The Karzai
government will fail, and U.S. military presence will end in Afghanistan.
An international
dollar crisis will dramatically boost interest rates in the United
States.
Price inflation,
with a major economic downturn, will decimate U.S. Federal Government
finances, with exploding deficits and uncontrolled spending.
Federal Reserve
policy will continue at an expanding rate, with massive credit
expansion, which will make the dollar crisis worse. Gold will
be seen as an alternative to paper money as it returns to its
historic role as money.
Erosion of
civil liberties here at home will continue as our government responds
to political fear in dealing with the terrorist threat by making
generous use of the powers obtained with the Patriot Act.
The draft
will be reinstated, causing domestic turmoil and resentment.
Many American
military personnel and civilians will be killed in the coming
conflict.
The leaders
of whichever side loses the war will be hauled into and tried
before the International Criminal Court for war crimes. The United
States will not officially lose the war, but neither will we win.
Our military and political leaders will not be tried by the International
Criminal Court.
The Congress
and the President will shift radically toward expanding the size
and scope of the Federal Government. This will satisfy both the
liberals and the conservatives.
Military
and police powers will grow, satisfying the conservatives. The
welfare state, both domestic and international, will expand, satisfying
the liberals. Both sides will endorse military adventurism overseas.
This is the
most important of my predictions: Policy changes could prevent
all of the previous predictions from occurring. Unfortunately,
that will not occur. In due course, the Constitution will continue
to be steadily undermined and the American Republic further weakened.
During the
next decade, the American people will become poorer and less free,
while they become more dependent on the government for economic
security.
The war will
prove to be divisive, with emotions and hatred growing between
the various factions and special interests that drive our policies
in the Middle East.
Agitation
from more class warfare will succeed in dividing us domestically,
and believe it or not, I expect lobbyists will thrive more than
ever during the dangerous period of chaos.
I
have no timetable for these predictions, but just in case, keep
them around and look at them in 5 to 10 years. Let us hope and
pray that I am wrong on all accounts. If so, I will be very pleased.