For
fifty years after the end of World War II, the United States based
much of its Cold War strategy on the principle that the Soviet Union
thought nothing of nuclear annihilation. In order to counter the
communist hordes from the east, the United States spent itself into
insolvency building up its defense forces, both conventional and
nuclear. American leaders spared no expense – in terms of taxpayer
treasure or military conscripts’ blood – to counter the postwar
communist threat. With 58,000 American lives wasted in Vietnam,
thousands of troops stationed in Europe, Japan, and Korea for decades,
and billions spent on nuclear weapons to scare the Soviet Union
into tempering its imperialistic advance, how well did American
leaders assess and respond to the Soviet Union’s threat? Not well
at all, according to a study declassified by the National Security
Archives on September 11, 2009. The newly issued assessment highlights
just how bad American intelligence functioned over that time period
despite the immense resources dedicated to its efforts.
The support
for this thesis now appears in a two-volume study, undertaken between
1965 and 1985, on Soviet intentions. In the
study, prepared by the BDM Corporation, readers learn from interviews
with former Soviet military officers, strategy analysts, and industrial
specialists, that American officials "[erred] on the side of
overestimating Soviet aggressiveness" and underestimated "the
extent to which the Soviet leadership was deterred from using nuclear
weapons." Furthermore, the study claims that the American authorities’
ineptitude in judging Soviet military intentions "had the potential
[to] mislead ... U.S. decision makers in the event of an extreme
crisis." Unsurprisingly, the study confirms the role of the
military industrial complex in perpetuating the decades-long state
of panic. The text shows how "the defense industrial complex,
not the Soviet high command, played a key role in driving the quantitative
arms buildup" and thereby "led U.S. analysts to ... exaggerate
the aggressive intentions of the Soviets."
Students
of the Cold War are familiar with the iconic pictures of American
schoolchildren ducking under their desks while their parents pored
over blueprints for backyard bomb shelters. The American public
knew, because their government constantly told them, that the Soviets
had their finger on the button. Nuclear annihilation was just a
matter of time. But now we learn that this "false consciousness"
(thanks Herr Marx) runs counter to the reality. According to the
BDM study, "The Soviet military high command understood the
devastating consequences of nuclear war and believed that nuclear
weapons use had to be avoided at all costs." Baby boomers,
feel free to come out from under your desks. And with a little water
and a handful of chlorine, your backyard bomb shelter might now
work as a pool.
Readers
of this new evidence have a choice. They can slander the BDM study
as revisionist propaganda or they can interpret it like dispassionate
historians. The new release of archival documents constantly changes
our understanding of the past. That is how historical knowledge
grows over time. The BDM report unhinges one of the basic principles
underlying the historiography of the Cold War – the idea that only
"mutually assured destruction" prevented nuclear war between
the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. Contrary to what our government and all
its vendors wanted us to believe during the Cold War, evidence has
now surfaced that the Soviet leaders feared dying in a nuclear conflagration,
just as much as Americans did. While the most ardent Cold Warriors
ran around screaming "Better Dead than Red," somewhere
in the Soviet Union a communist subject might have been whispering
"Nuclear annihilation – Nyet!"
This essay
does not in any way support the actions of the Soviet regime during
its existence. Throughout the never-ending 2008 election cycle,
"conservatives" would be aghast when I told them I could
not vote for McCain under any circumstances. They would typically
respond, "So you want Obama???" But anyone who has studied
logic at even the most elementary level notes the fallacy of their
conclusion. Just because someone claims to love vanilla ice cream
does not mean he hates chocolate ice cream. Unfortunately, such
basic rules still need to be taught to the otherwise intelligent.
The Soviet Union brutally murdered millions under its control. Those
lucky enough to escape the gulag or the firing squad found themselves
living in a morally bankrupt, economically ludicrous, totalitarian
state, where the best option seemed to be some combination of vodka,
abortion, and submission. That the United States government systematically
overstated the Soviet nuclear threat in no way absolves the reprehensible
Soviet leaders who ruined one of the world’s great countries. Falling
from nineteenth century Great Power status to twentieth century
basket case, Russia and its satellites suffered through one of history’s
most inhumane eras. But by calling the United States government
to account for its intelligence failures does not say anything positive
about the evil Soviet regime.
The U.S.
federal government today seems to exist purely for its own aggrandizement.
Take over the banks. Nationalize the auto industry. Remake the health
care system into something resembling the Cuban health care nightmare
instead of anything based on free market principles or individual
choice. And all the while, never say anything derogatory about the
central bank, which lies at the heart of so many of the nation’s
problems. For fifty years the U.S. federal government aggrandized
itself based on a misreading of Soviet intentions and strategy.
For fifty years legislators took from those who earned and gave
to those who lobbied, all to counter the global Soviet menace. Defense
contractors received taxpayer monies in multiples of the cash they
used to grease the palms of their local congressmen. And for fifty
years, our "intelligence" authorities pursued leads that
now appear to have been more the products of their fertile imaginations
than anything based on information gleaned in the course of their
work. No crisis goes to waste in our current regime. It now appears
that no false crisis went to waste for the duration of the Cold
War.