PARIS –
As Washington and Moscow exchange increasingly angry accusations
and rebukes these recent weeks, it is hard to avoid a sense
of Cold War déjà vu.
Last Tuesday,
Russia launched with great fanfare a new RS-24 intercontinental
ballistic missile that it claimed could penetrate new US anti-missile
defenses. President Vladimir Putin warned the Bush Administration’s
plans to deploy anti-missile radars and missiles in the Czech
Republic and Poland would turn Europe into a "powder keg."
Moscow
accused the Bush Administration of violating international law,
following double standards, and being a major violator of human
rights. After crushing the life out of Chechnya, Russia was
hardly in any position to lecture the US about human rights.
Washington
fired back, accusing Putin of extinguishing democracy, silencing
political opponents, and bullying his neighbors. The US, with
150,000 troops in Iraq, even had the nerve to accuse Russia
of "meddling" in the Mideast. The American pot was
calling the Russian kettle black.
Behind
the barrages of invective, what’s really going on is that Russia
is finally returning to being Russia, as this writer has long
predicted it would. Russia the lap dog is gone. The Russian
bear has awakened from a hibernation of two decades and is both
hungry and ill-tempered.
In the
1980’s, the reforming Mikhail Gorbachev sought to humanize and
modernize the crumbling Soviet Union. Gorbachev ended his nation’s
confrontation with the west and sought accommodation with Washington
– far too much, claimed Russian critics. Gorbachev’s well-intentioned
efforts failed. The once mighty Soviet Union collapsed, leaving
bankruptcy and massive social suffering in its wake.
Boris Yeltsin,
Gorbachev’s successor, allowed criminals and shady financers
to plunder Russia. In a story that has yet to be fully revealed,
his shaky, financially destitute government was propped up by
billions in secret US payments. Washington more or less managed
to buy up Russia’s government. In an outrageous, shameful act,
the Yeltsin Kremlin even sold the Pentagon the crown jewels
of Russia’s military technology. Everything and almost everyone
was for sale.
During
this period of weakness and corruption, bankrupt Russia allowed
the US pretty much a free hand around the world, particularly
in the Mideast. Russia’s defense spending plummeted. Washington
hailed Moscow’s "cooperation."
In 1999,
the KGB, renamed FSB and SVR, staged a palace coup. Former FSB
director Vladimir Putin became Russia’s new leader. President
Putin and his hard men set about re-nationalizing Russia’s industrial
and resource assets, crushing the robber barons, and restoring
Kremlin political control over the nation.
Ironically,
George Bush’s invasion of Iraq caused worldwide oil prices to
surge, bringing Putin’s "new Russia" a huge financial
windfall. Russia, which exports more oil than Saudi Arabia,
is flush with cash from its current oil, gas, and mineral bonanza,
which has revitalized the nation’s defense budget.
Putin long
made clear his desire to rebuild the Soviet Union – minus communism
– and restore his nation as a world power. This means asserting
Russia’s historic interests in Eastern Europe and the Mideast,
using energy exports to advance foreign policy, and increasingly
standing up to the United States.
There is
nothing sinister about this development. The last 20 years of
Russian history were an anomaly, rather like the feeble Kerensky
government just prior to the 1917 revolution. Russia is off
its knees and back on its feet. The days of Moscow’s unnatural
accommodation with Washington are past.
The US
has become too used to Moscow as a compliant vassal. Washington
will now have to resume treating the Russians as a great power
with legitimate international interests. The first step is reversing
the Bush Administration’s contemptuous and dangerously reckless
repudiation of major arms control treaties with Moscow.
The
White House’s provocative plan to build anti-missile systems
and open military bases in Eastern Europe should be cancelled.
Pushing NATO all the way east to Russia’s borders has been another
dangerous provocation.
Infuriating
and humiliating Moscow in order to create a preposterous, technologically
iffy anti-missile defenses against missiles and warheads which
Iran does not even possess is the latest folly of the Bush Administration’s
ideological crusaders.
The
US is going to have to eventually share some of its world power
with a renascent Russia and surging China. Treating both great
powers with dignity and respect is a good way to start.