Dialogue #5 On the American Gold Standard:
Winners and Losers
by
Gary North
by Gary North
The Private
Money Guy and the State Money Guy do not seem to be communicating.
Like ships in the night, they pass each other, each flying a flag
called "Gold Standard."
PMG: You say
that you favor a gold standard, even though it is enforced by the
U.S. government.
SMG: I do.
PMG: We no
longer have a gold standard.
SMG: Correct.
PMG: We have
not had one since 1933.
SMG: Since
1971.
PMG: But Americans
could not legally own gold from 1933 to 1975.
SMG: That did
not matter. Foreign central banks and governments could buy gold
from the U.S. Treasury for $35 per ounce.
PMG: Until
they actually tried.
SMG: When they
tried to buy gold, beginning in 1958, they got delivery.
PMG: But Lyndon
Johnson balked in 1968. After the British devalued the pound, demand
for gold rose. Its price rose. Central bankers set up a two-tier
gold market.
SMG: Correct.
They sold gold to each other at $35 an ounce, but sold it for more
to the public.
PMG: That was
a tip-off that the U.S. was running out of gold.
SMG: Then Nixon
broke the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement on August 15, 1971. No more
gold for sale. That ended the gold standard.
PMG: That was
what Roosevelt did to Americans in 1933.
SMG: But the
gold standard still restrained the creation of money.
PMG: Not in
World War II, it didn't. Not in post-War America. Not under Lyndon
Johnson' guns and butter economy.
SMG: I said
"restrained." I did not say "stabilized."
PMG: Isn't
the government-enforced gold standard the same story everywhere?
Isn't it a series of restrictions on the original promise to redeem
paper money for a fixed supply of gold?
SMG: It is
all right to break contract with the public. It is not all right
to break contract with central banks.
PMG: How do
you figure?
SMG: Private
central banks represent political sovereignty.
PMG: Even though
they are privately owned.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: What is
political sovereignty?
SMG: The widely
accepted right of the government to stick a gun in your belly and
say, "Fork over your money."
PMG: Even when
the money is gold.
SMG: Especially
when the money is gold.
PMG: That sounds
like the phrase, "All power grows out of the barrel of a gun."
SMG: Yes, it
does. What a catchy phase!
PMG: You've
never heard it before.
SMG: Not that
I recall.
PMG: Isn't
the main benefit of a gold standard the reduction of the power of
government?
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Then how
does a gold standard take away the government's gun?
SMG: It doesn't.
It just pressures the government to point the gun elsewhere.
PMG: Where?
SMG: At central
banks.
PMG: Which
hold the gold for their governments.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: So that
governments cannot spend it.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: So the
public won't get familiar with gold coins.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Which
reduces pressure on central banks.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: So, you
think it's OK for central banks to put pressure on central banks,
but not the public.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Why is
that?
SMG: Because
central bankers attended the best universities. They have training
in scientific economics.
PMG: You regard
the public as ill-informed.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Even about
their own self-interest.
SMG: Their
self-interest is not the nation's self-interest.
PMG: What is
the nation's self-interest?
SMG: To provide
stable prices and high employment. That's what the Employment Act
of 1946 says.
PMG: But central
banks have not supplied stable prices.
SMG: Not so
far. But they are working on it.
PMG: Since
1914.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: So, all
we need to do is go back to the gold standard of August 14, 1971.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: But with
the public's right to own gold.
SMG: I suppose
so. It's not important.
PMG: What is
important?
SMG: The right
of central banks to buy gold from each other at a fixed price.
PMG: What price?
SMG: I don't
know. That is for economists at the central bank to determine.
PMG: Which
central bank?
SMG: The international
one.
PMG: What one
is that?
SMG: The one
that has not been set up yet. They are working on it.
PMG: For how
long?
SMG: Since
at least the early 1970's.
PMG: But they
have not got it yet.
SMG: No.
PMG: That bank
will set the price of gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Will it
pay this price to anyone who wants to sell it gold?
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Including
gold mines.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Will it
sell gold at this price?
SMG: Only to
national central banks.
PMG: So, the
gold flows into the central banks, but it does not flow out.
SMG: Correct.
PMG: So, the
central banks will control the price of gold.
SMG: For as
long as the official price is above the market price.
PMG: What is
to keep central banks from raising the price?
SMG: Only the
supply of money.
PMG: But they
can create money to buy the gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Then they
can buy up the world's gold.
