President
George W. Bush likes to call himself "the war president"
and strike martial poses against patriotic backdrops, a trick
he learned from another president who never saw military action,
Ronald Reagan.
In spite
of Iraq and other foreign policy misadventures, and failure
to prevent the 9/11 attacks, polls show that when it comes to
national security many Americans still regard the Bush Administration
with approval and trust.
Their confidence
is not well placed. To date, the "war president" was
asleep on guard duty on 9/11, involved the US in four lost wars,
and has stirred up a hornet’s nest of anti-American hatred around
the globe.
Defeat
I: Five years after Bush ordered Afghanistan invaded and proclaimed
"total victory" there, US and allied forces are struggling
to defend their bases and supply lines against rising attacks
from a growing number of Afghan resistance groups. The war costs
$1.5 billion monthly. US-ruled Afghan now produces over 80%
of the world’s heroin. The US just quietly deployed thousands
more troops to Afghanistan to hunt al-Qaida leaders Osama bin
Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri in a desperate attempt to save Republicans
from heavy losses in November mid-term elections.
Defeat
II: Remember "Mission accomplished!" in Iraq? President
Bush’s war in Iraq is clearly lost, but few dare admit it. The
US has spent $300 billion on Afghanistan and Iraq, with nothing
to show there but chaos, civil war, body bags, and growing Iranian
influence in Iraq and western Afghanistan. The Bush/Cheney "liberation"
of Iraq has now cost more than the Vietnam War. So much for
the "cakewalk." Iraq is likely the biggest American
foreign policy disaster in living memory – even worse, in many
ways, than Vietnam.
Defeat
III: Off in the strategic Horn of Africa, another dangerous
fiasco is unfolding. The White House had CIA and Pentagon spend
tens of millions bribing Somali warlords to fight Islamist reformers
trying to bring law and order to their strife-ravaged nation.
The Islamists whipped CIA-backed warlords and ran them out of
Somalia. Following this defeat, the US has encouraged and financed
ally Ethiopia – shades of Lebanon to invade Somalia,
thus raising the threat of a wider war between Somalia, Ethiopia,
and its old foe, Eritrea. Meanwhile, growing numbers of US Special
Forces and CIA teams are getting drawn into obscure tribal mêlées
in the Horn of Africa and the Saharan regions.
Defeat
IV: Lebanon is, of course, the fourth major American military
disaster. Bush and Cheney encouraged Israel to launch the hugely
destructive but militarily fruitless war in Lebanon as the first
part of their long-nurtured plan to militarily crush Hezbullah,
Syria and Iran. The Bush Administration brazenly thwarted world
efforts to halt the conflict while giving Israel the green light
to tear apart Lebanon. Now, just over a month later, Bush announces
he will send $230 million to "help rebuild" Lebanon
– the same Lebanon blasted apart by US smart bombs rushed by
air to Israel.
To Washington
and London’s shock and awe, Hezbullah, Iran, and Syria emerged
the war’s victors. Hezbullah is now the Muslim World’s new hero
after battling Israel’s mighty armed forces to a humiliating
draw. Even Syria’s President Bashar Asad, who played dead during
the Lebanon War in fear of an Israeli attack, is now thumping
his chest and crowing that Syria played a major role in the
unexpected Arab victory.
Hezbullah’s
triumph thwarted, at least for the moment, Bush/Cheney plans
to attack Lebanon, Syria and Iran. The US and Israel have become
so used to smashing nearly helpless foes armed with obsolete
weapons like Iraq, Taliban, or Palestine – that they were
stunned to meet a force that had modern arms and could actually
fight.
No sooner
had bombing stopped than Hezbullah bulldozers were busy clearing
rubble, and Hezbullah social workers resettling refugees. Perhaps
President Bush should ask Hezbullah to take over rebuilding
New Orleans and resettling all its refugees.
Hezbullah’s
big brother, Iran, has also emerged from the Lebanon War with
its political, moral and even military stature greatly enhanced.
America’s Arab vassals – Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt – were
left badly shaken by Hezbullah’s victory and Iran’s surging
influence which was already giving them nightmares well before
Lebanon.
Israelis
have now turned from fighting Arabs to furious finger-pointing.
Politicians and generals are blaming each other for the Lebanon
debacle that killed 118 Israeli soldiers and 41 civilians, cost
at least $6 billion, ruined the summer tourist trade, and, after
a burst of initial sympathy, brought worldwide condemnation.
And no captured soldiers – this war’s supposed objective – have
been yet returned.
Still,
a swap of Israeli for Lebanese and Palestinian prisoners remains
likely, as this column predicted at war’s beginning. The killing
of 1,000 Lebanese civilians, a million Lebanese made refugees,
and billions of dollars of wanton destruction, could all have
been avoided.
By turning
a routine border skirmish into a big war, Israel’s PM Ehud Olmert
showed he had no more grasp of military affairs than those other
amateur warlords, Bush, Cheney and Tony Blair. Lebanon also
showed that the western leaders learned nothing from their debacle
in Iraq.
Now, some
Washington hawks are wondering if invading Iran may not be the
"cakewalk" that pro-Israel neoconservatives promise.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards helped train and arm Hezbullah’s
victorious fighters. Suddenly, neither the Israelis nor the
Americans look so invincible. As Napoleon said, in war, the
moral is to the physical as three to one.
America
was the big loser in the Lebanon war. From Morocco to Indonesia,
each night 1.5 billion Muslims watched the carnage in Lebanon
on TV and blamed America. Even the poorest shepherd in Uzbekistan
heard the US was airlifting the precision bombs and deadly cluster
munitions to Israel used against Lebanese civilians.
Any hope
of damping down the Islamic World’s surging hatred of the US,
Britain, Australia and Israel (now add Canada) was killed in
Lebanon. Even the interestingly-timed airport hysteria in London
over alleged bomb plots failed to divert attention from the
latest US-British Mideast policy disaster.
Yet
the White House still keeps listening to absurd military advice
from the same neoconservatives thirsting for conquest, oil and
Muslim blood. Undaunted even by the fiasco in Lebanon, the Bush/Cheney
White House is now heading into a full-blown crisis with Iran
over its nuclear enrichment program.
Call
this the "guns of August." All the pieces are still
in place for a bigger war. Israel will keep violating the Lebanon
cease-fire and attempting to assassinate its new nemesis, Hezbullah
leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah. Bush’s pre-November surprise
remains to be unveiled. Iran is gearing up for war. Even Hezbullah
may still have a few tricks up its sleeve.
The self-declared
"war president" could yet have a few more defeats
in store for the nation.