WASHINGTON
– Iran’s political crisis continues to blaze. It’s still impossible
to say which leaders or factions will emerge victorious, but
one thing is certain: the earthquake in the Islamic Republic
is shaking the Mideast and deeply confusing everyone, including
the US government.
Highlighting
the complexity of this crisis, Meir Dagan, the head of Israel’s
intelligence agency, Mossad, reportedly voiced his hope that
Iran’s embattled president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, would remain
in office. On the surface, that sounds absurd, since Ahmadinejad
is Israel’s Great Satan.
But, according
to Dagan, if Ahmadinejad’s supposedly "moderate" rival,
Mir Hossein Mousavi, came to power, it would be harder for Israel
to keep up its propaganda war against Iran over Tehran’s nuclear
program.
Besides,
added the Mossad chief, the devil you know is better.
Meanwhile,
we have been watching an intensifying western propaganda campaign
against Iran, mounted by the US and British governments. What
we hear is commentary and analysis that comes from bitterly
anti-regime Iranian exiles, "experts" with an ax to
grind, and US pro-Israel neocons yearning for war with Iran.
In viewing
the Muslim world, Westerners keep listening to those who tell
them what they want to hear, rather than the facts. We are at
it again in Iran.
President
Barack Obama’s properly stated he would refrain from being seen
to "meddle" in Iran’s internal affairs in spite of
calls by hard-line Republicans for American action – whatever
that might be. Obama did the right thing by apologizing for
the US/British coup that overthrew Iran’s democratic Mossadegh
government in 1953.
But that
was not the whole story. Washington has been attempting to overthrow
Iran’s Islamic government since the 1979 revolution and continues
to do so in spite of pledges of neutrality in the current crisis.
The US
has laid economic siege to Iran for 30 years, blocking desperately
needed foreign investment, preventing technology transfers,
and disrupting Iranian trade. In recent years, the US Congress
voted $120 million for anti-regime media broadcasts into Iran,
and $60-75 million funding opposition parties, violent underground
Marxists like the Mujahidin-i-Khalq, and restive ethnic groups
like Azeris, Kurds, and Arabs under the so-called "Iran
Democracy Program."
The arm
of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, remains withered
from a bomb planted by the US-backed Mujahidin-i-Khalq, who
were once on the US terrorist list.
Pakistani
intelligence sources put CIA’s recent spending on "black
operations" to subvert Iran’s government at $400 million.
According
to an ABC News investigation, President George Bush signed a
"finding" that authorized an accelerated campaign
of subversion against the Islamic Republic. Washington’s goal
was "regime change" in Tehran and installation of
a pro-US regime of former Iranian royalist exiles.
While the
majority of protests we see in Tehran are genuine and spontaneous,
Western intelligence agencies and media are playing a key role
in sustaining the uprising and providing communications, including
the newest electronic method, via Twitter. These are covert
techniques developed by the US during recent revolutions in
Ukraine and Georgia that brought pro-US governments to power.
The Tehran
government made things worse by limiting foreign news reports
and arresting prominent politicians. Its leadership is increasingly
– and dangerously – split over how to handle the protests.
We also
hear lot of hypocrisy from Western capitals. Washington, Ottawa,
London and Paris piously accused Iran of improper electoral
procedures while utterly ignoring the total lack of democracy
in their authoritarian Mideast allies such as Egypt, Morocco,
and Saudi Arabia, that never hold elections and throw political
opponents into prison and torture them. Compared to them, Iran,
for all its faults, is almost a model of democratic governance.
The US,
France and Saudi Arabia just cooperated to rig Lebanon’s recent
elections, dishing out millions in bribe money to ensure victory
of the pro-US faction. France’s President Nicholas Sarkozy had
the chutzpah to rebuke Iran for improper election procedures
after returning from the funeral of Gabon’s dictator, Omar Bongo,
who had ruled for 41 years and supplied France with cheap oil.
When Hamas
won a fair and square democratic election in Gaza, the US and
Israel swiftly moved to mount a coup against the new Palestinian
government.
US senators,
led by John McCain, blasted Iran for not respecting human rights.
That’s pretty rich after they just voted to bar the public release
of ghastly torture photos from US prisons in Iraq, want secret
US prisons kept open, and champion torture.
Sen. Lindsey
Graham, one of the dimmest bulbs in the weak-wattage Republican
ranks, called for US intervention in Iran. Graham was an architect
of the Iraq fiasco. Let’s air assault the warlike senator into
downtown Tehran.
Über-moral
Canada, which backed Pakistan’s military dictatorship under
Gen. Pervez Musharraf, accused Tehran of unfair elections.
There are
many questions about Iran’s vote, of which incumbent President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won by 60%.
Voter
turnout was an amazing 84%, putting to shame the US and Europe,
where less than half of voters exercise their right.
Pre-election
polls that showed Ahmadinejad headed for a big win were right.
All those foreigners praying for his defeat and the collapse
of the Islamic government may be deeply disappointed.
But it
also appears there were significant – though as far as we know
now – not decisive irregularities. Iran’s government has admitted
that some ballot boxes were stuffed, and the speaker of the
Majils (parliament), the capable Ali Larijani, rebuked certain
unnamed clerics for trying to rig results. This was extremely
stupid, as Ahmadinejad was way ahead in pre-election polls anyway,
and very popular.
This leaves
Washington in a quandary. President Obama sincerely wants to
enter into talks with Iran over its nuclear program and try
to convince Tehran to give up enrichment. But hardliners in
his cabinet and Congress are urging Obama to seize the opportunity
to further destabilize Iran.
Bad idea.
A stable Iran is essential to a stable Mideast. Mossad chief
Dagan knows what he’s talking about. US and British efforts
to subvert Iran’s government could yet blow up in our faces.
And do we really need another monster crisis after Afghanistan,
Pakistan, Iraq and Palestine?
Meanwhile,
other Mideast nations allied to the US will look at Iran and
conclude that giving any democratic rights can be downright
dangerous and must be avoided at all costs.