Its going to be a real disaster
The current administrations economic strategy will create an unmitigated disaster not only our countrys worst financial calamity, but the greatest economic disaster in recorded history.
I first warned my readers about what was happening last December, in a letter titled The End of America:
The coming great inflation will destroy Americas economic leadership. It will lead eventually to the return of settling international obligations in gold instead of paper dollars. And this will happen much faster than anyone expects.
By the time Obama leaves office, you will not be able to exchange dollars for any sound currency in the world without permission from the U.S. government. The price of gold will be well over $2,500 per ounce. Most importantly, commodities will no longer be priced in dollars either, but instead in the currencies of the leading producer. Americans havent experienced anything like this since the Great Depression.
Since I wrote that first warning, I have become much more concerned and much more afraid. What the president has done is actually worse much worse than even the dire scenario I had envisioned. Not only is the administration planning on enormous deficit spending this year, but the current plan calls for increasing deficit spending for the next decade spending that will more than double our entire national debt during his presidency.
The Congressional Budget Office produced the following graphic, which compares the deficits of the 1980s and 1990s to the current and future budgets. Assuming Obama remains in power over the next eight years and assuming these deficits arent actually much larger (which almost always happens), the Congressional Budget office estimates the presidents budget will add more than $10 trillion to the total federal debt by 2019 approximately as much total debt as was outstanding at the beginning of 2007.
Obama plans to borrow more money over the next eight years than all of the other presidents combined.
Its very hard to put this in perspective. The numbers have become so large theyre almost meaningless. Twenty trillion has 13 zeros: $20,000,000,000,000. Nobody can think about a number that large. But consider this In 1980, the entire federal debt totaled $930 million. Assuming were paying 5% on our debt in 2019, we will spend more money on interest than our entire national debt of 1980.
This level of debt is going to be a huge problem because no one will want to pay the money back ever. And it cant be financed forever. The poor will blame the rich. The rich will leave and take their wealth offshore. And absolute chaos will follow. The dollar will be completely destroyed.
Now I know youre thinking, Ive heard all of this before. But the end of the world somehow doesnt happen. We find a way out.
Not this time. In fact, when I wrote last year that the dollar would cease to be the worlds reserve currency much faster than anyone expects, Im sure no one took me seriously. But since then, weve heard two of the worlds leading powers China and Russia both openly suggesting a new world reserve currency must be created. Putin is even talking about using gold to settle international trade. It will happen because no one will want to be a creditor to the United States.
As more and more people try to get out of the dollar, the government will be forced to forbid the free exchange of dollars into other currencies and perhaps even to forbid the purchase of gold bullion. This will happen. I guarantee it. And it will happen during the Obama administration.
Thats why its critical for you to take precautions now, while you still can.
The first thing you should do, if you havent yet, is buy gold bullion. Its easy: You just call a few coin dealers, find out who offers the lowest premium on bullion, and wire them the money. Once you have the coins, theyre easy to hide, easy to store, and easy to transport. Theres no law (yet) saying you cant take bullion out of the country. If things start moving that way, you should have enough time to get the bullion out before the law passes. If not well you can clip your coins easily and use the gold to pay for whatever you might need.
I also believe you should immediately buy gold stocks. In fact, Im convinced youll never have a chance to buy gold stocks this cheaply again Gold stocks have never been cheaper compared to the price of gold itself. This is an amazing, once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. I truly hope youll capitalize on it.
The second thing you should do is move as large a percentage of your financial assets as possible out of the country. Unfortunately, I dont know enough about this yet to offer any good advice. Im working on it.
And the third thing you ought to do is to build a stimulus package for yourself. I realize its paradoxical. But the coming crisis will make lots of people rich. Its not hard to generate a paper fortune in a huge inflation. All you have to do is own the most important economic assets: energy, communication, and transportation. Thing to do right now is buy the assets you know the government has to have for the economy to function. These assets will remain in private hands, and their values will increase the most.
I can tell you what happens to countries that go bankrupt. Ive been to Argentina. Im familiar with the history of Mexico and Great Britain. Well see the same things here, shortly: inflation, huge tax increases, capital flight and, eventually, capital controls.
It will probably take decades for Americans to realize socialism doesnt work. But that clarity might not happen during my lifetime. And I dont want my assets to be stuck inside a banana republic in the midst of a huge socialist experiment. Im graveyard serious: If you do not take precautions and prepare yourself and your family for the inevitable collapse of our currency, you will suffer incredibly over the next decade.
April 17, 2009
Porter Stansberry founded Stansberry & Associates Investment Research LLC, a private publishing company based in Baltimore, Maryland, in 1999. His monthly newsletter, Porter Stansberry's Investment Advisory, deals with safe value investments poised to give subscribers years of exceptional returns. And his weekly trading service, Porter Stansberry's Put Strategy Report, shows readers the smartest way to book big gains during the ongoing financial crisis.