Time
to Get Rich
by
Gary North
Recently
by Gary North: Nixonomics
at the New York Times
"If I had
just known at age 18 what I know today!" That lament is among the
most universal among people aged 50 or older. Is there any society
in which it cannot be heard?
I was reminded
of this when I watched a video of half a dozen of coach John Wooden's
most talented basketball players. It was produced in 2010, just
after his death at age 99. He had retired 35 years earlier, yet
he was still remembered and admired.
The story was
basically the same for each of those now middle aged or older
men. Wooden had been a great teacher, not just a coach. They
all said how much sense his principles of living had meant to them
two or more decades later. But all of them said that they had not
paid much attention at the time. I had heard the same thing before
he died from other former players.
Here was a
legendary coach who taught some of the finest athletes in America.
He was a very smart man, and more to the point, a very wise man.
His chart of the pyramid of success has been seen by millions of
people. Yet he was unable to get the basics of his outlook across
to young men who had come from all over the nation to play for him.
(Oddly, the group in the video had all come from southern California.)
You can see it
here.
What does this
tell us? That youth is wasted on the young a lament of oldsters
throughout history and across many borders.
It is not a
matter of brains. It is a matter of character. From time to time,
we do hear of young men who seem to understand as teenagers how
little time men have, and how large the payoff is for hard work,
high thrift, and dedication to the mastery of some field. These
are the super-performers discussed in books like Malcolm Gladwell's
Outliers.
They invest their crucial 10,000 hours before they reach age 21.
But it is not
just character. It is something else. It is their understanding
of time. They recognize that effort and assets invested early in
life have a compounding effect. This makes an enormous difference
at age 40 or 50, if a person finds the right niche in which to invest
his time.
To do this,
a young person needs future-orientation. This is exceedingly rare
among the young. As Ben Franklin put it in 1750, "A child thinks
that twenty pounds and twenty years can never be spent." A few musical
artists figure it out early, or at least consent to their parents'
demands while they are still forming their habits in life. But few
understand it with respect to money.
GET
RICH SLOWLY
You have heard
the phrase, "Get rich slowly." That is good advice. It applies to
societies as well as individuals.
Why should
getting rich take so long? Because it takes a long time to accumulate
capital: the tools of production.
Economists
have understood this for over a century. But, sadly, most people
are into middle age before they figure out that it takes time to
accumulate sufficient capital to provide for a comfortable retirement.
When we are young, we rarely understand how much we must save, and
how long we must save, to accumulate capital.
In Chapter
XVIII of his magnum opus,
Human Action (1949), Ludwig von Mises presented
the case for the importance of time perspective as a source of thrift,
capital formation, and wealth. He called this outlook "time-preference."
Some people are present-oriented. They want satisfaction now. They
will not lend money at low rates of interest. They borrow at high
rates. Others are future-oriented. They save at low rates of interest.
They refuse to pay high rates of interest when borrowing.
He made a profound
observation on why we are rich compared to earlier generations.
Our activities
are designed for a longer period of provision because we are the
lucky heirs of a past which has lengthened, step by step, the
period of provision and has bequeathed to us the means to expand
the waiting period.
Mises recognized
that modern man is the heir of generations of capital formation
and thrift.
We
are in a position to rely upon a continuing influx of consumers'
goods and have at our disposal not only stocks of goods ready for
consumption but also stocks of producers' goods out of which our
continuous efforts again and again make new consumers' goods mature.
Today, we possess
far more capital goods than society did in 1949. Around the world,
the message is taking root. The free market social order provides
incentive for people to innovate. Innovation requires capital. This
requires thrift. Thrift is the result of future-orientation.
A generation
ago, Harvard University's political scientist, Edward Banfield,
suggested that time perspective, not wealth, is the correct basis
of class. Lower class people are present-oriented. Upper-class people
are future-oriented. He wrote this in the late 1960s, at the height
of the counter culture. Chapter 3 of his book, The
Unheavenly City, made this explicit. Radical students complained
so much that he left in 1972 for four years, In 1976, he returned
to Harvard from the University of Pennsylvania. He told Robert Nisbet
that the students at Penn were just as hostile as the students at
Harvard. Nisbet passed this tidbit along to me years later.
TIME
PREFERENCE AND SUCCESS
Professor Philip
Zimbardo has studied the long-term effects of time perspective in
children. Beginning with studies begun over two decades ago by a
colleague, Zimbardo has tracked the lives of an early group of children.
He has concluded that a child's future-orientation the psychological
ability to defer gratification is a major indicator of future
success in a child's life. He has produced two
videos on this.
The person
who is willing to defer present consumption for the sake of future
income is in a strong position in society. He has the internal make-up
necessary for building capital in the broadest sense.
A person who
is ready to consume all of his income now, and even borrow to consume
more, is not going to accumulate capital. He will not have the tools,
including education and skills, to maximize his contribution to
a paying society.
By neglecting
the investment required to increase a person's productivity, the
present-oriented person finds that he has gotten what he wanted:
high consumption at the expense of future income. In contrast, the
future-oriented person gets what he always preferred: lower consumption
for the sake of future income.
The great benefit
of the free market is that it allows people to buy what they want
if they are willing to pay the price. The present-oriented person
says" Buy now, pay later." The future-oriented person thinks, "Save
now, buy later."
