Deficit spending
is back in the news lately, largely because the Democrats want
to blame any projected 2003 deficits on the very modest Bush tax
cut. Of course tax cuts, which stimulate the economy and generally
produce increased revenues, are not the problem at all but nobody
wants to focus on the real problem, which is runaway spending.
The bottom
line is that our federal government almost always manages to spend
more than it brings in each year in revenues. This is particularly
troubling when we consider that taxes take more out of the legitimate
private economy (as a percentage of GDP) than at any time since
World War II. Still, Treasury Secretary O'Neill recently asked
Congress to raise the "debt ceiling," which is based on a federal
law that sets a limit on the total amount of debt the US government
can have. The current debt ceiling is about $5.9 trillion (roughly
the current national debt); O'Neill wants it raised to $6.7 trillion.
The reason is that Congress is expected to increase spending even
faster than usual over the next few years due to the war on terror.
Raising the
debt ceiling is nothing new. We last raised it during the Clinton
era, despite that administration's claims that the budget was
balanced each year. This can be refuted quite simply, because
the national debt continued to rise throughout the 1990s. Obviously,
if federal spending truly was being outpaced by revenues, the
debt would not have increased. So how did the Clinton administration
make it appear that annual spending did not exceed annual revenues?
Mostly by using Social Security revenues to cover the difference,
even though Social Security taxes are supposed to be held in a
trust fund and not spent on other federal programs. Yet few Americans
know that their Social Security taxes are never segregated or
saved by the federal government, but rather spent immediately
as general funds. Your Social Security benefits are nothing more
than IOUs that are completely dependent on future revenues.
Federal Reserve
chairman Greenspan recently endorsed a political trick to make
the debt seem smaller simply by redefining those IOUs. The current
law treats certain government obligations such as Social Security
payments and veteran pensions as debts, meaning they must be included
within the permitted debt ceiling. Of course they are debts, just
like any other bill that will have to be paid in the future. Greenspan
would have us redefine these obligations as "intergovernment accounts,"
which magically changes them from debts to "accrued liabilities."
This semantic shift would free up lots of room under the debt
ceiling for more borrowing. Congress could even use this approach
to lower the ceiling and claim a victory for fiscal responsibility
while still borrowing more! The reality, of course, is that those
old debts will still exist, but we won't have to think about them
for a few more years.
Debt and
credit, wisely used, can be proper tools for individuals and businesses.
After all, individuals often want to expand by starting families
and buying houses, while businesses want to expand by hiring more
employees and increasing their capacity. In a free society, however,
we can never view expansion as a proper goal for government.
Unlike a private sector business, our federal government should
not be seeking out new ways to increase the scope of its dubious
"services." Any government that consumes 40% of the most productive
economy in the world and still can't balance its books is a government
that vastly overspends. A cursory examination of the annual appropriations
bills reveals incredible amounts of unconstitutional, wasteful,
and truly unnecessary spending. This uncontrolled spending allows
government to grow far beyond its proper constitutional parameters,
while also threatening the very solvency of future generations.
So I disagree with the supply-side argument that government debt
doesn't matter. The issue is not whether the Treasury has sufficient
current income to service the debt, but rather whether a government
that spends so much is leading us to ruin. Debt does matter, especially
to future generations that will be asked to pay for our extravagance.
When
government borrows money, the actual borrowers big spending administrations
and politicians never have to pay it back. Remember, administrations
come and go, members of congress become highly-paid lobbyists,
and bureaucrats retire with fat pensions. The benefits of deficit
spending are enjoyed immediately by the politicians, who trade
pork for votes and enjoy adulation for promising to cure every
social ill. The bills always come due later, however and nobody
ever looks back and says, "Congressman so-and-so got us into this
mess when he voted for all that spending 20 years ago." For government,
the federal budget is essentially a credit card with no spending
limit, billed to somebody else. We should hardly be surprised
that such a government racks up huge amounts of debt! By contrast,
responsible people restrain their borrowing because they will
someday have to pay the money back. It's time for American taxpayers
to understand that every dollar will have to be repaid. We should
have the courage to face our grandchildren knowing that we have
done all we can to end the government spending spree.