The
Flim-Flam Man
by
Gary North
One
of my all-time favorite movies is "The
Flim-Flam Man." It came out in the late 1960’s. It starred
George C. Scott as Mordecai Jones, a small-time itinerant con man.
Jones did not do big cons. His were penny-ante schemes. He rode
freight trains, tramped the back roads of the South, and relieved
the locals of their money.
Jones
had a philosophy of life that he believed justified what he did
to people. "You can’t cheat an honest man." His schemes
involved luring in suckers who were willing to cheat Jones or cheat
someone else, using Jones as the intermediary. He carried a suitcase
full of shoddy goods, including fake jewels. Jones told his young
recruit, played by Michael Sarrazin, "You can sell a man anything
if he thinks it’s stolen."
But
if you pay close attention to the plot of "The Flim-Flam Man,"
you discover early that Jones doesn’t remain true to his philosophy.
When he gets into a jam, he cheats honest people. In fact, the people
he cheated most severely in the film was a family that loaned him
their daughter’s new car after Jones dressed up in a clerical collar
and pretended to be on an errand of mercy. Jones ruined the car
by his wild driving. In his clerical garb, he looked like a solid
citizen, but in fact, he was a destroyer.
The
movie ends when the young man whom Jones had taken into his confidence
and had enlisted in his schemes finally sees the error of his ways.
He gets arrested and faces jail. He promises his girl friend that
he will go straight when he gets out of prison. She believes him.
We believe him. But, in one last act of misplaced mercy, he helps
Jones escape from the local jail. Jones goes off to flim-flam other
victims. So, even here, the biggest loser was the young man whom
Jones had befriended and corrupted. The underlying message of the
movie: if you are a good enough con man – which involves appearing
not quite good enough and rather sympathetic – you will get away
with it. You will go free to con the rubes again.
When
I think about it, I really shouldn’t like the movie. It gets the
viewer on the side of a bad guy. But I was always a Scott fan, ever
since my mid-teens, when I saw him in "Anatomy
of a Murder," a movie with such a great cast that it achieved
the improbable: it made Otto Preminger’s directing tolerable. I
even liked Scott in "The
List of Adrian Messenger," a movie parodied years later
on "Get Smart" as "The Mess of Adrian Lissinger."
I
got to thinking about "The Flim-Flam Man" as I walked
200 yards to my office in the morning dawn. (I usually get to work
at 6 a.m.) I was thinking about another flim-flam man, equally beloved
and far more successful. If Scott were not dead, he could play the
role in a movie based on the man’s life: "Flim-Flam Man, II."
What is unique about this flim-flam man is that he has the cops
on his side.
MORDECAI
GREENSPAN
Mordecai
is a counterfeiter by trade. He is a self-conscious counterfeiter.
He knows his trade well, because he used to be in the phony bill-detection
unit of a private organization that warned people about the dangers
of counterfeit money. He was one of its most prominent spokesmen.
Back in 1966, he wrote:
An
almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue
which unites statists of all persuasions. They seem to sense –
perhaps more clearly and subtly than many consistent defenders
of laissez-faire – that gold and economic freedom are inseparable,
that the gold standard is an instrument of laissez-faire and that
each implies and requires the other.
He
fully understood in 1966 what he was up against: self-interested
defenders of the nearly unlimited power to take money from one group
and give it to another. But why do they hate the gold standard?
He offered this answer:
In
the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings
from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of
value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding
illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided,
for example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper
or any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as
payment for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power
and government-created bank credit would be worthless as a claim
on goods. The financial policy of the welfare state requires that
there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves.
This
is the shabby secret of the welfare statists’ tirades against
gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation
of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It
stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this,
one has no difficulty in understanding the statists’ antagonism
toward the gold standard.
http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html
What
Mordecai grasped intellectually is that modern banking is a gigantic
counterfeiting operation. Bankers create money when they take in
deposits that depositors can still spend, yet even though the bank
uses these deposits to lend to borrowers, who will also spend it.
This credit money is unbacked by gold or silver. So, there are only
two significant limits on the issuing of such money, once deposited:
(1) the bankers’ fear of bank runs when depositors figure out their
money was loaned out to borrowers who have gone bust or are likely
to; (2) reserve requirements that are set by the nation’s central
bank.
To
deal with threat #1, bankers have called in the cops. They got the
government to make it illegal to organize bank runs based on a bank’s
near-term insolvency. The central bank also helps out by making
available emergency loans at a sub-market rate, called the discount
rate.
To
deal with threat #2, the bankers persuaded the central bank to lower
the reserve requirement to about 2%.
