Election Day
by
William S. Lind
by William S. Lind
An
old guy in the barbershop summed up this election best. Choosing
between Bush and Kerry, he said, "is like being asked which
of the Menendez brothers you like better." As Paul Craig Roberts
wrote, it is "the worst election ever."
If
we look at both candidates from the standpoint of national security,
what do we see? Both talk about the subject endlessly, but neither
has anything to say. On Iraq, Kerry, like Bush, refuses to recognize
the war is lost. Kerry refuses even to say what Ike said in 1952:
"I will bring the boys home." Like Bush, he pretends that
the key to victory is training more Iraqi forces, as if training,
not loyalty, were the problem.
The
landscape is equally bleak if we look beyond the Iraqi debacle –
America’s Syracuse Expedition. If a voter were trying to determine
which candidate would do better at defending the country against
Fourth Generation enemies, the checklist might look something like
this:
- To be
able to confront Fourth Generation opponents, our own armed
forces must first move from the Second Generation (French-style
attrition warfare) to the Third (German-style maneuver warfare,
which includes a decentralized, initiative-oriented military
culture). Bush has done nothing to make this happen, instead
pushing us further up the blind canyon of the "Revolution
in Military Affairs," where future enemies are all Second
Generation state armed forces whom we defeat through superior
(meaning more complex) technology. Kerry has said nothing to
suggest he knows the Second Generation from Second Grade.
- Adopting
a defensive rather than an offensive grand strategy. So long
as we are on the grand strategic offensive, threatening to impose
our ways on every one else through military force, we will be
defeated regardless of how many battles we win. Like Germany
in both World Wars, we will generate new enemies faster than
we can defeat old ones. Bush promises in every other sentence
that "America will stay on the offensive," while Kerry’s
foreign policy utterances sound as Wilsonian as any neo-con.
Can we be sure Kerry isn’t in fact a neo-con? No.
- Developing
a "counter-terrorism" capability that, instead of
pretending the whole thing is a law-enforcement problem, mimics
the way Fourth Generation entities fight and turns it on them.
Our armed services can’t do this because it requires a non-hierarchical
organization free of the First Generation culture of order.
Bush and Kerry both seem as clueless on this as Bart Simpson.
- Developing
contingency plans for what we do when a Fourth Generation force
such as al Qaeda nukes an American city, which is going to happen.
Both Presidential candidates suggest their response will be
a headless chicken act; in Bush’s case, the chicken never had
a head.
- Finally,
if we are to be able to fight Fourth Generation war we need
to figure out what it is. The Pentagon is willfully ignorant,
because Fourth Generation war doesn’t justify hi-tech "systems"
and vast budgets. Which candidate will undertake the serious
military reform we need to re-focus our military on war instead
of on money? Bush obviously won’t, because he hasn’t. Kerry
hasn’t said a word about it.
So
what is a voter who cares about national security to do? Bush has
already failed (spectacularly). Kerry seems to be an empty vessel.
Hope would suggest a vote for Kerry. Unfortunately, hope is a fool.
What
voters need to do is realize we are facing systemic failure. Our
vaunted two-party system offers us two choices, neither of whom
is fit to be dog-catcher of Podunk, much less President of the United
States. It was the same in 2000, in 1996 and in 1992. Reagan looked
good, as an actor should, but the last President we had who actually
understood things like grand strategy was Richard Nixon. Oh for
a happy monarchy, where Nixon would have been foreign minister for
50 years.
As
for this monarchist, the political landscape seems so barren to
me that it doesn’t matter much who we vote for. What we will get
is more of the same. It is not just time for a new king; it is time
for a new dynasty.
October
30, 2004
William
Lind [send him mail]
is Director of the Center for Cultural Conservatism at the Free
Congress Foundation. [The views expressed in this article are those
of Mr. Lind, writing in his personal capacity. They do not reflect
the opinions or policy positions of the Free Congress Foundation,
its officers, board or employees.]
Copyright
© 2004 William S. Lind
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