In school,
we are taught many skills. But what is rarely taught is goal-setting
and time management. Perhaps this would be wasted. But if I were
to design a curriculum and I am doing this I would
emphasize goal-setting and time management as soon as a child is
capable of adopting a self-taught curriculum. This is probably around
age 8. The only one I know like this is Dr.
Arthur Robinson's, which at $200, grades K-12, is a bargain.
By the time
a student is a teenager, he or she should understand the basics
of lifetime success. Coach Wooden looked for quickness above all
other categories. That one is too limiting. Here are the ones I
would look for, in this order.
PREDICTABLE
PERFORMANCE
"A man's word
is his bond." That is an ancient principle. It should be basic to
any person old enough to make a binding promise.
In a free society,
the division of labor is crucial. People must learn to delegate.
They cannot do everything by themselves. But decentralization is
risky. The person who promises to perform a service may not deliver.
I have said
that there are three principles of success.
1.
Do what you say you will do.
2. Do it at the price agreed on.
3. Do it on time.
These may sound
trivial. They are difficult to achieve for the vast majority of
people. Perhaps I should add a fourth.
4.
Do it without being reminded or monitored.
At this point,
the character set is difficult to find, especially in employees
under age 30.
Any teenager
who is governed by habit to meet the three requirements of performance
has an enormous advantage over his peers. It will be difficult for
them to compete with him.
FIRE
IN THE BELLY
There are good
employees who meet the criteria of predictable performance. But
they will remain employees if they do not have fire in the belly.
Some people
call this character trait an obsession. It probably is. Others call
it ambition. It often is. Still others call it visionary. It always
is.
The person
with no fire in his belly is unlikely to take the risks that mastery
require. Mastery is a high-risk endeavor. It is more than routine
maintenance. It is a matter of putting your reputation on the line
in something like full public view.
Rockefeller
and Carnegie had fire in the belly. They helped to create a new,
far richer world. Both of them switched to charitable giving when
they got old. Their money bankrolled some of the most insidious
projects of the so-called New World Order. They were better at piling
up wealth than giving it away. They had no skills at giving it away.
They would have done more good for mankind in their lifetimes if
they had stuck to their knitting. But super-rich men cannot escape
their responsibility for managing great wealth in this way. Their
piled-up capital will be inherited. By whom?
Consider Howard
Hughes. Leonardo DiCaprio got it right in The
Aviator. Hughes was unbalanced from the beginning. He was
brilliant. He was creative. He was also rich at a young age, because
of his father's invention of a unique oil-drilling bit. He more
than outperformed his father. Yet he was unbalanced to the degree
that he became unhinged. He had too much of a good thing. But no
one ever called him poor.
Bill Gates
had fire in the belly at a young age. He made a lot of money. Then
he married an eminently sensible woman. She was able to give him
a new vision of service other than designing and marketing digits.
I think a person
must have this fire in the belly: his calling. I define calling
as the most important thing you can do in which you would be most
difficult to replace. This may be a person's occupation, but only
rarely. It was an aspect of John Wooden's job, but it reached far
deeper than his job. After he retired, his calling remained. His
influence grew greater over the years as a result of the foundation
of his life, which was also the foundation of his occupational success.
After Wooden's
death, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar commented on this aspect of Wooden's
coaching. When Kareem/Alcindor went to UCLA in the fall of 1965,
Wooden's office was a Quonset hut. This was after two NCAA championship
seasons.
Fire in the
belly keeps a person from getting sidetracked. He may go over a
cliff. Surely Hughes did. But it keeps him moving forward.
Ludwig von
Mises had this characteristic. Nothing could stop him. He was still
teaching and writing at age 85. So was his disciple, F. A. Hayek.
Hayek's book, The
Fatal Conceit, is a masterpiece. It can easily serve as
the tombstone of the idea of socialism. Hayek finished it at age
86. I visited him in the Austrian Alps in 1985. He handed me a chapter,
which I had photocopied by the hotel. He could not be stopped.
ATTENTION
TO DETAIL
Hughes had
this, obviously. Had he not had it, he would have died in a plane
crash. Others have it. They present their work to the public without
loose ends. They may revise later on hooray for eBooks
but they bring a ready-for-prime-time product to the public the
first time.
The devil is
in the details. So are the failures. This is where a producer pays
attention to the customer. He makes sure that the product works
as promised, at a price promised, delivered on time. Again, if it
is released as a beta-version, fine. The customer knows. But it
is best to release it free of charge.
This is a matter
of going the extra mile.
CONCLUSION
Success comes
at a price. The earlier someone begins paying it, the more success
he should expect. The compounding process is a power for personal
and economic change.
This
outlook requires faith in the future. But it requires more than
faith. It has to be accompanied by future orientation. A person
needs to discount the future by a low interest rate in order to
maintain a high present value of his forfeited income.
The time to
get rich is in your teens. The longer you wait to begin the process,
the higher the rate of return that you must achieve.
I wish I had
more teenage readers. But, then again, Coach Wooden had his share.
It took time for what he told them to register.
May
11, 2011
Gary
North [send him mail]
is the author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2011 Gary North
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