There
are only two ways to reduce or completely stop this counterfeiting
scam: (1) remove all government protection against bank runs and
open the industry to all who want to enter it, making it competitive
(free banking); (2)
require banks to keep 100% reserves (100% reserve banking). In the
second case, when a bank takes in a deposit, the depositor is not
allowed to write a check on his deposit or withdraw his money until
the loan is repaid on schedule. That’s because a borrower has the
exclusive right to write checks on the account. A dollar in, a dollar
out: that’s honest money.
The
only academic economist in our era who promoted this concept of
completely non-fractional-reserve banking was Murray Rothbard, who
was regarded by academic economists as an eccentric because of this
argument, among others. Rothbard wrote a money and banking textbook
on how the fractional reserve flim-flam works, but because he openly
identified the practice as fraudulent, no textbook publisher would
publish the book. It went out of print within a few months after
a small hard-money newsletter organization published it. Today,
I am glad to say, it’s free on the Web. It’s called The
Mystery of Banking. I wrote the Foreword. (Because it’s
a PDF file, it downloads slowly.)
Back
to Mordecai. He later went into the economic forecasting business.
He figured out ways to trace the effects of legalized counterfeiting
on the economy. His company sold businessmen the results of his
findings. They presumably could make even more money by investing
according to his findings.
I
don’t know if he really could forecast markets based on his knowledge
of the way the money system works, but he surely persuaded businessmen
to pay his firm money. He was a great salesman. But his official
sales pitch had an unofficial but unstated assumption: when the
banking system’s newly created counterfeit money is passed from
person to person, not everyone wins equally. Some people may even
lose. He sold his information on the basis that if you paid his
firm money, you could make more money than the person who didn’t
pay his firm.
He
gained such a reputation at being able to follow the money, i.e.,
the effects of the newly created money, that in 1987, the President
of the United States, Ronald (6) Wilson (6) Reagan (6), appointed
him Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
which oversees the national cartel of state-licensed counterfeiters.
Reagan
retired in January, 1989. He moved into a home in Bel Air, California,
at 666 St. Cloud, which his wife had the postal authorities change
to 668.
http://www.nytimes.com/fodors/fdrs_feat_92_3.html
(These
odd numerical facts about Reagan may bother followers of Hal Lindsey,
author of The
Late, Great Planet Earth, whose publisher, Bantam Books,
is located at 666 Fifth Avenue, New York City. As the publisher
of three books that identify the true identity of 666, including
one titled, The Beast of Revelation, I can say that 666
does not refer to Ronald Reagan, or even Henry Kissinger. You
can download this book for free at my Web site: http://www.freebooks.com.)
Mordecai’s
first great triumph took place two months after his appointment
when, on October 19, 1987, the Dow Jones industrial Average fell
508 points: 23%. Similar percentage declines were experienced by
stock markets around the world. The FED calmed investors and bankers
with the immediate promise of injections of new counterfeit money,
called "liquidity" by bankers. This promise was confirmed
the next day at a meeting of the FED’s Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC), which decides how much government debt to buy, and hence
the size of the monetary base. Notes of that historic meeting are
on-line:
http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/transcripts/1987/871020ConfCall.pdf
There
is no doubt that Mordecai knew exactly what he and his colleagues
were doing. Twenty-one years earlier, he had written about the official
reaction to the Great Depression.
With
a logic reminiscent of a generation earlier, statists argued that
the gold standard was largely to blame for the credit debacle
which led to the Great Depression. If the gold standard had not
existed, they argued, Britain’s abandonment of gold payments in
1931 would not have caused the failure of banks all over the world.
(The irony was that since 1913, we had been, not on a gold standard,
but on what may be termed "a mixed gold standard"; yet
it is gold that took the blame.) But the opposition to the gold
standard in any form from a growing number of welfare-state
advocates was prompted by a much subtler insight: the realization
that the gold standard is incompatible with chronic deficit spending
(the hallmark of the welfare state). Stripped of its academic
jargon, the welfare state is nothing more than a mechanism by
which governments confiscate the wealth of the productive members
of a society to support a wide variety of welfare schemes. A substantial
part of the confiscation is effected by taxation. But the welfare
statists were quick to recognize that if they wished to retain
political power, the amount of taxation had to be limited and
they had to resort to programs of massive deficit spending, i.e.,
they had to borrow money, by issuing government bonds, to finance
welfare expenditures on a large scale.
http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html
He
decided that a similar reaction would not take place during his
official watch. So, the FED pumped in money. It has done so every
time a recession has arrived since 1932.
His
new position on the benefits of counterfeit money should not have
been surprising to anyone in 1987. He had already moved into the
camp of the welfare statists as a defender of the largest government
wealth-redistribution program of all. Reagan had appointed him in
1981 to serve as the chairman of the National Commission for Social
Security Reform. He was still chairman in 1983, the year that Social
Security technically went bankrupt, when Reagan and Congress hiked
Social Security taxes, thereby offsetting Reagan’s reduction in
top income tax rates.
http://www.mises.org/freemarket_detail.asp?control=160&sortorder=articledate
Note:
Reagan was not a tax cutter. He was a top-bracket income tax cutter.
