Third parties have a dreadful track record in US political history. There are huge formal and informal obstacles to their success. That doesn’t mean a tea party could not emerge. First, I’m not a statistician, however, my hunch is there are not enough prior instances, say, in the last 100 years, to “prove” a third party cannot win. (Perot was leading the polls before he self-destructed.) Further, the best route for a third party is not to “join the crowd,” but to wholly replace one of the two parties. That is in my view the most likely approach for a … Continue reading Third Parties