SMG: In theory,
yes. But they won't.
PMG: Why not?
SMG: This would
raise the price of gold. That would break the agreement.
PMG: But they
can change the agreement.
SMG: Legally,
yes.
PMG: So they
can buy up more gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: And store
it at their expense.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Then of
what possible use is all that stored gold?
SMG: It keeps
it away from the public.
PMG: Who might
use gold in trade.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: And get
familiar with gold coins.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: As people
were before 1914.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Then the
primary purpose of the Bretton Woods gold standard from 1944 to
1971 was to keep gold coins away from the public.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Which
reduced pressure on central bankers to stabilize the money supply.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: Do you
think that this lack of pressure on central banks to stabilize money
led to the universal rise of prices under the Bretton Woods gold
standard?
SMG: No.
PMG: Then what
did cause the rise in prices?
SMG: Economists
at central banks are studying this topic very carefully.
PMG: What have
they decided?
SMG: That there
needs to be further study.
PMG: Why wouldn't
a gold coin standard work?
SMG: Because
there is not enough gold.
PMG: To do
what?
SMG: To facilitate
trade.
PMG: But isn't
trade conducted on the basis of supply and demand?
SMG: Yes.
PMG: So, there
is a supply of gold, and demand by individuals to obtain gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: The supply
of gold is close to constant. New gold from mines in a year is a
tiny fraction of the world's gold supply.
SMG: True.
PMG: Then why
can't prices in gold adjust to the supply of gold?
SMG: You mean
more goods chasing a fixed supply of gold.
PMG: Yes.
SMG: But that
would lead to falling prices.
PMG: Yes.
SMG: But that's
deflationary.
PMG: Just like
falling computer prices are deflationary.
SMG: That would
create a depression.
PMG: Do falling
computer prices create a depression?
SMG: No. But
falling prices for everything else would.
PMG: Why?
SMG: Because
Milton Friedman taught that.
PMG: True.
SMG: And so
did Irving Fisher before him.
PMG: True.
SMG: So, that
settles it.
PMG: Settles
what?
SMG: That falling
prices are bad.
PMG: But Fisher
and Friedman opposed the gold standard.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: But you
want a gold standard.
SMG: A state-enforced
gold standard.
PMG: Where
central banks create fiat money to buy gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: And then
they refuse to sell gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: But they
lease gold at half of a percent interest per year.
SMG: That is
not the same as selling gold.
PMG: But they
turn over the gold to private banks, called bullion banks.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: And these
banks sell the leased gold.
SMG: Yes, they
do.
PMG: And this
isn't selling a nation's gold?
SMG: No, it
isn't.
PMG: But the
gold is gone.
SMG: Yes, but
the bullion banks have given central banks IOU's for the gold.
PMG: But the
gold is gone. It's in jewelry in India. It's part of some daughter's
dowry.
SMG: But the
IOU's are as good as gold.
PMG: Has any
central bank demanded the return of its gold?
SMG: Not as
far as any government knows.
PMG: But if
they did, wouldn't the price of gold soar?
SMG: To the
moon. That's why they won't demand payment in gold. They will roll
over the loans.
PMG: Just as
the Federal government does with its debt.
SMG: Exactly.
PMG: So, the
present system is an IOU gold standard.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: The bullion
banks gave IOU's to the central banks.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: The central
banks gave IOU's to their governments.
SMG: Yes.
PNG: Then the
present system is based on IOU's to gold.
SMG: Yes.
PMG: But you
say it's not a gold standard.
SMG: Not since
1971.
PMG: But for
all we know, all the gold belongs to Indians.
SMG: For all
we know, yes.
PMG: And if
the central banks demanded payment from the bullion banks, the price
of gold would soar.
SMG:
Yes.
PMG: I can
see what would happen. Slumdog millionaires.
SMG: I blame
Nixon.
PMG: I blame
Woodrow Wilson.
SMG: It's clear
to me who won.
PMG: Who?
SMG: William
Jennings Bryan.
PMG: It was
the only thing he ever won.
SMG: But it
was a biggie.
March
23, 2009
American
Gold Standard Dialogues
- Who
Ya Gonna Trust?
- A
Temporary Interruption of Service
- Science
Is as Science Does
- Trust
and Distrust in Banking
- Winners
and Losers
Gary
North [send him mail] is the
author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2009 by LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in part
is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
Gary
North Archives
|