That was what enraged his liberal critics. They fully approved of
the Social Security tax hikes. They disapproved of the top-bracket
cuts.
FAITH
IN SOMETHING FOR NOTHING
The
Christmas season will begin shortly. The fate of the retail economy
for 2002 is now in the hands of Christmas shoppers, who have stopped
buying new cars, even at 0% interest. Retailers and investors have
sent Santa their annual Christmas wish list: great malls of fire.
But they know that Santa won’t make the rounds if Mordecai doesn’t
supply the funds. He is supplying the funds as best he can.
When
he last testified before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress.
Senators and Congressmen were treated to soothing language about
the recovering American economy, an economy that requires the federal
funds rate at 1.25% just to keep moving forward even slowly.
Things
are going pretty well, he said, because home owners are borrowing
money on their homes’ equity, and then spending it.
Besides
sustaining the demand for new construction, mortgage markets have
also been a powerful stabilizing force over the past two years
of economic distress by facilitating the extraction of some of
the equity that homeowners had built up over the years. . . .
According
to survey data, roughly half of equity extractions are allocated
to the combination of personal consumption expenditures and outlays
on home modernization. These data and some preliminary econometric
results suggest that a dollar of equity extracted from housing
has a more powerful effect on consumer spending than does a dollar
change in the value of common stocks.
So,
things will continue to go well for as long as consumers load up
on more debt. Of course, the question arises: How much longer will
the incomes of home buyers support the equity-generating rise in
home prices? For it is home buyers who are supplying most of the
new equity money, which is taken by home sellers.
Sales
of existing homes have been the major source of extraction of
equity. Because the buyer of an existing home almost invariably
takes out a mortgage that exceeds the loan canceled by the seller,
the net debt on that home rises by the amount of the difference.
As
for business spending on new capital, things are not so hot.
Although
economic growth was relatively well maintained over the past year,
several forces have continued to weigh on the economy: the lengthy
adjustment of capital spending, the fallout from the revelations
of corporate malfeasance, the further decline in equity values,
and heightened geopolitical risks. Over the last few months, these
forces have taken their toll on activity, and evidence has accumulated
that the economy has hit a soft patch. Households have become
more cautious in their purchases, while business spending has
yet to show any substantial vigor. . . .
In
the business sector, there have been few signs of any appreciable
vigor. Uncertainty about the economic outlook and heightened geopolitical
risks have made companies reluctant to expand their operations,
hire workers, or buy new equipment. Executives consistently report
that in today’s intensely competitive global marketplace it is
no longer feasible to raise prices in order to improve profitability.
So,
prosperity is based on the demand-side: consumer spending. This
is the familiar Keynesian line: demand-side economics. The problem
comes when long-term declines in investments in capital keep wage-earners
from increasing their output and thereby increasing their income.
Then the crisis arrives. Demand-side economics then faces economic
reality: "If you ain’t got it, you can’t buy it."
So,
the question of questions is this: Will productivity continue to
increase? Mordecai can handle this one with ease, for he is to official
testimony what Professor Irwin Corey was to academia.
However,
history does raise some warning flags concerning the length of
time that productivity growth remains elevated. Gains in productivity
remained quite rapid for years after the innovations that followed
the surge in inventions a century ago. But in other episodes,
the period of elevated growth of productivity was shorter. Regrettably,
examples are too few to generalize. Hence, policymakers have no
substitute for continued close surveillance of the evolution of
productivity during this current period of significant innovation.
So,
in the meantime, while we wait to see whether productivity can continue
to rise despite the fact that business investment continues to fall,
there is plenty of money to spend. The FED has seen to it.
In
these circumstances, the [Federal Open Market] Committee believed
that the actions taken last week to ease monetary policy should
prove helpful as the economy works its way through this current
soft spot.
http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/testimony/2002
Everyone
in the investment world knows the new money is counterfeit. Everyone
knows it’s stolen from savers, who are today facing the lowest return
on their money in decades. That’s why everyone is happy to take
the money. Mordecai Jones said it best: "You can sell a man
anything if he thinks it’s stolen."
CONCLUSION
As
surely as there is no Santa Claus, so is there no economic growth
without investment. But children like to believe in the first fairy
tale, and investors, voters, and economists like to believe in the
second. They believe that counterfeit money is necessary for national
productivity, especially during "soft spots." They believe
an updated version of the mythical words of Marie Antoinette: "Let
them eat digits."
November
18, 2002
Gary
North is the author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.freebooks.com.
For a free subscription to Gary North's twice-weekly economics newsletter,
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Copyright
© 2002 LewRockwell.com
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