The
War Bubble
by Karen
Kwiatkowski
by Karen Kwiatkowski
DIGG THIS
We hear a lot
about housing bubbles, credit bubbles, even oil bubbles. These bubbles
exist. They are birthed and nurtured by statist governments fixated
on central planning. Statist governments that obsess constantly
about control over property, movement, and the minds and hearts
of individuals. You know, governments like the one in Washington,
D.C.
For libertarians,
these bubbles are predictable. But predictability doesn’t make them
less sad or less painful for the bulk of Americans, who pay dearly
for their government’s outrages.
But there is
an exception in the predictable sadness of bubbles. Paul Farrell’s
latest column at Marketwatch.com advances the outrageous American
war economy, and concludes that the massive "war bubble"
will explode, and soon. I naturally agree with what Mr. Farrell
had to say – after all, most of his article was plain old statistical
fact about what Eisenhower recognized in the 1950s, and what Bob
Higgs has explained in his excellent books
and articles.
Most ongoing
bubbles have innocent, if ignorant, victims, who ultimately pay
the financial price. But unless those Americans read LewRockwell.com
or consult history directly – they do not understand why they are
hurting, and why they are paying. So far, the state-created bubbles
have been successfully portrayed as victimizing a thin regional
or economic slice of the population, and most importantly, as being
caused by a non-state, non-government villain. For housing, the
villain was evil mortgage lenders, and colluding appraisers. For
the credit bubble, it was the nasty raptors in the credit card industry,
and in banking, the villains were, as always, a few bad apples.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac blamed everyone but itself, and with
oil, we found that the bubble was the direct malevolent act of "oil
speculators."
A delightful
exception is the war bubble. Investopedia
explains bubbles this way:
Speculative
bubbles are generally a result of the "bandwagon effect." Investors,
seeing an upward trend in prices, quickly enter long positions
in an attempt to participate in the stocks' profitability. Typically,
these bubbles are followed by even faster sell-offs once the prices
begin to decline.
The war bubble
– the American war bandwagon – unlike other, more familiar bubbles,
has a kind of clarity and marketability politicians would die for,
and sometimes do. The victims of the war bubble are not people who
just wanted more house then they could afford, or who chose to buy
high in a hot market. The innocent victims of the war bubble are
our own patriotic sons and daughters! They are those who, after
"serving their country" are now on waiting lists at VA
hospitals that by commission and omission, fail to heal or even
help. The innocent victims of the war bubble occupy graveyards,
family basements, and shelters in towns around the country, and
what we clearly understand as an American family is this: "My
son, my daughter, my husband, my wife, my niece and nephew, my grandson,
my granddaughter – is not the same person I knew before they went
to war." We feel a nearly national shame about what we have
had our children and spouses do – what we ourselves may have done
– in Iraq. This shame fuels the anger of both those against the
war as well as the actions of those who support it even more vigorously,
to ensure they did not sacrifice their child at the wrong altar.
If the obvious
war bubble victim is our child, the other victim of the American
war bubble has 100 million taxpayer faces, all looking horrified
at the debt and outlays for war – $3 trillion
just for current war, not counting ongoing military empire expansion
that appears determined to encircle both Iran and Russia. How can
we repay this obscene debt, a small, optional purchase by our government
in the basket of commitments our government has racked up? Someone
ought to make a movie
about what we are going to do about this debt!
But what is
really interesting about the war bubble, and useful if we want to
see political change in this country – is that this bubble miraculously
makes all Americans – adults and children – its righteous and innocent
victims.
Before I go
on – there is truth, and then there is truth. Truth is, we didn’t
have to join the military, encourage others to do so, insist that
our congressmen and the transient living at 1600 Pennsylvania "protect
us" from darkness, and light and everything in between, and
on top of that, give us federal kickbacks in the form of military
bases, military benefits, college funding and university grants.
Truth is we could have taken Ike’s advice, and been a little more
vigilant. We didn’t have to accept the false patriotism and true
fascism of the government created and sustained defense industry.
But the kind
of truth that makes the imminent bursting of the American war bubble
exciting and joyful is that we – all Americans – will be able to
say honestly, together, that we love peace, and we hate war. As
we did in the 1980s, again we can honestly and loudly criticize
government and military waste – waste and loss that is measured
in billions and billions of dollars, making the $500 hammer look
like a smart deal.
Politicians
complain that the people are fickle. For once, as the American war
bubble collapses, we can be fickle in a direction that recalls the
ideas of Washington and Jefferson, founders who feared standing
armies, and a well-funded central government. Tyranny of the majority
was less of a concern than the sure tyranny of a would-be king,
and a bunch of government-aligned businessmen. For them it stunk
of the contemporary British Empire; for Americans, who do not study
history but trust our gut, it stinks of simple un-Americanism.
When
the American war bubble collapses, we will have American victims
– it will be all of us. And for once, the obvious villains will
be the actual ones. We will ask, as a nation: Who pumped up the
case for war? Who lied about real return on investment? Who played
the role of ignorant flamboyant CEO and CFO – and who whispered
sweet assurances of success in their ears? Who conducted the audits?
Who defaulted on the promise, and trashed the American dream? Americans
will blame the war-mongering thinktanks, and the greedy politicians
without a principle or a moral or a backbone among them. Americans
will blame the political generals, found in green zones, green rooms,
and boardrooms. Americans will blame government dependent, overfed
and non-competitive defense and security industries and their lobbies,
who effectively push, always and constantly, for more war and more
spending. Americans will look askance at foreign countries who stand
shamelessly with their hands out, for military aid they neither
need nor deserve.
The collapse
of the war bubble will hurt. But as we witness the rapid and accelerating
global selloffs – Americans and their representative media will,
like a stopped clock, correctly identify the villain. There will
be no one but the state to blame – and all Americans will stand
together as its victims. Completing the trifecta is the foundation
of understanding across the country brought about by the Ron Paul
Revolution. The coming collapse of the war bubble is indeed good
news, and it will usher in a new era of liberty.
August
22, 2008
LRC
columnist Karen Kwiatkowski, Ph.D. [send
her mail], a retired USAF lieutenant colonel, has written on
defense issues with a libertarian perspective for MilitaryWeek.com,
hosted the call-in radio show American
Forum, and blogs occasionally for Huffingtonpost.com
and Liberty and Power.
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Copyright ©
2008 Karen Kwiatkowski
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