Kerry, the Antiwar Candidate?
by
Patrick
J. Buchanan
by
Patrick J. Buchanan
With the Gallup
Poll showing 51 percent of Americans want all U.S. troops out of
Iraq by year's end, John Kerry has made his move.
The 2004
Democratic nominee is calling for complete withdrawal of U.S. forces,
if Iraqis do not agree on a unity government by May 15. Even if
the Iraqis pull a government together, Kerry wants all U.S. forces
removed by Dec. 31.
The ice
is cracking. With half the nation backing "Bring-the-Boys-Home-by-Christmas,"
Democratic support for getting out must be in the 60 percent range.
Kerry is moving to the base of his party, not away from it. He is
kissing the Joe Lieberman wing goodbye.
His decision
reveals a political calculation that the only way to take the nomination
from Hillary is to move left, ride the antiwar horse, and rally
the Hollyleft and True Believers.
In this
huge sector of the Democratic Party there has been a vacuum, filled
only by Rep. John Murtha and Sen. Russ Feingold. Now, every Democrat
who sees himself as the alternative to Hillary is going to have
to ask himself: What is the benefit of hanging back and standing
with the Bush-Rumsfeld-Rice-Cheney stay-the-course policy?
Mrs. Clinton
has been here before – in 1968. The Democratic Party is now there
again, and she is in the role of Hubert Humphrey, tied to an unpopular
war, while Kerry, like Robert F. Kennedy, has just decided the antiwar
camp is where the action and passions are.
Bill and
Hillary may believe supporting the war is the right position in
April 2006, but they have to ask how that stand, already hurting
Hillary in the party, will be viewed two years from now, when Iowa
Democrats caucus and New Hampshire Democrats vote.
Kerry's
move could set off a stampede of centrist Democrats to back a timetable
for withdrawal that will force Hillary to reconsider and force the
GOP to stand by Bush, making "Iraq – Stay or Go?" the issue of 2006.
While President
Bush, who believes in this war and the cause of democratizing the
Middle East, may be unfazed by Kerry's defection, his party – especially
senators from Blue States, like Rick Santorum, and House members
from swing districts – cannot be sanguine about having Iraq become
the issue this fall.
But if
Democrats are approaching a moment of truth, the GOP must come to
terms, soon, with the failure of the Wilsonian policies Bush embraced
on the counsel of his neoconservatives – or ride those policies
into political irrelevance.
Post-9/11,
the president took down the Taliban and decimated al-Qaida, but
Osama bin Laden is at large and Afghanistan is again bedeviled by
narco-warlords and the Taliban. What price democracy in Kabul?
The takedown
of Saddam led to a diplomatic success when Libya surrendered its
weapons of mass destruction in return for being let out of the terrorist-state
box, where Khadafi belonged after Lockerbie. But who believes the
pro-Iranian regime certain to come to power in Baghdad is worth
three years of war, 2,300 dead, 17,000 wounded and $300 billion
to $400 billion?
The Bush
bellicosity toward Tehran gave us Ahmadinejad. The principal
beneficiary of the crusade for democracy is a Hamas government we
are trying to choke to death by cutting off aid. How putting 50,000
Palestinian police on the streets of the West Bank and Gaza with
no means of supporting their families will advance peace escapes
a number of us.
During
the Bush years, the National Endowment for Democracy, Freedom House,
and assorted "peace" institutes and think tanks have been intervening
with tax dollars to support "democratic revolutions" in Eastern
Europe, Central Asia, the Middle East and Latin America – what the
CIA used to do clandestinely in the Cold War
But meddling
in the internal affairs of ex-Soviet republics has enraged Moscow,
pushed Russia closer to China and converted Vladimir Putin from
a friend of the United States into a bitter adversary.
As
Andrew Bacevich writes in The American Conservative, the just-released
Bush National Security Strategy "comes chockfull of declarations,
exhortations and gaseous generalities ... (but) never bothers to
consider how we got into our current mess ... or how we're going
to pay for the 'Long War' that the president has contrived as the
best way to get us out."
As for
our goal of "ending tyranny on the face of the earth," Bacevich
writes, we had best address the matter of ends and means:
"In 2005,
the U.S. Army experienced its worst recruiting year in a quarter-century.
Out of a population of some 290 million, the Army had a goal of
persuading 80,000 to serve. Despite plenty of bucks for advertising,
the offer of generous bonuses and the lessening of enlistment standards,
recruiters still came up nearly 7,000 volunteers short."
You
can't run an empire without soldiers. Bacevich quotes Lord Rutherford
in the 1930s, "We're out of money; it's time to think."
Have Republicans
any thoughts – other than embracing Bush and, of course, warning
us always to beware the big, bad wolf of "isolationism"?
April
7, 2006
Patrick
J. Buchanan [send
him mail] is co-founder and editor of The
American Conservative. He is also the author of seven books,
including Where
the Right Went Wrong, and A
Republic Not An Empire.
Copyright
© 2006 Creators Syndicate
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J. Buchanan Archives
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